Perón isn't overthrown in 1955, completes his second term?
- Thread starter Vinization
- Start date
Not sure what his replacement with a different peronist Loyalist changed tbh.
I thought his successor, Carlos Aloé, was a civilian, but then I read he wasn't so my idea is moot. Mercante was expelled because he was so popular Perón saw him as a potential challenger, so if he gets presidential ambitions his benefactor's position might actually be weaker.
There's a whole idea that there's a curse on the governorship of Buenos Aires because no governor has ever gone on to get elected president. It would be interesting if he did go on to develop presidential ambitions of his own, can't imagine how Peron would deal with it pre-coup considering how he dealt with internal rivals during his exile (murdered the shit out of Vandor for trying to control the movement in his absence).
I doubt Mercante could get the Peronist Party's nomination against the president's wishes (unless he decides not to run for a third term in 1957), but maybe he could lead an electoral coalition of dissident Peronists who think Perón should go (even though they still like him), the UCR and everyone else (Socialists and so on)? Thing is, such an alliance may hurt him if it's too big, much like it did with Tamborini in 1946.
Tamborini wasn't hurt by the broadness of his coalition, he was hurt by Peron's success in portraying himself as the people's savior against some nefarious foreign conspiracy (as opposed to the anti-fascist "Popular Front" style coalition it actually was).
Mercante splintering the peronist movement makes it ever slightly more likely that the opposition manages to win, especially the midterms, due to the change to FPTP implemented at the time.
Got it. Braden's interference and his ticket's unfortunate last names ("el tamborín y la mosca") probably hurt him more anyway.
Alright @minifidel, here's my last question:
Is it possible for Perón to urge the crowd to calm down instead of fighting back?
Is it possible for Perón to urge the crowd to calm down instead of fighting back?
Again, I daresay it would be uncharacteristic for him without changes to his personality earlier in his career. This is a man who at that point had tossed his former one of earliest allies, Cipriano Reyes, arrested and tortured. Political violence was already a part of his party's tool box.
Without a 1955 coup or at least one that is suppressed, would military coups be less of a norm in mid-20th Century Argentina and not seen as a legitimate way to gain power? I suspect politics will remain unstable and even violent given Peron's personality but perhaps there'd at least be unbroken democratic continuity from the 1940s onwards.
Would they calm down? Unleash political violence and you can not know how it will end
Well, some of the people there might, lessening the damage. Plus, Perón can always declare a state of siege to catch and, um, "interrogate" the people responsible for the attack.
Imagine being so egocentric that you replace the spiritual leader of the nation from Holy Mary to your wife
Yeah, IIRC he was planning to turn Evita's embalmed corpse into a monument right in the middle of the Plaza de Mayo.
I was talking about this, though: