OTL Election maps resources thread

Discussion in 'Alternate History Maps and Graphics' started by Thande, Sep 10, 2011.

  1. OwenM Raging Against The Dying Of The Light

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    I guess, it's just it feels like this was something mostly like the then current battlefield and conditions - much more like Wales or England (outside the West Country, and I'm not even sure about that) in 2015 than Scotland even in 1997 rather than then.
     
  2. Harlow Some kinda socialist

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2016
    2017 Dutch Election map, divided into municipality. Note that the Netherlands has a system entirely based on proportional representation, so the map simply shows which regions the different parties performed the best in--instead of a system based on FPTP. I may do more maps that show individual party strength when I have the time.

    [​IMG]

    The People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD), your basic European centre-right conservative liberal party, maintained its hold on government for a third straight term, and will likely form a coalition of four parties in the coming weeks or months in order to form government. While they lost 8 seats from their last election, they still have 13 more seats than the second-placing party. A last-minute diplomatic kerfuffle with the Turkish government showed Prime Minister Mark Rutte's rational tenacity against adversity, and boosted his poll numbers.

    The
    Party for Freedom (PVV), led by Geert Wilders, is an extreme far-right nationalist party based on anti-Islamism and hard Euroscepticism. The party made international news, and was expected to follow in the footsteps of other recent right-wing populist movements such as Brexit and the 2016 United States Presidential Election. Though the party had led almost all the polls for a year leading up to the election, they lost momentum during the campaign, even winning less seats than they did in 2010. The other main parties have explicitly rejected forming a coalition with PVV.

    The
    Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA) is a centrist party based on Christian democracy, and was at the head of government from 2002-2010. They were able to boost their seats in the 2017 election from 13 to 19.

    Democrats 66 (D66) is a centrist, pro-European, social liberal, and progressive party. This result was their second-highest number of seats won in Parliament.

    The
    Socialist Party (SP) is left-wing, democratic socialist, and Eurosceptic. They are seen as a more left alternative to the Labour Party. Though the party has made gains in recent elections, and held steady this election, they have never been part of a coalition in government.

    GroenLinks ("GreenLeft") (GL) is a centre-left, pro-European party based off of Green politics. Their party is seen as the biggest winner of these elections, raising their seat count from 4 to 14, and for the first time gaining the most votes in Amsterdam, where the Labour Party once reigned supreme. Their leader, Jesse Klader (called "The Jessiah" by some) has been compared to Justin Trudeau for his looks, youth, and optimism, as well as to Barack Obama for his campaign style. Klader offered a warm, accepting message compared to Wilders' message of harsh insularism.

    The centre-left, social-democratic
    Labour Party (PvdA), coming off of a coalition with the VVD, lost significantly in these elections, their seat total falling from 38 to 9. They did not win a plurality of votes in any municipality, and lost their bastions of support in Amsterdam and the north of the country.

    The
    Christian Union (CU) is another centre-to-centre-right Christian democratic party in the Netherlands. They are newer and tend to perform worse than the CDA in elections.

    The
    Party for the Animals (PvdD), a left-wing party based on animal rights, soft Euroscepticism, and environmentalism, saw its best result yet, with 5 seats in Parliament. The party is a testimonial party, an explicitly Dutch phenomenon wherein a party does not seek to form a coalition in government, and instead focuses on making sure its principles are represented.

    50Plus (50+) is a populist, pensioner's interests party founded in 2009, which also saw its best result in this election with 4 seats.

    The
    Reformed Political Party (SGP) is an orthodox Protestant Calvinist party. Like the Party for the Animals, the SGP is also a testimonial party. The party has social conservative ideals, and is opposed to universal suffrage, instead proposing "organic suffrage" wherein the male is legally the head of household. Up until 2006, the party did not allow female membership.

    Denk (Dutch: "think"; Turkish: "equality") was created in 2015 after two Turkish-Dutch representatives split off from the Labour Party. Denk is left-wing and promotes multiculturalism and social democracy.

    The
    Forum for Democracy (FvD) is a right-wing Eurosceptic party that advocates for direct democracy. Like Denk, this party was also created in 2015 and this is its first time in Parliament.

    Projected Seats:




    [​IMG]

    VVD: 33
    PVV: 20
    CDA: 19
    D66: 19
    SP: 14
    GL: 14
    PvdA: 9
    CU: 5
    PvdD: 5
    50+: 4
    SGP: 3
    Denk: 3
    FvD: 2
     
    Last edited: Mar 16, 2017
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  3. Utgard96 Coca-Cola, Sometimes War

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    There's a majority shaded map in the pipeline that @Alex Richards and myself are working on, but if you'd like to do party strength maps that would be greatly appreciated nonetheless.
     
