Interlude 3. The Colonial Wars of the 1830's
Nowadays, following a revisionist trend of Political and Historical Sciences that gained force in the 1970’s C.E., it became a sort of consensus among historians the inclusion of the so-called “Atlantic War” (known in Europe more generally as the “Luso-Brazilian War of 1831” or even the “Equatorial Naval Race”, at least according to those that believe the conflict hardly qualified as a war) into a bigger picture: that of the (also controversially named) “Recolonialist Wars”, a series of unrelated episodes of armed conflicts between the newly-born American Republics and the former colonial empires, namely Spain, France and the Netherlands.

Indeed, between 1825 and 1845, an apparently insignificant lapse of time in the ocean of time, the Americas were again set ablaze by conflicts between the decadent empires of the Old World and the young federations of the occident.

Even if it came to pass that hapless and exhausted Portugal was the one to receive the lion’s share of South America after an abridged war with the Brazil – perhaps out of one of these odd overturns of mankind’s most turbulent century –, the largest military engagements actually occurred in the Caribbean and in Central and North America.


1. The Hispano-Neogranadine War (1829 – 1833)

The year of 1824 is nowadays recognized as the last year of the Spanish rule in South America, owing to the campaign of Huancavelica, in which a combined host of Platinense and Andean patriots defeated a Spanish royalist force protecting Lima, the last stronghold loyal to Spain south of the Panama strait. However useful commemorative dates and remembrance festivities might be, historical developments are seldom defined by a single event or episode, and this applies to the decline of the Spanish Empire in the occident, marked by a long (even if acute) period of institutional corrosion by hyperactive forces of social, political, cultural and economic nature, amalgamated into coherent bodies of insurgence by the revolutionary ideas coming from Europe.

In this context, one must note that by the middle 1820s, the anticolonial conflict had ended to the Andeans, Chileans, Platinenses and Orientales, but it persisted as a daily existential struggle of the Neogranadines, Mexicans, Tejanos, Californios, Cubans and Dominicans, with perhaps a few glimpses of hope in seemingly unending eon of oppression and tyranny from the Crown in Madrid.

To any Neogranadine or Mexican patriot, the struggle would only see its end when the domain of México – now fashioned as a kingdom equal to the metropolis itself, and deserving the bizarre denomination of the Kingdom of the Two Spains – fell to revolution, so that, like a line of dominos, the whole empire, from Cuba to the Phillipines, would finally see the sunset.

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Nueva Granada - the country that Francisco de Miranda once believed would be heartlands of “Colombia”, a commonwealth formed from the happy republics of Hispanoamerica -, even after the triumph of Antonio Baraya against Pablo Morillo in the battle of Mérida (1821), that cemented Neogranadine independence, was in fact under a perpetual “siege” by Spanish royalist forces, either those coming from México, such as the column that attacked Panamá in 1826, or those coming seaborne from Cuba, like the troops that torched Maracaibo in 1827, and even ships coming directly from Spain. So far, none of these attempted an entire reconquest of the country, and even the despicable creature that was King Fernando VII of the Two Spains seemed to tacitly accept Neogranadine emancipation by the middle of the 1820s.

A mistake, then.

The Two Spains had but conceded a short truce to the tireless citizens of South American Granada, while King Fernando VII bide his time, accumulating wealth from the overexploited Pacific colonies, taking loans from the banks of London, Amsterdam and Berlin, and employing Prussian officers in the training of recruits, sons of the generation of men who had fought the French during the Iberian War, all while investing in the reconstruction of a legendary armada in the ports of Sevilla, Cádiz and Almería.

In 1829, an expeditionary force of almost 9,000 Spaniards and European mercenaries from Germany and Britain, and as far as Hungary, led by Mariano Ricafort Palacín y Abarca traversed the Atlantic, stopping in La Havana, and disembarked in Veracruz, whereupon they joined a large royalist force led by Agustín Cosme Damián de Iturbide y Arámburu, a rising military prodigy who was conducting campaigns against revolutionaries in Yucatán.


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Painting of the Spanish Army disembarking in Veracruz and meeting the Mexican regiments of Agustín de Iturbide (1830)


By late 1829, this large royalist force traversed Central America, and invaded the Neogranadine border territory of Panamá. The expedition was supposed to recapture at least the Atlantic provinces of the former Vicerroyalty of Nueva Granada, giving a strong base from whence the royalists could recolonize the whole of the country, and from there march to Perú.

