Also maybe radical Afrikaaner Nationalists with a pro Nazi-ideology might radicalize further aswell and become a problem for the governmwnt.I would say that a country the size of South Africa would be hard pressed to maintain Apartheid. If it it does happen, I imagine that many OTL ANC members will be radicalized.
The Afrikaners afraid of losing control restricted emigration from Europe after WW2.
Even if more white immigration had been increased it is basically impossible to get to 30-40% of the population. Normally immigration is used to meet shortages in Labour. In South Africa there is no labour shortage in unskillefd labour as there are millions of dispossessed and oppressed Africans who are forced to work for next to nothing in the cities and mines. Where exactly is the unskilled Italian or Polish immigrant going to work in your scenorio? Apartheid and the Colour Bar before it essentially created a system whereby whites operated as skilled and semi skilled labour which created a solid middle and upper class, while blacks and other groups work as low skilled labour. Low black wages is what was able to sustain the white middle class, without it the white middle class does not exist, which defeats the entire purpose of Apartheid in South Africa.If South Africa had the most liberal immigration policy towards Europeans and some Asian too maybe. If the white population is in the 30 to 40 percent area the system might last longer. They could get a lot of immigration after ww1 and even a little before if they let people in pretty freely. The US and most other places are cutting back on immigration so that could benefit South Africa. If they want to continue being a white rule country they have to be willing to allow more whites in and preferably become a majority in some areas. If they consider Jews as white that could be a lot of people during the 30s. They could have accepted more Italians, Jews, Slavs, Germans, Portuguese, Japanese, Chinese, Irish, and Brits they could have greatly changed demographics. Afrikaans and Brits there would probably stay the dominant force if they are willing to work together and assimilate immigrants. But this apartheid system would only be temporary and less strict. They are basically buying time until they are majority and the black population is a minority or at least plurality of the population. That was the Anglo model for settler colonies. When the Afrikaans took over they only really wanted Dutch immigrants. The issue is there isn’t a enough of them and many are fine where there at. They have to be willing to accept people who want to leave where they are at. I think you could maybe give South Africa Brazilian type demographic. That country would likely be a continuation of the original republic.
I figured since the end of the cold war ended significant ties with the ANC and given the two countries quasi-policy of non-interference in domestic affairs of states and relationship with other pariah states such as Iran,North Korea, and Sudan. Chinese need for natural resources along with just sticking to the United States. I figured China and Russia could act as patrons.South Africa is a serious pariah state , why would Russia, which trained and supported the ANC all of a sudden change tune and begin supporting the apartheid government? Same with China.
Maybe they could just give white people free stuff. So, maybe a Polish person immigrates to South Africa, and is given a nice house and a piece of land with some black servants. A sort of race based socialist system in which whites are given lots of privileges and free stuff, while blacks end up paying for all that stuff in the form of very cheap labor. The white families coming in will fulfill their role just by reproducing. That becomes an incentive for European immigrants to come to South Africa. Unrealistic, I'm pretty sure, but it's an idea for the softer AHers, like myself, here.Even if more white immigration had been increased it is basically impossible to get to 30-40% of the population. Normally immigration is used to meet shortages in Labour. In South Africa there is no labour shortage in unskillefd labour as there are millions of dispossessed and oppressed Africans who are forced to work for next to nothing in the cities and mines. Where exactly is the unskilled Italian or Polish immigrant going to work in your scenorio? Apartheid and the Colour Bar before it essentially created a system whereby whites operated as skilled and semi skilled labour which created a solid middle and upper class, while blacks and other groups work as low skilled labour. Low black wages is what was able to sustain the white middle class, without it the white middle class does not exist, which defeats the entire purpose of Apartheid in South Africa.
Thats what happened under apartheid. In fact that basically what I described. The Afrikaaners were basically uplifted from poverty from that systemMaybe they could just give white people free stuff. So, maybe a Polish person immigrates to South Africa, and is given a nice house and a piece of land with some black servants. A sort of race based socialist system in which whites are given lots of privileges and free stuff, while blacks end up paying for all that stuff in the form of very cheap labor. The white families coming in will fulfill their role just by reproducing. That becomes an incentive for European immigrants to come to South Africa. Unrealistic, I'm pretty sure, but it's an idea for the softer AHers, like myself, here.
Well, you said that a Polish immigrant wouldn't come in because they would have no where to work, but I said that a Polish immigrant would come precisely because they don't have to work. As to the 40% population thing, I guess the 60% would work for the 40%? I not much of a numbers person, so I don't know how that will work. Maybe South Africa gets a patron who financially supports it, in return for its resources. South Africa could also do a lot of ethnic cleansing of blacks to other colonies, who are then allowed to return as annual workers, who only arrive to seasonally work on stuff for the White government, but who are then forced to return to other areas when they have completed their work for the year. I don't remember how large the black population of the American South was, but I'm sure that it was only a little bit above the white populations generally. Someone could look into that, and then see how that would for South Africa.Thats what happened under apartheid. In fact that basically what I described. The Afrikaaners were basically uplifted from poverty from that system
How are you going to do that for 40% of the populatuon?Its ASB.
Well, you said that a Polish immigrant wouldn't come in because they would have no where to work, but I said that a Polish immigrant would come precisely because they don't have to work. As to the 40% population thing, I guess the 60% would work for the 40%? I not much of a numbers person, so I don't know how that will work. Maybe South Africa gets a patron who financially supports it, in return for its resources. South Africa could also do a lot of ethnic cleansing of blacks to other colonies, who are then allowed to return as annual workers, who only arrive to seasonally work on stuff for the White government, but who are then forced to return to other areas when they have completed their work for the year. I don't remember how large the black population of the American South was, but I'm sure that it was only a little bit above the white populations generally. Someone could look into that, and then see how that would for South Africa.