Planning a timeline...

...and I'd appreciate the board's help. The POD is that Oliver Ellsworth shows up at at the Convention of 1800, (which ended the Quasi-War with France) drunk. This causes the Quasi War to Escalate into a full blown Franco-American War. Here's the rest of the bare-bones of the timeline.
1796: XYZ affair escalates, and an undeclared naval war erupts between Franc and th US.

1800: (see above), Napoleon declares war on the US

1801: French soldiers land in the US, specifically around Portsmouth, Charleston, and Southern New Jersey. The attacks in New Jersey, and Charleston are repelled, however the invasion force in New England runs amok, burns down Portsmouth, and Boston
1802:The French army was intercepted by an American Army as they tried to cross the Connecticut river at Mount Tom, Massachusetts.

1803: America sends an invasion force to take New Orleans, however, they are repelled and American troops die of malaria in droves.

1804: The British invade northern Louisiana, but are stopped at the Arkansas River

1806: The US sues for peace with France, and withdraws all claims to Louisiana, and becomes part of the continental system. Britain begins to impress American sailors on ships bound for France.

1810: West Florida declares independence from Spain, and remains an independent republic

1812: The US declares war on Britain over impressment. War goes pretty as per OTL, until

1814: Hartford convention votes for the secession of New England, except for Vermont, whose delegates abstained. Arthur Wellesley, first Duke of Wellington, fresh from the Peninsular Wars is sent to help defend the Protectorate of New England.

1815: Wellington is killed by a lucky shot at the battle of (Where?) Soon, American Troops overran, and took all of New England. The Hundred days go as it is IOTL, except that Napoleon wins at Waterloo, and is defeated a few miles down the coast by an Austro-Russian force instead of an Anglo-Dutch-Prussian force. The Kingdom of France exiles many Republicans, relatives and supporters of Napoleon to Louisiana.

1816: Treaty of Madrid ends the War of 1812.

1821: Mexico's war of Independence from Spain is over, inspired by the Mexican, French, and American revolutions, Louisiana declares it;s Independence

1828: Much worse nullification crisis leads to an independent South Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi(Loosely confederated int the League of American States), and New England.

1832: due to no Nat Turner rebellion, a gradual abolition of slavery occurs in Virginia, and Maryland

1836: Michigan Territory declares independence, and becomes a British protectorate

1848: More successful Revolutions, including one in Britain, which forces the Royal family to flee to Canada

That's all I have so far. What to you guys think?
 
1796: XYZ affair escalates, and an undeclared naval war erupts between France and the US.
OTL
1800: (see above), Napoleon declares war on the US
This makes the US a co belligerent with Britain. While the US had problems with Britain, [Damn John Jay, and Damn anyone that supports John Jay] France was the great Historical Enemy.
France has just jumped to the top of the list , Again
1801: French soldiers land in the US, specifically around Portsmouth, Charleston, and Southern New Jersey.
The attacks in New Jersey, and Charleston are repelled, however the invasion force in New England runs amok, burns down Portsmouth, and Boston
1802:The French army was intercepted by an American Army as they tried to cross the Connecticut river at Mount Tom, Massachusetts.
?How does the French Army get to America?.
While France was able to sneak some ships past the British Blockade. A fleet this size would have Britain salivating for the chance. They would be attacked daily across the Atlantic.
Any French Ships that did make it across would then be attacked by the reorganized and British Equipped/Supplied US Navy.
The US Navy would also sound the Alarm rousing the local Militia.
1803: America sends an invasion force to take New Orleans, however, they are repelled and American troops die of malaria in droves.
OK Spain is a French Ally, and I can see the Georgia Militia, backed by the Carolinian attacking Florida
[need the Carolinian troops, or the 500 Spanish soldiers would kick the couple thousand Georgians all the way back to Savannah*]
Meanwhile the Mississippi/Alabama Militias attack New Orleans.
With less than 2000 troops, The Spanish have no chance of repelling the Militias, and
?Why would the Mississippi Soldiers from right across the river die in Droves from Malaria.?
1804: The British invade northern Louisiana, but are stopped at the Arkansas River
You mean the Missouri River ?Right? Everything on the West Bank of the Mississippi from Missouri south would have been taken by the Tennessee/Kentucky Militias in 1803.
1806: The US sues for peace with France, and withdraws all claims to Louisiana, and becomes part of the continental system. Britain begins to impress American sailors on ships bound for France.
No way that the US would join the Continental system, American East Indiamen, were trading world wide, and this would damage the highly profitable east Asia/India Trade.
Nor would Spain accept this as it would allow American Ships free access to Spanish American ports.
1810: West Florida declares independence from Spain, and remains an independent republic
OTL the whole reason for revolting, was to ask for Annexation. Course given Georgia taking Florida back in 1803 .................
1812: The US declares war on Britain over impressment. War goes pretty as per OTL, until
Given that the US and GB were Co Belligerents back in 1800 ~1806, I doubt a War, however given the Experience and Training from the French War,
I see a lot more professional, and competent US Army.
1815: Wellington is killed by a lucky shot at the battle of (Where?) Soon, American Troops overran
The Hundred days go as it is IOTL, except that Napoleon wins at Waterloo, and is defeated a few miles down the coast by an Austro-Russian force instead of an Anglo-Dutch-Prussian force
Given that instead of getting several million Dollars from Louisiana in 1803, France spent several million on a war with the US ...............
?Would there be a The Hundred Days, and Waterloo.?
Without the Recourses from the US, there is no invasion of Russia and in 1814, Napoleon still holds France, Italy and Holland. Wellington is in Germany, taking the Rhine from Napoleon.
1821: Mexico's war of Independence from Spain is over, inspired by the Mexican, French, and American revolutions, Louisiana declares it's Independence
You didn't say whether Mexico Won, OTL Spain was on the verge of winning when Iritribe switched Sides,
given very minor butterflies Iritribe remains with Spain, and the Rebellion is Crushed.
 
