We've had plenty of "Valkyrie Successful" threads and the like, but I don't recall any discussing the implications of a successful Operation Foxley - that is the SOE plan to assassinate Hitler at the Berghof in July of 1944.
Essentially, the plan called for a British sniper and a polish born SOE agent (the fluent German speaker of the pair) to infiltrate the Berghof disguised as german soldiers, and shoot Hitler on his morning exercise. What historical analysis of the plan I've seen gives it perhaps a 20% chance of success.
But, I don't want a discussion of the plan itself. Lets assume that the SOe is successful and does manage to assassinate the Fuhrer (and that he dies instantly from the sniper's bullet). Now, the dates given as most likely for the operation were July 13 or 14 of 1944 during what was ultimately Hitler's last visit to his alpine home. Now, this just so happens to be a week prior to the date planned for the July twentieth plot.
So, basically what would be the long and short term consequences of the success of this plot. Would the Valkyrie conspirators try to put some form of their plan into action? Would Nazi Germany disintegrate into a bunch of different fiefdoms, each ruled by a powerful official? Would thi prolong the war, or bring it to a more timely conclusion?
Essentially, the plan called for a British sniper and a polish born SOE agent (the fluent German speaker of the pair) to infiltrate the Berghof disguised as german soldiers, and shoot Hitler on his morning exercise. What historical analysis of the plan I've seen gives it perhaps a 20% chance of success.
But, I don't want a discussion of the plan itself. Lets assume that the SOe is successful and does manage to assassinate the Fuhrer (and that he dies instantly from the sniper's bullet). Now, the dates given as most likely for the operation were July 13 or 14 of 1944 during what was ultimately Hitler's last visit to his alpine home. Now, this just so happens to be a week prior to the date planned for the July twentieth plot.
So, basically what would be the long and short term consequences of the success of this plot. Would the Valkyrie conspirators try to put some form of their plan into action? Would Nazi Germany disintegrate into a bunch of different fiefdoms, each ruled by a powerful official? Would thi prolong the war, or bring it to a more timely conclusion?