To be fair, it was the central government who started it. They preemptively attacked minority groups out of the thought that they MIGHT ask for the rights to autonomy that had been agreed upon when they got together for a conference and made a deal with the British to give the country independence,Shan States, the Karen, Arakan, pretty much the majority of the country's area has an ethnic group which has taken up arms against the central government in the past over some grievance or another and wanted more autonomy or independence. It's pretty amazing that the country hasn't imploded.
Well, aside a possible balkanization of Myanmar itself ... there would most likely begin some 'struggle' for 'unification' with their tribesmen and -women in all the neighouring states as well like Thailand and Laos with their large Karen and Shan minorities at least, not to speak of India and China with the Chin and Kotchin speaking minorities there as well.Anyway Myanmar could Balkanize
What regions could successfully secede
Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, and Indonesia have all expressed a willingness and ability to ruthlessly crush minorities that step out of line. Balkanization isn’t happening unless it is forced by foreign invaders.Well, aside a possible balkanization of Myanmar itself ... there would most likely begin some 'struggle' for 'unification' with their tribesmen and -women in all the neighouring states as well like Thailand and Laos with their large Karen and Shan minorities at least, not to speak of India and China with the Chin and Kotchin speaking minorities there as well.
There's a good chance that a 'balkanization' of one state might cause a balkanization all of south-east asia, turning only too fast into a post-communistic 'yugoslaviation' with all its horrors.
... we haven't talked much about a/the POD yet ...Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, and Indonesia have all expressed a willingness and ability to ruthlessly crush minorities that step out of line. Balkanization isn’t happening unless it is forced by foreign invaders.