BigBlueBox
Banned
Scenario 1:
The German communists decide not to launch the Spartacus Uprising. Instead they participate in the 1919 Weimar elections and get a large enough share of the vote that the SPD has to invite them into the Weimar Coalition. Zentrum refuses to join a coalition that KPD is a member of. The Treaty of Versailles ends up being harsher due to the presence of the KPD and the Entente's anti-communist stance. The KPD walks out of the coalition and refuses to endorse the ToV, forcing the SPD to get all the blame. The Kapp putsch ends up getting significantly more support from the Reichswehr and German conservatives as a reaction against the KPD being treated as a legitimate political party and the harsher ToV. This forces the SPD to ally with the KPD, causing a full-blown civil war. The KPD usurps power from its erstwhile SPD allies during the war and comes out victorious.
Scenario 2:
The same as Scenario 1 except the Kapp Putsch manages to decapitate the SPD leadership and decisively seize control. The Kapp junta refuses to pay the ToV reparations or abide by the disarmament clauses, leading to a French invasion of Germany to restore the Weimar Republic under the leadership of a servile SPD government. The Freikorps and the German far-right ends up being almost completely destroyed by the French and discredited as well. Once the French leave, the mostly undamaged KPD ends up overthrowing the SPD, which is extremely unpopular due to collaborating with the French.
Are these two scenarios plausible? I compared them to the October Revolution because both involve a first revolution that removes the monarchy and establishes a parliamentary republic under the leadership of a social democratic/moderate socialist government and a second revolution that replaces that government with a full communist regime. Friedrich Ebert would be remembered as the German Kerensky in these scenarios.
The German communists decide not to launch the Spartacus Uprising. Instead they participate in the 1919 Weimar elections and get a large enough share of the vote that the SPD has to invite them into the Weimar Coalition. Zentrum refuses to join a coalition that KPD is a member of. The Treaty of Versailles ends up being harsher due to the presence of the KPD and the Entente's anti-communist stance. The KPD walks out of the coalition and refuses to endorse the ToV, forcing the SPD to get all the blame. The Kapp putsch ends up getting significantly more support from the Reichswehr and German conservatives as a reaction against the KPD being treated as a legitimate political party and the harsher ToV. This forces the SPD to ally with the KPD, causing a full-blown civil war. The KPD usurps power from its erstwhile SPD allies during the war and comes out victorious.
Scenario 2:
The same as Scenario 1 except the Kapp Putsch manages to decapitate the SPD leadership and decisively seize control. The Kapp junta refuses to pay the ToV reparations or abide by the disarmament clauses, leading to a French invasion of Germany to restore the Weimar Republic under the leadership of a servile SPD government. The Freikorps and the German far-right ends up being almost completely destroyed by the French and discredited as well. Once the French leave, the mostly undamaged KPD ends up overthrowing the SPD, which is extremely unpopular due to collaborating with the French.
Are these two scenarios plausible? I compared them to the October Revolution because both involve a first revolution that removes the monarchy and establishes a parliamentary republic under the leadership of a social democratic/moderate socialist government and a second revolution that replaces that government with a full communist regime. Friedrich Ebert would be remembered as the German Kerensky in these scenarios.