However, the casualties mounted up before a single shot was fired against the enemy, with hundreds of Europeans perishing to the various tropical diseases that infested that tiny serpent of the Earth linking the Americas like an umbilical cord. The passage of the royalist troops, whose barbarous habits and mistreatments infuriated the already vexed populations of Central America, would be the first spark of a series of revolts in the region in the next few years. To make matters worse for the Spaniards, they had expected to catch the Neogranadines by surprise – having marched from Veracruz to Panamá in barely a week – but, at the moment, Nueva Granada in a state of red alert, due to a tense dispute with the generalissimos of La Plata to determine the hegemony over the nascent [Peruvian] Andean Republic. The Neogranadine heads-of-state were expecting that Peru would soon be the battleground of a war against La Plata, and thus many of its brigades were already on field and ready for the call of duty. Thus, when they heard the news about the Spanish invasion, these forces were quickly diverted to the northwest, and the reserves were rapidly mobilized, so much that in a few months, a whole host had formed under the command of António Baraya and Joaquín Ricaurte to defend Medellín, the gateway to Granada’s heartlands.

The first initial engagements, already in the year of 1830, favored the royalists, but soon the scales balanced in favor of the Neogranadines, whose victories in Antioquía forced the Spaniards to retreat back to Panamá. Nonetheless, the European side had clear advantage in sea, and the multiple amphibious and maritime attacks in the Atlantic Coast forced the increasingly desperate President Baraya to divert much-needed brigades to reinforce Venezuela, where separatist movements were gaining force due to the perceived negligence of the federal government. Indeed, the war might have ended in 1830 if the Neogranadines were fit to pursue the Spanish troops in Central America, where again their ranks were thinned by disease and exhaustion, but a short civil war broke exactly in the same year, pitting the federal centralist government of Santa Fé de Bogotá against rebellions in Orinoco and Carabobo, and a splinter government broke in Guayaquil forming the short-lived “Republic of Guayas”.

While the federal forces of Nueva Granada were dispersed to deal with these revolts, the Spaniards reassembled and launched another campaign in 1831. This time they captured and torched Medellín, and defeated a federal army near the capital, entering Santa Fé de Bogotá in the midst of August, forcing the defeated and humiliated republican government to reallocate further north to Pamplona. The Spanish triumph, preceded by a series of atrocities in the countryside and inside the largest cities, only strengthened the Granadine resolve to resist the recolonization, and the war dragged until 1833 without any other gains for the empire, as the occupation was faced with almost universal hostility and bloody campaigns of guerilla in the mountains.

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The Republic of Guayas was definitely crushed by Marshal Simon Bolívar in 1833, and he maneuvered a large force skirting the Spanish-occupied territory to meet his countrymen in the eastern provinces of Cundinamarca, from whence the federal troops retook Santa Fé de Bogotá and routed the invaders in Cutucumayo.

Again, the defending armies did not pursue the enemies as they retreated to Panamá, as President António Baraya needed to commit his forces in Venezuela, a country that took almost two years to completely tame, extinguishing pro-independence partisan groups such as the Brigada de Las Mil Banderas [lit. Thousands’ Flag Brigade] and the provisory splinter government of Cumaná.

In the middle 1833, an armistice was concluded, but the Neogranadines found an even better reason to commemorate: King Fernando VII of the Two Spains had died in the beginning of the year, and the succession of his three year-old daughter Isabella was met with opposition by her uncle, Infante Don Carlos de Molina, sparking a dynastic war that would engulf both Spain and México until the next decade.


2. The Orange Empire

The Dutch ambassador to the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland, ever since the Congress of Vienna (1814) incessantly ranted about the loss of their colonial dominions, mainly South Africa, but now Surinam was included in the claims, because Portugal, of all of the nations, had no rights to these territories that now comprised the Guianas.

The Dutch authorities – that is, the young King Willem II of the Netherlands (who had succeeded his deceased father Willem I in 1828) and the Joint Parliaments in Amsterdam and Brussels – in a single irate voice denounced “Perfidious Albion”, an appellation that became once again popular in the print of Europe and now in the Americas (with the editors in Rio de Janeiro basically translating word by word the criticism of the Dutch newspapers). The haughty United Kingdom had surreptitiously devoured half of the world while Europe fought against Bonaparte’s legions, and the Netherlands, once a proud empire in the likes of the Spains and Portugal, had been reduced to but isolated outposts in Indonesia and the Antilles.