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  4. Analytical Engine Monarchist Collectivist Federalist

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    Is there a province-wide map of majorities as well?
     
  5. Utgard96 Coca-Cola, Sometimes War

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    At a guess, PVV win Limburg, CDA win Friesland and maybe Overijsel, someone (I honestly haven't a clue) wins Groningen and VVD win everything else.
     
  6. Thande Countdown to Canada Donor

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    I was going to suggest that as well, providing the numbers are readily available.

    EDIT: Here is a map I found elsewhere of the first party by municipality (as above) but also the runner-up in each municipality. No, the PvdA didn't come second anywhere either.

    Netherlands 2017.jpg
     
  7. Alex Richards Possibly the Platonic Ideal of a Politibrit Donor

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    The PvdA collapse has been so complete that it's a rarity to come across a municipality where they got over 10% of the vote.

    Though there is a small corridor in Friesland focused on Leeuwarden.
     
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  8. asanh Triumph, Heritage, Employment

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    within
    It's pretty shocking, the reason for that is that their strongholds completely turned against them.
    (this would be a really really weird election under FPTP)
     
  9. Analytical Engine Monarchist Collectivist Federalist

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    *cough*Canada*cough*
     
  10. ajross All-around Psephological Sensualist

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    And pleasingly that small SP corner up the top are basically those places that stuck with them even in 2002 aka the last time this happened (if admittedly on a smaller scale).
     
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  11. Bjornhattan Walter Mondale '84

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    It's like if the Liberal Democrats had been a major party after 2010 and collapsed to eight seats despite that (though under FPTP the PvdA would have no seats at all).
     
  12. Thande Countdown to Canada Donor

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    It's not that comparable because the Lib Dems have never had a 'safe voter bloc' they can rely on, which I assume the PvdA formerly did given their history similar to Labour or the SPD. A collapse of a (once) class based party like that is more noteworthy in my opinion.
     
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  13. Utgard96 Coca-Cola, Sometimes War

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    Before the war, when they were the SDAP, they were one of the four pillars of Dutch society (the others being the Catholic Church, the Reformed Churches and the liberal/"general" pillar of business and intellectual interests). Party officials used to boast that their voters put "SDAP" down as their religion on census forms. The only other times since the First World War that they'd polled less than 20% before this were in 1918, 2002 and 2010.
     
  14. Alex Richards Possibly the Platonic Ideal of a Politibrit Donor

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    And now there's only 5 municipalities in the whole country where the managed to get over 10% of the vote...
     
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  15. Thande Countdown to Canada Donor

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    Thought so. Of course pillarisation makes it even more stark, as you say.

    I wasn't aware "PvdA" was a postwar rebrand, a party name that explicitly mentions 'workers' sounds to English ears like either a major party with a name left over from the late 19th century, or a minor irrelevant Marxist group.
     
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  16. Nanwe Latte Liberal

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    Oct 3, 2011
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    Sweden-bound
    Idk why but the Belgian parties also did the same after WWII. The Belgian Worker's Party (Parti Ouvrièr Belge, POB) became the Belgian Socialist Party (BSP-PSB).
     
  17. ajross All-around Psephological Sensualist

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    Austro-Scot in Vienna
    It was pretty explicitly modelled on Labour in fact which the name also translates as - the idea being to break the pillar system by a (wait shit I've just realised what I'm about to say) PROGRESSIVE ALLIANCE that included the left-of-centre middle class. This, to the surprise of Surely Literally No-one, came to zero.
     
  18. Utgard96 Coca-Cola, Sometimes War

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    Good that their name doesn't then - PvdA stands for Partij van de Arbeid, or Party of Labour in English. As for why they chose that name, well…

    [​IMG]
     
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  19. Heat Get Off The Earth Gone Fishin'

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    Aberdeen, Serious Scotland
    Well, I'm never complaining about Razem ripping off Podemos again.
     
  20. Thande Countdown to Canada Donor

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    Location:
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    I'm finally in a position to begin posting those London maps I've mentioned before and here is an example.

    Before I go on, I'd like to get opinions, especially from our London-based members ( @Meadow @Lord Roem @Comisario @TheDarkMessiah @Gregg @Julius Vogel and any others I've forgotten) - do you think this looks better with thicker lines on the main map to delineate the boroughs or without?

    (Thanks also to Alex for making these basemaps MANY MOONS AGO)

    X-LMAYOR2016.png
    X2-LMAYOR2016.png