Israel doesn't have the population to sustain a high-intensity war for a decade.
any reason why France would interveneIf it is in the 50s however france will intervene if it does get really bad, i
Would Israel have the capacity to reach major Arab cities and a bomb large enough to cause major damage.they will eventually get a nuclear weapon, and in the context of a near-total war they would use it, or at least threaten to use it.
How bad would an economic collapse be and could Israel adjust it's economy for such a long and total war?The main problem is that Israel couldn't fight a total war for an extended period of time, not with their developed economy, during the yum kippur if they had to fight for mroe than a few months their economy would have collapsed with so many people in the army.
Wouldn't that only be in the context of total collapse of Israel and being pushed into the seaLatter it's impossible thanks to US involvment.
Anytime from late 1940s to the mid 1970sWhen?
definitely Egypt and Syria, maybe Lebanon and Jordan, and whatever forces the other Arab and other friendly countries sendWhat countries?
So there's an open treaty between Israel and two Arab states, in the 1950s, at the height of Arab Nationalism under Gamal Abdul Nasser? How long does it take till Amman and Beirut get new governments? Or until they break out in open civil warfare? The treaty would break long before, at the pressuring of Egypt and its supporters, forcing Jordan and Lebanon to renounce the treaty.King Abdullah of Jordan survives being shot in 1949 and proceeds to cut a deal with Israel as was rumored: Israel would recognize Jordan's acquisition of the West Bank and Jordan would recognize and make peace with Israel. Shortly afterwards, Lebanon follows suit and recognizes Israel.
In 1955, the Israel-Jordan-Lebanon agreement is signed promoting trade and defense cooperation between the three states.
In 1979, Saddam successfully integrates Iraq and Syria (Hafez gets bumped out). TTL, Saddam goes to war against the Israel-Lebanon-Jordan alliance rather than Iran. The Great Iraqi War (as it comes to be described) proceeds for a whole decade as the parties hash it out.
any reason why France would intervene
Would Israel have the capacity to reach major Arab cities and a bomb large enough to cause major damage.
How bad would an economic collapse be and could Israel adjust it's economy for such a long and total war?
Wouldn't that only be in the context of total collapse of Israel and being pushed into the sea
So there's an open treaty between Israel and two Arab states, in the 1950s, at the height of Arab Nationalism under Gamal Abdul Nasser? How long does it take till Amman and Beirut get new governments? Or until they break out in open civil warfare? The treaty would break long before, at the pressuring of Egypt and its supporters, forcing Jordan and Lebanon to renounce the treaty.
Plus, Lebanon and Jordan are the smallest Arab nations (not counting the assorted Gulf emirates). An Iraqi-Syrian federation would have a strong edge over them.
Even by the 1970s I doubt the population of Lebanon and Jordan would tolerate fighting alongside Israel. Also any united Syria and Iraq would be the vanguard of Pan-Arabism and major boost to the ideology as whole putting further pressure on both government not fight against it especially with Israel.Okay, let's push the alliance until the 1970s following Syria mucking around with the internal politics of Jordan and Lebanon then.
Even by the 1970s I doubt the population of Lebanon and Jordan would tolerate fighting alongside Israel. Also any united Syria and Iraq would be the vanguard of Pan-Arabism and major boost to the ideology as whole putting further pressure on both government not fight against it especially with Israel.
Egypt and Israel have had normal relations for decades but it hasn't stopped the Egyptian public from hating Israel.In this scenario Israel, Lebanon, and Jordan have had about 30 years of normal relations and the war is initiated by Iraq-Syria and (or via) the PLO aggressing against Jordan and Lebanon.
It still would destabilize the country with the left-wing forces and Sunni populationI'm not quite sure why Lebanon would have a particular beef. The Maronites weren't big on the whole Arab Nationalism thing and the Shia of southern Lebanon initially viewed Israel as a liberating force from the Palestinian Liberation Organization before 15 years of occupation stoked fears of becoming West Bank v2.
If Israel felt threatened enough, would they use nuclear weapons?