Of course, the defunct United Provinces had been joined with the former Austrian Netherlands as a fitting compensation for the loss of the colonial dominions, but the arrangement left a very sour taste in King Willem II’s metaphoric mouth, even now, because the unquiet Flemish and the Walloons elites proved to be very unruly and prone to rebellions, having recently forced the Crown in Amsterdam to give substantial (constitutional) concessions under threat of civil war. The Dutch monarch, who in his youth had served with the Duke of Wellington's British expeditionaries (then known as “Slender Billy”), proved to be an able conciliator in these tense years of Flemish factionalist insurgences, and appeased the exasperation of the Catholic majorities in the southern provinces, who had many times accused his father of despotism. By the late 1830s, a crisis resulting from a popular revolt in Brugge was peacefully defused with ample concessions to the Flemish and Walloons, and the union between the Dutch peoples was cemented, paving the way for a more stable nationhood.


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The inauguration of King Willem II of the (United) Netherlands (c. 1828)

Much like Portugal and Spain, the Netherlands after the loss of their colonial empire would turn their attention to other conquests in the middle and late 19th Century. Still yearning for a strategic position in the Dark Continent to safeguard the passage to the Indian Ocean, the Dutch monarchy decided to invest in an expedition to reclaim an ancient fort in the Maputo bay, near the Portuguese colony of Moçambique. This would, in the next few decades, allow them to intervene in the endemic wars among the Malagasy kingdoms of Madagascar, and eventually colonize the island together with France.

For the time being, the Dutch government employed their energies in exploiting the increasingly unprofitable productions in the Antilles – considering that sugar had lost its place as the world’s most valuable commodity –, and initiated diplomatic overtures with the American republics, realizing the value of having allies in the New World to contain the ambitions of the Iberian empires.

*****​

1835 and 1836 were fated to be particularly tense years in the Caribbean even if the chaotic Carlist War had not happened (1833–1841). While both the Neogranadines and Hispano-Mexicans died in hundreds from muskets and mosquitoes in Nicaragua, disputing the strait stretch of the Earth separating the Atlantic from the Pacific, the Netherlands and Portugal were driven to the brink of war.

Likening the episode to the naval conflict between the United States of America and France of 1798-1800, modern historians denominated the escalating acts of privateering and naval raids of 1835 as “the Caribbean Quasi-War”, with Dutch and Flemish warships assaulting Portuguese forts in the Guianas, and Portuguese vessels raiding the Dutch Gold Coast in Africa – the sole reason why the conflict would became popularly known in vulgar memory as the “Guiana vs. Guinea War” (a rather catchy, even if senseless, name for a war in a period notable for its wars).

Despite the fact that the privateers were sponsored by the respective governments of Amsterdam and Lisboa, there was no official declaration of war, and, indeed, no clear goals, as neither belligerent tried to conquer any enemy territory. The Portuguese were too weak and broken to sustain a serious war effort – for this reason, the previous “war” against Brazil could have never been a full-scale recolonization – while the Dutch, also weakened by the Napoleonic Wars, were cautious to avoid British retaliation, as it became clear that the capitalists in London were interesting in being friends with benefits towards Portugal. In fact, the main Dutch agent in the Caribbean was yet another British expatriate, Henry Chester Sears, later knighted by King Willem II of Netherlands.

The hostility between the Netherlands and Portugal and Spain fostered a friendship with both Nueva Granada and Brazil. Dutch embassies were created in Bogotá in 1835 and in Rio de Janeiro a year later. Despite the Brazilian good disposition towards Amsterdam, the Dutch monarchy became much closer affiliated with the interests of the Neogranadine federation, especially as the Netherlands and Spain developed an urgent and unnerved colonial race in far Asia (Indonesia and Phillipines) throughout the remainder of the 19th Century – mostly remembered as "the Pacific Game". In this regard, the alliance between the Confederation of Nueva Granada and the Netherlands would last until the next century.


