PC:Surviving right-wing dictatorship in south america

Anyway one of the right-wing South American dictatorship could survive to the present

What would be the most likely candidate and what would be required
 
Anyway one of the right-wing South American dictatorship could survive to the present

What would be the most likely candidate and what would be required

This couldn't happen in Brazil, since even the people who led the dictatorship were a bunch of US sponsored opportunists without a real project just clinging to power to purge the left and to fill their pockets while the economy was sunk into US and european loans.

I believe that Chile also cannot survive even if Pinochet won the referendum, since he was cleary opening his government at the end. Something that might survive is Fujimorist Peru, who knows?
 
This couldn't happen in Brazil, since even the people who led the dictatorship were a bunch of US sponsored opportunists without a real project just clinging to power to purge the left and to fill their pockets while the economy was sunk into US and european loans.

I believe that Chile also cannot survive even if Pinochet won the referendum, since he was cleary opening his government at the end. Something that might survive is Fujimorist Peru, who knows?

Pinochet’s dictatorship stood to last about as long as Pinochet himself at the longest. People were pretty pissed off at the regime and didn’t care to be under it for any longer than necessary.

Best case, it goes the way of Spain and turns peacefully to democracy, and it’s probably one of the few places where that could have worked.
 
Paraguay is the go-to answer for these sorts of questions.

Yeah, true. Heck, Paraguay got independent on the early 19th century and only got a democratic elected president in the early 90s.

like always, this comic:
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Paraguay might survive. It has much of history with mad dictators.

Could Argentinian military junta survive without Falkland War?
 
Paraguay might survive. It has much of history with mad dictators.

Could Argentinian military junta survive without Falkland War?

My take is that without the war it wouldn't even last a year more since their popularity was falling to the ground. This maybe could be possible if they fought and won the war, but still it is extremely unlikely, almost ASB for they to reach 2019 and still be in power since Argentinian dictators do not rule for long. By winning the war they might stay for three or four more years and then return the democracy while claiming all the glory as the heroes who brought the falklands under their control.

But let me call a expert that know way more than me, @juanml82
 
If Cuba and Venezuela can survive in America's hemisphere, then I'm sure right wing dictatorships could survive.

Eh, there is a thing to be said, however.

Cuba and Venezuela came from a ideological mindset, basically the idea to persue a goal that couldn't be persued by democratic means, to give a solution that wasn't possible without a dictatorship. This is the case also for the brazilian new state dictatorship (to overcome the Brazilian backwardness), for the Soviet Union (to persue socialism and communism), for the Chinese KMT or Ataturk turkey.

With the right wing dictatorships of the cold war, however, it was basically a bunch of opportunistic military personell who took over either by their own personel gain like Manuel Noriega, either because the US asked them like in the case of the 1964-85 military regime in Brazil, to fight communism, or because these junta wanted to purge a internal enemy, like the argentinian junta that took over to crack down on both peronists and communists. This kind of dictatorship is not built to last, there is little ideology apart from anti communism and cracking the head of the opposition, there is no dream of a long lasting regime to change the social order or fix structural problem, no concept of a greater good, so these dictatorships fall or democratize. The most brutal junta we know is the Argentinian one, and even they didn't wanted to turn Argentina into a stratocracy, had they won the falklands war they still would end giving up power to the civilians while their corrupt officers would retire with large pensions, with the only difference is that instead of traitors they might be remembered as the heroes that conquered the malvinas.
 
My take is that without the war it wouldn't even last a year more since their popularity was falling to the ground. This maybe could be possible if they fought and won the war, but still it is extremely unlikely, almost ASB for they to reach 2019 and still be in power since Argentinian dictators do not rule for long. By winning the war they might stay for three or four more years and then return the democracy while claiming all the glory as the heroes who brought the falklands under their control.

But let me call a expert that know way more than me, @juanml82
Agreed. No way they survive the Latin American lost decade.
There was no apetite for long dictatorships in Argentina since Rosas, all the way back to the 19th century. Onganía hinted he wanted to rule for twenty years and ended up resigned by his own Junta.
 
Well, to keep the thread alive, there is Alberto Fujimori
peru-alberto-fujimori-globalpostcom.jpg
He's a 1990s dictator, and Peru had to deal with so bad, so awfull, so horrible presidents and dictators before he showed up that he still got some prestige because of that. Make no mistake however, he is corrupt to the bone, he stole from his country and left it to Japan after it became impossible to continue ruling like a Sultan.

The main reason why I think that he could have lasted is that his family still is influent, his daughter almost got elected by a difference of only 1% of the votes, he recently got the presidential pardon for his crimes. Maybe if he manages to hide his corruption (or even better but ASB: to NOT be corrupt at all) he can last until today, as he's alive.
 
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