Partial Jacobite Success in 1745

Prince Charles Edward Stuart landed in Scotland in July 1745 to reclaim the British Crown for his father. Now, imagine that the Scottish clans had refused to enter England, but that they would support him as the ruler of an independent Scotland. What could the outcome have been?

Also this would have answered French ambitions of destabilising Great Britain and so we can assume that they would have been supportive of restoring the Stuarts in Scotland only whilst King George II remained on the English throne.
 
How well could Charles secure the loyalty of all Scots, not just Highlanders? His Stuart ancestors meddling in the Church of Scotland is the main factor that led the Scots to rebel against Charles I. Would the largely Presbyterian lowlanders trust a Catholic king over the government that, for all its faults, had mostly left them alone?

Even granted that Charles could win a purely defensive war, I don't think either Charles or George II would have accepted only ruling half their rightful realm; Charles viewed himself as rightfully king of both Scotland and England, after all. Any peace that left a Jacobite Scotland and a Hanoverian England would just be a truce until both sides could rearm and go at it again.
 
How well could Charles secure the loyalty of all Scots, not just Highlanders? His Stuart ancestors meddling in the Church of Scotland is the main factor that led the Scots to rebel against Charles I. Would the largely Presbyterian lowlanders trust a Catholic king over the government that, for all its faults, had mostly left them alone?

I don't know if you've read Pittock's The Myth of the Jacobite Clans by any chance?
 
Can't say I have. I know the Jacobites recruited from the Lowlands with some success, but so did the government forces. It's not as simple as Highlands vs. Lowlands, but Charles still had internal enemies to deal with as well as facing down a much more united (not to mention larger and richer) England.
 
This the one who was willing to convert religion for whichever crown he got, right? At least near the end. Not that it was too uncommon in th east, but would put off supporters. Anyways, Wngland tended to be the main prize. Large population, strong leadership, massive domain, loads of cash... Probably a lot more prestigious as well. Anyways, if we hypothetically say that he does go for it, would he try claiming other areas as well? Such as saying the Island of Man was a Scottish fife, that Antrim was Scottish settled and should go to him, that Nova Scotia be part of the divorce settlement... Honestly, I see many Englishmen not minding if they could be sure the neighbor wasn't hostile. Not about giving up the stuff, just about ending the Union. The Stuart's wouldn't last too long, though. The first Stuart King broke his word to come back every year to visit Scotland, and the others didn't exactly show them much love.
 
If you want a fully independent Scotland, a good place to start would be having both of Charles Edward's ships arrive in Scotland. OTL the Elisabeth, a man-of-war, was carrying over 700 men from the Irish brigades and a large weapon's stockpile, including heavy artillery needed to besiege forts and fortresses. Unfortunately, the Elisabeth was intercepted by the HMS Lion and forced to turn back to France.

Having the Elisabeth make it to Scotland make it to Scotland would be a game changer. The Jacobites can besiege the Hannovarian held barracks, forts and castles across Scotland, securing their hold over the country and potentially helping in England.
 
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