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Notes and Comments: Antonio Baraya is an historical leader of *Gran Colombia, a precursor to the Colombian nation much like Francisco de Miranda, but he was captured and executed by the royalist forces of Pablo Morillo y Morillo (also an historical character) in 1816, paving the way for Simon Bolívar to become the main leader of the Colombian/Venezuelan independence. In this alt-scenario, Antonio Baraya survives and becomes the first President, while Bolivar, still a war-hero, remains as a secondary political and military figure in the Neogranadine independence.

About the Netherlands, I've never really accepted how, after the Napoleonic Wars, they simply lost the relevance in global geopolitics they had until the 18th Century. ITTL, due to much better relations between the Kingdom of the Netherlands and France, flourishing as a result of a mutual fear of Prussia (remember that Prussia ITTL is already poised to form Germany proper, having defeated Austria in the War of Saxony, usurped the hegemony in the German Confederation, and still allied with Russia)
 
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Interlude 4. Not a Pretty Picture (1841-1847)
1. Revolution of Santo Domingo

In late 1838, the height of Infante Carlos’ War [or the Second Spanish War of Succession] in the western theater, the Spanish dominion of Santo Domingo was enraptured by a wave of colonial unrest that contaminated the remnant of the Hispanoamerican empire, from Californias to Panamá, likely influenced by the apparent success of the Central American revolts of 1836 and of the rebellion of the Tejanos of 1837. The Dominican Criollos expelled a minor Spanish garrison and proclaimed a republic, but immediately opened diplomatic channels with Nueva Granada to propose its inclusion as a federated subject, as well as with the United States of America, two countries that had been allied recently out of mutual defense against the perceived Spanish threat.

To the Dominicans’ surprise, the quickest action was undertaken by Alexandre Sabés Pétion, President of Haiti, who moved his troops to meet fortified Spanish positions in the eastern side of Hispaniola. The arrival of the Haitians was not unwelcome, as there were indeed vocal groups (especially among the mestizos and poorer farmers) in Santo Domingo that favored union with the western neighbor – at the time seen as a prosperous and war-like people, with a population that greatly outnumbered the Dominicans, and thus would protect against the might of the European empires.


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Map of Hispaniola (1830) - click it to enlarge the picture
The United Republics of the Indies – as it is sometimes anachronistically referred to by more romantic historians – lived until 1841, when the Queen’s loyalists, led by the Duke of Campeche, António López de Santa Anna, successfully defeated the Carlist troops in México, and then immediately embarked on a maritime expedition to retake the rebel island, with Cuban reinforcements.

The city of Santo Domingo fell to the royalists in November 1841, and from there onwards it took but a few months to retake the coastal fortresses in the eastern part of the island, with no resistance met in the countryside. Once the support of the elites dried out, there were but negligible pockets of popular resistance among the peasantry, more concerned with taxes than democracy, but the Hispano-Méxican troops of the Duke of Campeche were careful to advance in the heartlands of Hispaniola.
The Haitians had twice in their history triumphed over large and formidable French armies; granted, more Frenchmen had died of sickness than of Haitian aggression between 1801 and 1803, but it would be foolish to underestimate the expertise of these soldiers who had been born slaves and wrestled freedom from their former white-masters in the asymmetric warfare in the jungles and mountains.
The Méxicans were somewhat used to campaigning in rugged landscapes, but the transition of the gentle expanses of Santo Domingo to the scarps, grottos and jungles of Haiti marked the line between their record of victories and defeats in the war of 1841.

Once the two-thirds of Hispaniola that corresponded to Santo Domingo had been secured, the Haitians were certain that the Spaniards would accept a truce, and so it was with infuriation and astonishment that the Haitian President Alexandre Pétion received a letter coming directly from Madrid, declaring that the rebellious Haitian government had been dissolved, and their provinces claimed as integral constituencies of the Spanish empire – considering that the whole of Hispaniola had originally been colonized and occupied by Spain, before the French annexed a part of it in the late 18th Century – and gave an ultimatum: unconditional surrender or death.

As much as both the Haitians and the Dominicans considered Haiti to be a legitimate polity, the fact remained that, due to its origins from a black slave rebellion, and due to the infamous “horrors of Saint-Domingue” – the widespread massacre of white settlers by ‘colored’ inhabitants of Haiti in the beginning of the 19th Century – Haiti was a pariah state in the occident, with no official recognition and no diplomatic relationships. While the colonial powers inimical to France, such as the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland and the Netherlands, had recognized Haiti as a sovereign state, neither of them actively tried to maintain diplomatic or commercial ties with the fledgling republic.