I kind of like this TL. Not too over-the-top towards any country, more small countries, fun in general. Still, I have to agree with DuQuense on most points. In addition, I have a couple of queries:

I suggest (with the greatest respect) that you read some detailed timelines of the Napoleonic Wars. In 1800, France isn't in a fit state to invade the USA, it's far too busy on the continent, and Napoleon hasn't cemented his power enough to make a radical step like this yet. I'd suggest pushing back a couple of years. Also, while France conceivably could send troops to invade, it would be little more than a token force. There certainly wouldn't be three separate landings. This force may still be strong enough to defeat the Americans, and certainly to burn some cities, but they won't be able to cause massive destruction. If the Americans are forced to come to terms it will simply be because the French have occupied positions from which the Americans cannot dislodge them. Also, DuQuense is probably right in saying the British wouldn't take an invasion of the USA lightly.

You say that the USA is forced to join the Continental System. I would ask that you contemplate this. I guess it's kind of believable that Napoleon would insist on this, but consider the ramifications. In this era, American trade is incredibly reliant on Britain, and the American economy is incredibly reliant on trade. If the Americans abide stringently to this condition, then the US economy collapses in about a year, and so does the country with it. The only way around this is for virtually every single American merchant to become a smuggler - in which case the American economy will still bleed heavily. Or the USA could simply refuse to agree to it, which will have immediately ramifications. Every decision will have a big consequence, which should be explored.

New England declares independence and becomes a British protectorate - cool! I like that. But I would question your motives here. Why, for instance, have New England become independent here, only to be annexed back to the USA a few years later, only to become an independent state again in 1828? Seems like the first independence is kinda superfluous. Maybe it's just to kill off Wellington? Perhaps, though I would suggest there are easier places in time to kill him off that don't involve the independence of a big chunk of the USA - also, I'm not sure why he dies at all given that you then have Napoleon lose the Hundred Days anyway.

On the topic of the Hundred Days - DuQuense is again right, this campaign surely has to be butterflied away. But supposing it was kept, consider this: Napoleon almost won the Hundred Days campaign. At Quatre Bras and Ligne, a couple of days before Waterloo, he and Ney had forced the British coalition army and the Prussians to march away from each other. It was only Wellington's army holding fast at Waterloo against the French which allowed Blucher's Prussians to reconnect. If Waterloo is lost, the British retreat to Antwerp, totally in the wrong direction. The Prussians are then themselves overwhelmed the next day, arriving too late to help at Waterloo. The nearest army is an Austrian army crossing into France around Alsace - that army is too far away to do anything, and too small to stop Napoleon alone. The Russian army is barely half way through Germany. The allies are too far apart. If Waterloo is lost, you probably need to extend the Napoleonic Wars by several years. It was that much of a knife-edge battle deciding Europe's fate.

