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WI Germany managed to fight on. Probably finds some way of getting food from Russia (probably having done a deal with a non Bolshevik government) and persuades Italy to switch sides (promising Malta Niece and Savoy)
A half a million young Americans die on the Western Front meat grinder
A Peace party wins 1920
(My guess it is Bryan/ Debbs (possibly BOTH elected from jail)
Could this be followed by an overall settlement based on exaustion