NoMommsen
Donor
Not going to happen.For the record, whether or not the Franco-Russians actually end up winning this TL's WWI is a completely separate question.
However, in response to your point here, I would like to point out that, in this TL's WWI, most of Germany's army will be stationed on the eastern front to fight against Russia. Thus, France will probably only have to fight against a fraction of the German Army in this TL's WWI.
With a continuing Franco-Russian alliance Germany will ALWAYS look very keen on its western border. They will always put about half of their forces against France. And with the developing time there will be an awfull lot of fortifications on the german western borders ... as well as at its eastern borders, plans were already for quite some time in the working/thinking before August 1914, only lack of funds hindered that.
Also I HAVE to ask how you will delay a WW I of whatever form for so long.
Serbia, even if they bow to austrian demands in August 1914 will stay a mayor powderkeg.
There are the Greco-Turkish ... troubles.
Russia will further pursue its drive for the straits, maybe by teasing/pressing on Bulgaria, which again will keep things ... interseting on the Balkans.
There is also the bulgarian-serbian-greek mingling about Macedonia.
There is also the bulgarian-romanian quarrel about the Dobruscha.
Not to forget the domestic problems of Russia, which were at the beginning of August 1914 only slightly covered by the "spirit of August'.
Not to forget the domestic development in Germany ... you know : growing SPD-power politically.
And France ... Jean Jaures still killed ?
I really have problems to see NO WW I happen for such a long time until the 30ies.