Plausability Check: Dutch Cape Colony post-Napoleon?

What is the likelihood of the British possibly returning the Cape Colony to the Netherlands after the Napoleonic Wars? In the event the plausibility proves to be nil, what are the chances of the Dutch establishing another colony in southern Africa...or Sub-Saharan Africa in general?
 
What is the likelihood of the British possibly returning the Cape Colony to the Netherlands after the Napoleonic Wars? In the event the plausibility proves to be nil, what are the chances of the Dutch establishing another colony in southern Africa...or Sub-Saharan Africa in general?

Well, during the Napoleonic wars the Cape colony was returned to the Dutch/Batavian republic. Only when Napoleon appointed in 1806 his brother as king of Holland, the English recaptured it. So it is possible that if the Batavian republic remains, the Cape remains Dutch.
 
Also conceivable that Britain might have settled for a naval base at Simonstown. I don't think we desperately wanted the hinterland, just the naval station, so that might have stayed Dutch.
 
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