2. The Hispano-American War (1843-1846)

Nevertheless, the Spanish invasion of Haiti, a military campaign with various land and sea operations that occurred between 1841 and 1842, provoked a completely unexpected ripple in the American geopolitics: the United States of America, for the first time invoking what would much later be called the “Clay Doctrine”, out of the proposal of the then President Henry Clay, that opposed monarchism in the Americas. His most famous speech, while serving as Senator for Kentucky proclaimed that “Empires of the Old World bring death and ruin out of petty family disputes for jeweled crowns; but in this New World, whereupon our forefathers gave their blood for liberty, we must take stand against the despots of the decadent kingdoms”. He was, of course, referring to the Spains, but also applied to Portugal, France and Britain, all of whom had dominions in the occident.

Nowadays, the outbreak of the Hispano-Unitedstadian War is commonly associated with the “Haitian dilemma”. This term contrasts the fact that American international stance actively refused to acknowledge Haiti – with a plethora of southern politicians denouncing the “horrors of Saint-Domingue” and using it as a justification for slavery; a picture very similar to contemporary Brazil – but out of geopolitical concerns was seemed to intervene militarily in its behalf, all while claiming they were acting as defenders and benefactors of the “free republics” such as Santo Domingo [which, lest we forget, actually pleaded to join the North-American federation back in 1838].

Despite the curiosity and irony that is a slaver country declare war on an European great power to “rescue” a former slave colony, the truth is that, from the American perspective, the war against the Spains was inevitable, and was initiated in 1843 not with the purpose of preserving the independence of Haiti, but rather to annex Florida – a reason for why in the older records the clash is known as “the Florida War” – and to assist in the expansion of Nueva Granada (by now an ally of the USA) in their own offensive in Central America.

The Spanish dominion of Florida was since long coveted by the USA, and its territory between the 1820s and the 1840s became a disputed territory between Unitedstadian citizens who came from the southern states to settle the upper expanses of the peninsula, and the Indian tribes still living in the glades, like the Seminole, while the Spaniards, watched passively from their fortresses in St. Augustine and Tampa. As early as 1837, a war almost broke between the USA and the Spains owing to a skirmish between colonists from Georgia and the Carolinas and the mestizo subjects of the Spanish Crown. The situation had been defused peacefully, but to the North-Americans it became clear that Florida was ripe for taking, in the right moment. Attempts of settling territorial border disputes peacefully ended in failure, as the USA sought to obtain the whole of Florida, a concession that the Spains were unwilling to make.

The war lasted for only three years (1843 – 1846), but it was a large conflict fought all around the Gulf of México:

In North America, the Unitedstadian legions led by Gen. Marcus Ford easily occupied the Spanish strongholds in Florida, while, in the southwest, General Edmund P. Gaines allied with the Hispanophone revolutionaries led by J. M. Nepomuceno Flores (then Mayor of San António de Béxar, later President of Tejas) against the royalist forces led by Manuel Fernández Castrillón and liberated the former Spanish province of Tejas and Coahuila as the Republic of San António;


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The Battle of Corpus Christi (1844), in the valley of the Nueces River, was the largest and most engagement in the "Desert Theater" of war, and the defeat of the royalist Hispano-Mexican armies at the hand of a combined American army (G. Edmund Gaines) and Tejan militia (Nepomuceno Flores) there effectively secured the Tejan independence.


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The siege of St. Augustine by the Army of Carolina (c. 1845). Despite the victory, securing the coastal regions of the peninsula, Florida remained de facto unoccupied in the interior swamps and glades due to the presence of the war-like Seminole amerindians

A rebellion of dissatisfied Californios had broken out in Alta Califórnia as early as 1842, led by a deserting officer named José António Castro but the Hispano-Méxican armies of the northern frontiers failed to contain it, and so the revolutionaries propped up a republic, occupying the Spanish outposts in the Pacific Coast. After the war with the United States began, the Californio regime quickly established a diplomatic channel with Washington D.C., only receiving it in late 1845, when a cavalry army from Louisiana under Bg. Gen. William Jenkins Worth arrived in Monterey, and then campaigned in the south to secure the province.

