@juanml82 @minifidel @ThanksforallthefishQuestion: would keeping Domingo Mercante as governor of Buenos Aires strengthen or weaken Perón's political position?
@juanml82 @minifidel @ThanksforallthefishQuestion: would keeping Domingo Mercante as governor of Buenos Aires strengthen or weaken Perón's political position?
Not sure what his replacement with a different peronist Loyalist changed tbh.
I thought his successor, Carlos Aloé, was a civilian, but then I read he wasn't so my idea is moot. Mercante was expelled because he was so popular Perón saw him as a potential challenger, so if he gets presidential ambitions his benefactor's position might actually be weaker.Not sure what his replacement with a different peronist Loyalist changed tbh.
There's a whole idea that there's a curse on the governorship of Buenos Aires because no governor has ever gone on to get elected president. It would be interesting if he did go on to develop presidential ambitions of his own, can't imagine how Peron would deal with it pre-coup considering how he dealt with internal rivals during his exile (murdered the shit out of Vandor for trying to control the movement in his absence).I thought his successor, Carlos Aloé, was a civilian, but then I read he wasn't so my idea is moot. Mercante was expelled because he was so popular Perón saw him as a potential challenger, so if he gets presidential ambitions his benefactor's position might actually be weaker.
I doubt Mercante could get the Peronist Party's nomination against the president's wishes (unless he decides not to run for a third term in 1957), but maybe he could lead an electoral coalition of dissident Peronists who think Perón should go (even though they still like him), the UCR and everyone else (Socialists and so on)? Thing is, such an alliance may hurt him if it's too big, much like it did with Tamborini in 1946.There's a whole idea that there's a curse on the governorship of Buenos Aires because no governor has ever gone on to get elected president. It would be interesting if he did go on to develop presidential ambitions of his own, can't imagine how Peron would deal with it pre-coup considering how he dealt with internal rivals during his exile (murdered the shit out of Vandor for trying to control the movement in his absence).
Tamborini wasn't hurt by the broadness of his coalition, he was hurt by Peron's success in portraying himself as the people's savior against some nefarious foreign conspiracy (as opposed to the anti-fascist "Popular Front" style coalition it actually was).I doubt Mercante could get the Peronist Party's nomination against the president's wishes (unless he decides not to run for a third term in 1957), but maybe he could lead an electoral coalition of dissident Peronists who think Perón should go (even though they still like him), the UCR and everyone else (Socialists and so on)? Thing is, such an alliance may hurt him if it's too big, much like it did with Tamborini in 1946.
Got it. Braden's interference and his ticket's unfortunate last names ("el tamborín y la mosca") probably hurt him more anyway.Tamborini wasn't hurt by the broadness of his coalition, he was hurt by Peron's success in portraying himself as the people's savior against some nefarious foreign conspiracy (as opposed to the anti-fascist "Popular Front" style coalition it actually was).
Mercante splintering the peronist movement makes it ever slightly more likely that the opposition manages to win, especially the midterms, due to the change to FPTP implemented at the time.
A Tamborini presidency would make for an interesting TL.Got it. Braden's interference and his ticket's unfortunate last names ("el tamborín y la mosca") probably hurt him more anyway.
Wikipedia said: On 15 April 1953, a terrorist group (never identified) detonated two bombs in a public rally at Plaza de Mayo, killing 7 and injuring 95. Amid the chaos, Perón exhorted the crowd to take reprisals; they made their way to their adversaries' gathering places, the Socialist Party headquarters and the aristocratic Jockey Club (both housed in magnificent turn-of-the-century Beaux-Arts buildings), and burned them to the ground.
Again, I daresay it would be uncharacteristic for him without changes to his personality earlier in his career. This is a man who at that point had tossed his former one of earliest allies, Cipriano Reyes, arrested and tortured. Political violence was already a part of his party's tool box.Is it possible for Perón to urge the crowd to calm down instead of fighting back?
Hopefully.Without a 1955 coup or at least one that is suppressed, would military coups be less of a norm in mid-20th Century Argentina and not seen as a legitimate way to gain power? I suspect politics will remain unstable and even violent given Peron's personality but perhaps there'd at least be unbroken democratic continuity from the 1940s onwards.
Would they calm down? Unleash political violence and you can not know how it will endAlright @minifidel, here's my last question:
Is it possible for Perón to urge the crowd to calm down instead of fighting back?
Well, some of the people there might, lessening the damage. Plus, Perón can always declare a state of siege to catch and, um, "interrogate" the people responsible for the attack.Would they calm down? Unleash political violence and you can not know how it will end
Imagine being so egocentric that you replace the spiritual leader of the nation from Holy Mary to your wifeWhat about the conflict with the Church?
Yeah, IIRC he was planning to turn Evita's embalmed corpse into a monument right in the middle of the Plaza de Mayo.Imagine being so egocentric that you replace the spiritual leader of the nation from Holy Mary to your wife
Wikipedia said: As 1954 drew to a close, Perón unveiled reforms far more controversial to the normally conservative Argentine public, the legalization of divorce and of prostitution. The Roman Catholic Church's Argentine leaders, whose support of Perón's government had been steadily waning since the advent of the Eva Perón Foundation, were now open antagonists of the man they called "the tyrant."