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With a POD no earlier than 1 September 1939, how plausible is it that Norway could end WWII as either a satellite state or de facto vassal of the USSR? What would be the most likely way that this would come about, and how might such a change shape Norway, and Scandinavia during the Cold War?

A few points of reference:
• The Soviets occupied much of the Finnmark province of Norway in late 1944, while the Western Allies did not set foot in that country until the surrender of Germany in May 1945.
• Roughly 10% of the population supported the Norwegian Communist Party in the first election after WWII.

I would assume that any aggressive Soviet designs on Norway would only be carried out in the event of an earlier breakdown in relations between the Allies. Such a move would antagonize the UK to no end, and put the Swedes in a terrible strategic situation. On the plus side, for the Soviets, would be that it would of great strategic value their navy and air force to have Atlantic bases outside of the Arctic Circle, and located so close the the British Isles.
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