In the Caribbean, the U.S. Navy attempted to occupy Santo Domingo, creating another theater of war to disperse the Spanish armies, but were repulsed, and then failed to make gains in various attempts of conquering Cuba, where the natives and colonists remained loyal, and even assisted in the Duke of Campeche’s retaliatory expedition to recapture Florida;

Nueva Granada immediately mobilized its armies and citizen corps to launch a decisive campaign in Central America, where various revolutionary warbands wrestled the control of Guatemala from the Hispano-Méxicans. The Neogranadine forces, despite various setbacks, and failing to capture Tegucigalpa in Honduras, went as far as Chiapas, forcing Lord Santa Anna to finally abandon Florida in 1846 to prosecute the war in Central America. The Neogranadines were defeated in Comayagua (Honduras), but the exhausted royalist army failed to subdue the rebellious Nicaraguans after their armies dispersed and went to fight guerilla campaigns in the jungles.

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After almost two consecutive decades of war, with a seemingly unending multitude of adversaries, both at home and foreign, the Spains finally gave up – even if it still had the upper hand over its enemies in the sea, as the restored Armada had obtained victories over both the Unitedstadian and the Neogranadine navies, preventing seaborne attacks in México and in the Caribbean dominions –, in a desperate bid by Queen Isabella II to preserve the heartlands of their remaining American colonies.

In the Treaty of Veracruz (1847), the Kingdom of the Two Spains agreed to cede the whole of Florida to the USA, as well as a large stretch of territory that so far comprised the northern third of the former province of the Califórnias, with a straight line drawn from the Bay of San Pablo directly to the limits of the former Louisiana Territory (incorporated by the USA) being established as the border. The annexation of this large territory, geographically comprised by deserts, mountains, salt lakes and irate rivers, yielded the sole purpose of acquiring for the North-American state a port in the Pacific Coast.

In the same treaty, the Crown of Spain recognized the independence of the three provinces that comprised its northern frontier, from east to west:
  • The Republic of Tejas - comprising a part of the former province of Tejas y Coahuila, but without Coahuila itself, the southern border being established along the course of the Nueces River;
  • The Republic of Santa Fé de Nuevo México - comprising the former province of Nuevo México;
  • The Republic of the Californias – comprising the former provinces of Alta and Baja California, albeit with a diminished territory, as it lost everything north of the Bay of San Pablo;
  • The Spanish Empire was also forced to recognize the independence of the former provinces of Nicaragua and Costa Rica, which were incorporated into a single sovereign state – the Republic of Nicaragua –, originally supposed to join Nueva Granada, but which actually remained independent for the time being.
On the other hand, all the signing parties agree to recognize the Spanish rule over Haiti, ignoring the fact that it used to be an independent country, while Santo Domingo was also emancipated, becoming known as the Republic of Quisqueya.

Nowadays, the full understanding of the agreements that led to the Treaty of Veracruz is somewhat of an enigma in the academic circles. Many have raised doubts about why the USA decided to support the independence of the three northern Mexican provinces instead of outright annexing or incorporating them, considering that, despite their immense territories and material resources, they had very low populations and could be easily overcome by the arriving Yankee armies (especially the case of Nuevo México, which, in fact, was surprised to see itself part of the “emancipation wave”, as there were few voices in Santa Fé advocating the independence from the Spains, unlike Tejas and Califórnias, where the Criollo elite had taken arms and directly requested Washington’s support).

We can hardly accept the romantic argument that the USA was simply fulfilling its self-ascribed duty to promote democracy and freedom in the continent, for the reasons of realpolitik and economics usually provide better explanation for the geopolitical transitions. The records of the Congress’s debates during the period demonstrate that there were supporters for the annexation of these former Spanish provinces as Federal Territories, much like it had happened with Florida and northern Alta California, and would later happen with Santo Domingo/Quisqueya. Internal matters, however, prevented this, namely the then intense debate between the slaveocrat and the anti-slave states inside the USA, as the incorporation of new political unities inside the North-American republic might provoke an unacceptable unbalance between them: would these new Hispanophone territories be “free states” or “slave states”? As the slavery debate heated on, eventually culminating in the War of Secession some years later, the most reasonable compromise seemed to be the one that secured the existence of these three new Hispano-American polities as sovereign nations, to provide a buffer between the USA and the Spanish Empire, but under direct influence from Washington. It is no coincidence that the period saw the first resurgence of the defunct concept of “Sister Republics” that had been sponsored by Revolutionary France. Euphemisms notwithstanding, it is obvious that the intention was for Tejas, Nuevo México and Califórnias to remain as client states and under the sphere of influence of Washington, at least until a more agreeable compromise could be found in the American domestic politics.

