Only Nixon can go to Cuba

In 1972 Richard Nixon repeals the Cuban Embargo Act and allows the same sort of trade with Cuba as with the countries of Eastern Europe.

How long before communism in Cuba collapses?
 

Wolfpaw

Banned
In 1972 Richard Nixon repeals the Cuban Embargo Act and allows the same sort of trade with Cuba as with the countries of Eastern Europe.

How long before communism in Cuba collapses?

I'm not at all sure communism would really "collapse." You could see a sort of China-situation developing in Cuba, though obviously not on such a grand scale. The country's pumped full of foreign capital because they can make things cheaper and because the (probably) booming rebirth of the tourism and gambling industries could make the island quite wealthy.

So, like China now, communism doesn't "collapse," but rather just becomes an ideology that takes backseat to budding corporatism.
 
I'm not at all sure communism would really "collapse." You could see a sort of China-situation developing in Cuba, though obviously not on such a grand scale. The country's pumped full of foreign capital because they can make things cheaper and because the (probably) booming rebirth of the tourism and gambling industries could make the island quite wealthy.

So, like China now, communism doesn't "collapse," but rather just becomes an ideology that takes backseat to budding corporatism.

China is the largest and most populous country on Earth, Cuba is a smallish island near an economic hyperpower. I'd really expect Cuba to react more like Poland or East Germany too an open door policy from the USA.
 
China is the largest and most populous country on Earth, Cuba is a smallish island near an economic hyperpower. I'd really expect Cuba to react more like Poland or East Germany too an open door policy from the USA.

Except Cuba is nothing like a Soviet puppet like E Germany. Its revolution was homegrown, and it's proven it can survive the fall of the Soviets by several decades.

Probably you'd see happening in the 1970s much like what's happening now in Cuba, small incremental steps towards very limited political freedoms and much larger practical steps towards economic freedoms as a way of keeping Fidelismo alive. The tourists start coming in the 1970s instead of 1990s.

The amusing part would be the reaction of the Miami mafiosos like Jorge Mas Canosa to losing power. No Repub and Dem kowtowing to their hysterical demands anymore. Florida politics would be much saner. No Elian Gonzalez type fiascos, no Cuban American terrorists carrying out terrorism vs Cuban airlines and hotels.
 
Except Cuba is nothing like a Soviet puppet like E Germany. Its revolution was homegrown, and it's proven it can survive the fall of the Soviets by several decades.

It's survived the fall of the Soviets by several decades while under an American embargo. You remove the Soviets propping the regime up from the inside and the Americans pushing it together from the outside and I think the whole thing would collaspe. Communist regimes have repeatedly shown that they don't have the internal flexibilty to keep their people content when those people have access to democratic societies.
 
A country can be Communist and Democratic at the same time.

I think, what would happen is that Cuba would simply start using the political system, it has in theory, rather than manipulating things.

I really don't see Cuba collapsing or becoming Capitalist either, sure it'll adopt some market reforms, but it's going to go more Market Socialist than anything.
 
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