alternatehistory.com

The idea of this is to cause a 1976 election which re-aligns the GOP into a more liberal direction while sending the Democrats into a more conservative direction. The first POD is that Arthur Bremer fails to assassinate George Wallace, leaving him in perfect physical condition. The rest of history continues in mostly the same way until 1975, when Lynette Fromme successfully assassinates Gerald Ford, making Rockefeller president. In the 1976 Democratic primaries, Jimmy Carter never runs, and George Wallace is much more successful in his stead. George Wallace runs a campaign where he attempts to put his checkered past with racial issues behind him, declaring himself a moderate on racial issues, and is successful in taking the nomination. Meanwhile, Rockefeller manages to defeat a challenge by Ronald Reagan, in large part because voters who would have otherwise supported Reagan instead voted in the Democratic primary for Wallace. This makes the election Rockefeller vs. Wallace, with some liberal 3rd party candidate running and gaining a significant amount of support from liberal democrats opposed to Wallace. Rockefeller goes onto win the election, but Wallace brings back the Democratic hold in the South.

How possible is this scenario, and what would be the effects going forward?
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