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So, basically, due to whatever factors, assume that, nationally, at least 51% of the politically enfranchised South African public decides to vote "no" for abandoning allegiance to Great Britain as a crown dominion in the 1960 referendum. South Africa does not quit the Commonwealth and does not become a republic, while the pro-apartheid National Party takes a bit of a blow to its image and confidence, at least among the pro-British regions. What happens after?
Could a racist-minded secessionist movement develop in the politically Afrikaner-dominated states of Orange and Transvaal? If Afrikaner nationalist sentiment regains ground, could we end up seeing a separation of SA between a "neo-Boer" state in Orange and Transvaal and a British dominion in Natal, with the Cape state undecided but leaning towards the pro-British side?
If South Africa does end up partitioned in two, how does this affect local politics and interstate relations in the African continent? Would "Afrikaner SA" ally with Rhodesia in order to counter growing black and coloured resentment against white minority rule? What about the less troubled Cape and Natal dominions?
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