Say, if as per Pasha's PoD he used for his TL, Hüseyin_Avni_Paşa survived the assassination, and then he as a capable Minister of War provided the unity of command(what IOTL Ottomans didn't have that time) for the Ottoman Army to successfully repel Russian invasion,.... how will the other powers perceive such result effecting the continental and global Balance of Power ?
Ottoman Empire has just successfully saved its face and power base, while Russia hasn't, for the face part at least. The latter's prestige have taken a severe beating, and considering that her war against Ottomans was in part a diversion attempt from internal problems, interesting time will ensue there.
Without Bulgaria being formed, it means nationalism has taken a setback, and with Russian Balkan ambition killed, both things will effect Austria-Hungary's latter foreign policies, especially since later means elimination of a main point of friction with Russia.
Also, IOTL due to the defeat, Ottomans under Abdul Hamid II underwent a period of despotism, while previously the empire was pretty much a rapidly liberalizing constitutional monarchy with functioning parliament and democracy. This was in part, other than Abdul Hamid's personal nature and the vulnerable state of the post-defeat empire to Padishah's encroachment, also because of Russian pressure who didn't want to be the only autocracy in Europe. ITTL, will it be the Russian Empire instead which will liberalize more quickly ?
What will become of the European alliance system ? As with A-H, Germany also distanced themselves from Russia after the war, and Bismarck played a fierce role in limiting Russian gains from the war. How will Germany take a defeated Russia, however ? Also, how will be France and Britain's take on the matter, respectively ?
Ottoman Empire has just successfully saved its face and power base, while Russia hasn't, for the face part at least. The latter's prestige have taken a severe beating, and considering that her war against Ottomans was in part a diversion attempt from internal problems, interesting time will ensue there.
Without Bulgaria being formed, it means nationalism has taken a setback, and with Russian Balkan ambition killed, both things will effect Austria-Hungary's latter foreign policies, especially since later means elimination of a main point of friction with Russia.
Also, IOTL due to the defeat, Ottomans under Abdul Hamid II underwent a period of despotism, while previously the empire was pretty much a rapidly liberalizing constitutional monarchy with functioning parliament and democracy. This was in part, other than Abdul Hamid's personal nature and the vulnerable state of the post-defeat empire to Padishah's encroachment, also because of Russian pressure who didn't want to be the only autocracy in Europe. ITTL, will it be the Russian Empire instead which will liberalize more quickly ?
What will become of the European alliance system ? As with A-H, Germany also distanced themselves from Russia after the war, and Bismarck played a fierce role in limiting Russian gains from the war. How will Germany take a defeated Russia, however ? Also, how will be France and Britain's take on the matter, respectively ?
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