1848 - hmmm...it's certainly true that Britain was rocked with civil unrest in 1848, much though I don't want to say it. But comparatively, Britain was stable. I think you need to explain why Britain is lost to the republicans here. And again, after doing so I think you need to bare in mind the consequences. If Britain falls in 1848 it probably means the rest of Europe has it far, far worse. Also, on a related note, I'm not sure about the royals fleeing to Canada. If anything it would only be a temporary measure - quite frankly, without the UK, the British Empire could not exist. It simply didn't have the resources, manpower, etc, to cope with losing it's sole centre of government. The rest of the Empire would fall apart, and places like Canada would probably hit a massive economic downward spiral, leading to the colony being financially untenable. There would be no point for the royals to flee there. Unlike the French Revolution, they wouldn't be fearing for losing their heads, after all. In fact, it's entirely possible that they would still keep their throne given a successful 1848 revolution, and simply be called to account by Parliament stringently - a Parliament which would probably be reformed to be more populist and proletarian, admittedly. That said, the whole issue is somewhat dicey. And being a monarchist, I prefer to ignore that it ever happened ;)
 
I read all of your comments,(thanks, btw:)) and here's the revision. (After the POD, all OTL events are ignored)

1796: XYZ affair causes a diplomatic rift between the USA, and France, and an undeclared naval war breaks out.

1800: At the Convention of 1800, the US Envoy to France, Oliver Ellsworth shows up drunk, allowing the Quasi-War to escalate.

1801: Haitian Revolt crushed,

1804: John Adams is reelected War is officially declared between France and the US. American settlers in West Florida revolt against French rule, and declare the Republic of West Florida, and ask for annexation, but the petition is lost, leaving the area independent. The US invades Louisiana and Florida, but are defeated at New Orleans, due to a malaria outbreak. The invasion of East Florida is more successful

1805: French invade Tennessee, and Mississippi. French Troops from Saint Domingue land near Washington and Boston. Boston is sacked, and New England falls to French occupation. The French take Washington, and John Adams and his cabinet flee, except for Thomas Jefferson, who is captured by French troops. Jefferson signs the embarrassing Treaty of Alexandria, which put America under a French puppet government, called the American Republic. Adams then sets up the Rump US in Florida.

1806: Britain declares war against the American Republic, and takes New England, and New Orleans. US annexes West Florida, and liberates Georgia, and Alabama

1807: US liberates Tennessee, Kentucky, and the Northwest. Britain takes New York and New Jersey.

1808: The US liberates South Carolina, North Carolina, and Virginia. The British occupy Northern Pennsylvania.

1809: France takes back Virginia, and push the US back to the Appalachians.

1810: Stalemate for a year, until the US take back Virginia, and Maryland.

1811: Americans lay siege to New Castle, Delaware, the last French stronghold.

1812: New Castle falls, and the US holds free elections for the first time since 1804.

1813: New England rejoins the British Empire, and becomes the Dominion of New England

1814: Congress of Vienna. US gains all of it's territory back, except for New England, which remains British. The British gain all of Louisiana north of the Missouri River, and the rest is given back to France, except for East Florida, which is given to the US. West Florida remains independent. (Yes, the US got raped at Vienna.) Large amounts of French radicals, and supporters of Napoleon (including his children) are exiled to Louisiana. Napoleon is exiled to Elba, and lays down future plans

1818: Louisiana begins it's war of independence against France

1819: At the Battle of (Where?), Louisiana defeated French forces

1820: France recognizes the Empire of Louisiana in the Treaty of Lisbon. Cato Street Conspiracy secedes, and (due to the unpopularity of George the IV), Britain becomes a Republic, and the royal family flees to Canada, and George IV sets up court in Halifax

1821: Napoleon leaves Elba, and invades Sardinia, and Corsica, starting the Franco-Elban War

1822: Napoleon takes Piedmont, and Tuscany

1823: Treaty of Marseilles ends the Franco-Elban War.

1824: Invasion of Britain by Royalists fails, as well as other invasions.
Napoleon dies of stomach chancer

1833: The US begins a law that starts gradual emancipation of slaves (due to no Nat Turner rebellion) This causes South Carolina, Georgia, Mississippi, and Alabama to secede from the Union, and form the Fedeation of American States, or FAS

1836: Michigan Territory secedes from the union (inspired by the FAS) over the Toledo Strip
 
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Canada is a Hell of a long way for the British royal family to flee in 1848 - I think they'd find the nearest stable European neighbour and head there, so as to be at hand ready to return or do the old Charles II/Jacobite thing of being at hand stirring things up, ready to take advantage if things

Best Regards
Grey Wolf
 
Not so much the distance with Canada but...its Canada.
Even in the 20th century they'd probally prefer a friendly European country (barring the threat being to the whole of Europe of course ala Nazis).
And thats a fully civilized, continent spanning 20th century Canada. Not the bunch of frontier colonies rife with natives it still is here.
 
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