PC: Guerrila war against Soviet Invasions of Hungary, Czechoslovakia?

What are the odds of the Hungarians and/or the Czechoslovaks waging a guerria campaign after the Soviet invasions of those nations in 1956 and 1968. What would the consequences be for those nations and for the Soviets and the Cold War? Does this drag on for a long time and/or does this accelerate the end of the Cold War or the Collapse of the USSR.
 
They would need the support of the west to continue a long-term guerrilla war. In the case of Hungary the only non-Warsaw pact country they shared a border with was Austria which was officially neutral and probably wouldn't allow NATO to attempt to smuggle weapons and supplies across the border.
 
They would need the support of the west to continue a long-term guerrilla war. In the case of Hungary the only non-Warsaw pact country they shared a border with was Austria which was officially neutral and probably wouldn't allow NATO to attempt to smuggle weapons and supplies across the border.

Hungary also shared border with Tito´s Yugoslavia, which already broke with the Soviet Union.
 
What are the odds of the Hungarians and/or the Czechoslovaks waging a guerria campaign after the Soviet invasions of those nations in 1956 and 1968. What would the consequences be for those nations and for the Soviets and the Cold War? Does this drag on for a long time and/or does this accelerate the end of the Cold War or the Collapse of the USSR.
I guess in Czechoslovakia just some 20 years after WWII we didn't want our country get fucked up again? Especially as invasion was total surprise. On other side even if there were over 108 killed and many injured by occupying forces. Soviets and others still showed some restrain, not killing people left and right. If that was the case it made change a game.
 
Hungary also shared border with Tito´s Yugoslavia, which already broke with the Soviet Union.

The problem is that Tito thought that the Hungarian Revolution--which would have been fine, in his view, if it had stopped with Golmulka-type reforms--had gone too far. It was one thing to favor a liberalized Communism in Hungary, quite another to support the overthrow of Communism there. Hence Tito reluctantly backed the second Soviet military intervention [1], while hoping that the crushing of "counter-revolution" would not mean an end to reforms. Obviously, this latter hope was largely disappointed--and the Yugoslavs were paritucularly outraged by the execution of Imre Nagy--but there is no way Tito is gong to back anti-Communist guerrillas in Hungary.

[1] "The meeting on the island of Brioni, at three in the morning on 2 November, far exceeded Khrushchev's and Malenkov's expectations.21 The top Yugoslav leaders — Edvard Kardelj and Aleksandar Rankovic were there as well as Tito — immediately conceded that military intervention was essential, to safeguard the achievements of socialism..."
http://webcache.googleusercontent.c...&id=13:publications+&cd=3&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us
 
Neither Czechoslovakia or Hungary are big enough for citizens waging a long-term guerilla war against their communist governments, without these resistance movements being eventually crushed. Even if you had new resistance movements popping up every other week, like mushrooms after rain, they would achieve nothing even if they stooped to large-scale terrorism and sabotage.

First reason why they'd fail: The government, in control of all the media outlets, would gain incredible propaganda ammo. You might even see anti-communist efforts, including those of peaceful dissent, seriously undermined compared to OTL.

Second reason why they'd fail: Czechoslovakia and Hungary under communism were fairly militarised states, as well as having nearly all-powerful law enforcement agencies. These have all the country' resources at their fingertips and are given priority by the government to keep order at all costs. Do you think a bunch of under-equipped guerillas could keep fighting minor victory after minor victory against these guys, for decades on end ? Yeah, they couldn't. Forget about NATO or the CIA or whoever supplying these guerillas to stick it to communism. It would be diplomatically too risky, and economically/militarily ineffective.

David also made some fine points on Tito's Yugoslavia not supporting the overthrow of communism in central Europe, as he feared the overthrow of his brand of communism in Yugoslavia, and was also opposed to resistance against communism on principle anyway.
 
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