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The “abandonment” of Haiti by the belligerent powers nowadays is denounced as the infamous “betrayal of Saint-Domingue”, another demonstration that the European-descended former colonies considered Haiti to be a pariah state owing to its origins due to a slave revolt.

Through 1844 to 1847, the campaign in Haiti continued earnestly, and the Spains’ resolve to annex the former “Pearl of the Antilles” can easily be explained as a revanchist war of honor, in which the Spaniards exacted a revenge of sorts upon the desperate Haitians for all the losses suffered in the previous decades, a sentiment of collective wrath and resentment exacerbated by all the chaos of warfare and brutality, and the Haitians, who had won their freedom against France by the hardest way, were subjects to this maelstrom of destructiveness. In the end, Haiti was subjugated and formally annexed to the Spanish Empire, in a long and arduous campaign noted by countless atrocities and savagery in both sides of the conflict. Port-au-Prince was renamed “Puerto de La Reyna” to homage Queen Isabella II, and slavery was reintroduced to that region of Hispaniola, with a number of indentured blacks brought from Cuba to work there.

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Notes and Comments: This whole war is inspired, but not actually based, in the Mexican-American War, as the causes and consequences are very different. Florida IOTL was obtained peacefully by a treaty, but since Spain ITTL retained its empire in Mexico intact, as well as the Caribbean dominions, it had no incentive to sell Florida, and opted to remain with the peninsula as an isolated territory with small military forces.

I notice that this is perhaps the greatest “participation” of the US so far in the TL, and I tried the most to avoid sounding an Ameriwank. At the time, the US was a rather formidable power in the Americas, but I needed to stress that its success in this war owes much more to the alliance with *Gran Colombia and the state of complete chaos in Spanish Mexico than pure ‘Murricafuckyeah.

Regarding alt-Texas, you might have realized that I avoided using the name “Texas”, because it has a rather Anglophone connotation to the American-colonized Texas, but, ITTL, the province of Tejas y Coauhila remains wholly Hispanic (of course, which means a much smaller demographic) and a very light American presence, thus avoiding all the questions regarding the Texan annexation. To be really honest, I wanted a sovereign *Texas, albeit a somewhat discredited cliché, to give more diversity in geopolitical relationships in North America – considering I (as of yet, at least) aborted Uruguay, Paraguay, Bolivia, Ecuador, Venezuela and most of the Central American countries as independent states. Forgive me for it, but sometimes I put some things away in favor of narrative, even trying to give some tints of plausibility. Anyways, I also tried to twist the cliché of having a Americanophile Texas in favor of an Hispanic one, with its own necessary constraints: low population, low literacy and few resources, I picture this newly-born Tejas much like a pseudo-Boer republic than properly as the über-Texas we see in some TLs. The same applies to the Hispanic Californias.

And, before anyone asks, no, this does not butterflies away the concept of Manifest Destiny, but simply redirects the effort to the Oregon Country… which will bring us to another interesting wave of butterflies.

Central America IOTL once had a single state, the United Provinces or Federal Republic of Central America, but it effectively imploded in its infancy, and all of the constituent states became sovereign nations. ITTL, the revolutionary emancipationist sentiment is still there, but the dream is only achieved in the moment of the Spanish empire’s greatest weakness, with some *Gran Colombian help.
 
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Damn America got gypped -- and poor Haiti! Surprised Santo Domingo got away even as Spain kept the other side.

Santo Domingo got lucky that the USA was willing to go to war right now. Their revolution might have got squashed if the Americans/Neogranadines did not declare war.
 

Deleted member 67076

Wow, youve just drastically altered everything in Central America and Caribbean. Exciting stuff.

Nicaragua-Costa Rica is just going to be greater Costa Rica, but one that will richer if slightly more unstable. (I say slightly as Nicaragua barely has enough of a population at this time to challenge the south). Meanwhile keeping the rest of Central America with Mexico as a Spanish Dominion equivalent means the next few decades will see a rapid transformation into big money making areas. These are densely populated and fertile areas that will make tons of profits come extraction of bananas, coffee, flax, and sugar.

