Percentages Agreement - Yugoslavia and Hungary

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How was this going to be implemented with respect to Yugoslavia and Hungary? An east-west division a-la-Germany?

And what if it had been implemented, say West Yugoslavia (Croatia, Slovenia and Bosnia) fell under British influence, East Yugoslavia (Serbia, Montenegro, Macedonia) fell under Soviet influence.

Obviously this would require a weaker partisan movement, maybe Tito bites it at Sutjeska (Fall Schwarz succeeds), combined with an allied invasion through Greece instead of France (if this is plausible).

More importantly what would this mean for the 90s? Would there be an (ironic) Yugoslav unification movement? Or would they just stay seperate. Or perhaps split apart further?
 
A divide into East and West Yugoslavia along those lines would be bizarre in many different ways. To name just one of the less obvious: the biggest strongholds of the partisans were the Serbs of Lika and Croats of Dalmatia (ie. Croatia), while the monarchists and the Royal Yugoslav government in London enjoyed the most support in Serbia. So a lot of people are going to find themselves in the wrong version of Yugoslavia.

Keeping one Yugoslavia together was hard enough; keeping around two Yugoslavias, whose border cuts right through various ethnic and religious communities, would be a nightmare for any government. Even without the underlying ideological and geopolitical divide between Communist and non-Communist.


I'm interested in how the West would handle Western Hungary if it was assigned to them. Would there be a chance of the regency surviving in some form, or does it automatically become a republic?
 
A divide into East and West Yugoslavia along those lines would be bizarre in many different ways. To name just one of the less obvious: the biggest strongholds of the partisans were the Serbs of Lika and Croats of Dalmatia (ie. Croatia), while the monarchists and the Royal Yugoslav government in London enjoyed the most support in Serbia. So a lot of people are going to find themselves in the wrong version of Yugoslavia.

Keeping one Yugoslavia together was hard enough; keeping around two Yugoslavias, whose border cuts right through various ethnic and religious communities, would be a nightmare for any government. Even without the underlying ideological and geopolitical divide between Communist and non-Communist.


I'm interested in how the West would handle Western Hungary if it was assigned to them. Would there be a chance of the regency surviving in some form, or does it automatically become a republic?

Any division of Yugoslavia will be messy. But 1945 UK has yet to learn its lesson about drawing straight line borders and messy partitions so I don't see why they wouldn't do it.
 
More importantly what would this mean for the 90s? Would there be an (ironic) Yugoslav unification movement? Or would they just stay seperate. Or perhaps split apart further?

Reunite? Eastern Yugoslavia is basically Serbia in another word and will have a difficult time asking Croats, Bosniaks & Slovenes to join.

I'd say it will break apart even further.

The Allies after WW2 will not want to see a Soviet presence on the Adriatic (Montenegro) and will try to do something to keep the Soviets bottled up.

Eastern Yugoslavia presents much less challenge to Bulgaria who is still hurting from losing Vardar Macedonia to Serbia in the Balkan wars. Would be interesting to see Bulgaria try again...
 
Reunite? Eastern Yugoslavia is basically Serbia in another word and will have a difficult time asking Croats, Bosniaks & Slovenes to join.

I'd say it will break apart even further.

The Allies after WW2 will not want to see a Soviet presence on the Adriatic (Montenegro) and will try to do something to keep the Soviets bottled up.

Eastern Yugoslavia presents much less challenge to Bulgaria who is still hurting from losing Vardar Macedonia to Serbia in the Balkan wars. Would be interesting to see Bulgaria try again...

There's still a rather large population of Serbs in both Croatia and Bosnia.
 
Any division of Yugoslavia will be messy. But 1945 UK has yet to learn its lesson about drawing straight line borders and messy partitions so I don't see why they wouldn't do it.

True. However, if they do it they'll be faced with new challenges soon enough. What will the UK&friends do when "Western Yugoslavia" holds its first elections and the Serbs, Croats, Slovenes and Bosniaks each overwhelmingly vote for their separatist parties? Western Yugoslavia can't patch itself up with Communist ideology or Tito's cult of personality.
 
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