And of course, the stability from being part of a greater whole should see the development be better in comparison to OTL as time passes.

Mexico proper could do better. Hard to say really if rebellion doesnt pop up again.

Im happy Santo Domingo is independent and not a piece of meat to be sold on the market like so many other timelines. :p

That said, its in a pretty good position. Independence has come a bit earlier and with the rest of Hispaniola under control of a friendly power the seige mentality of the First republic is nipped in the bud. Meaning less caudillos and an more oligarchal, liberal republic. More immigration there too as the transformation to a modern econony gets pushed up a couple decades.

Now speaking of the rest of Hispaniola, Haitis not going to be well. Thats going to be a bleeding sore for Spain as they try to enforce control and restart sugar. I think this would see more forced deportations to Cuba than vice versa as Haitis military strength lied in its dense population able to leverage the terrain.

That New Grandine Republic is my favorite part hands down. Always been fascinated by the idea of state in Northern South America thats big enough to avoid the trap of a single export dominated economy (even if its by virtue of being huge).
 
Wow, youve just drastically altered everything in Central America and Caribbean. Exciting stuff.

Nicaragua-Costa Rica is just going to be greater Costa Rica, but one that will richer if slightly more unstable. (I say slightly as Nicaragua barely has enough of a population at this time to challenge the south). Meanwhile keeping the rest of Central America with Mexico as a Spanish Dominion equivalent means the next few decades will see a rapid transformation into big money making areas. These are densely populated and fertile areas that will make tons of profits come extraction of bananas, coffee, flax, and sugar. And of course, the stability from being part of a greater whole should see the development be better in comparison to OTL as time passes.

Mexico proper could do better. Hard to say really if rebellion doesnt pop up again.

Thanks, Soverihn! I really made an effort to create a more plausible scenario for post-colonial Central America, in a TL where the Spanish empire was not completely erradicated. If the colonial wars of the 20th Century demonstrate anything about our reality, is that the European colonial powers were willing to preserve their dominions even if it took massive costs. The same could be said, of course, by Spain after the Napoleonic Wars. Obviously, they did not expect the chaos of the First Carlist War, which, ITTL, was the main catalyst of this new wave of revolutions and instabilty.

Mexico, I believe, in the long run can benefit with this new status as an "equal" partner of the Kingdom of Spain, much like what Brazil IOTL imagined would happen in the brief period of the "Dual Monarchy" with Portugal. With time, their relations might become what the UK has with Canada, Australia and New Zealand, and I believe this evolutions can give us a trend with more politically stable Mexico and Central America, considering that the monarchic structure does have its benefits (with the "figure-head" of the king/queen acting as a political factor of legitimacy through the local government in a more conservative society), provided that the metropolis adopts more progressive measures, giving more autonomy and rights to the Mexican subjects. You might have noticed (I did not make it explicit), but a peerage system of sorts was adopted inside Mexico, an extremely important advance towards the favoring of the Hispano-Mexican Criolles, in comparison to the pre-1800 colonial dynamic, in which the Peninsulares held greater privileges. By now, Spain has already realized that it is entirely dependent on the goodwill of the native Criollo elites to preserve its domain, and it is perfectly willing to "ennoble" them.

Also, as you pointed out, economics will also tend towards a continuum of better developments, even if Spain itself is a rather backwards nation from technologic and scientific standpoint, in comparison to the UK or Prussia/Germany. We might, through the decades, come to the point where Mexico will be actually the motor propelling Spain forward than the opposite.

Im happy Santo Domingo is independent and not a piece of meat to be sold on the market like so many other timelines. :p That said, its in a pretty good position. Independence has come a bit earlier and with the rest of Hispaniola under control of a friendly power the siege mentality of the First republic is nipped in the bud. Meaning less caudillos and an more oligarchal, liberal republic. More immigration there too as the transformation to a modern econony gets pushed up a couple decades.

Indeed, Santo Domingo (or Quisqueya, I suppose they'd rather use the "native name" as means of linguistically and culturally asserting their independence over the cursed Spanish legacy). Your observations are appropriate, as always, and, indeed, I've not given that much thought about that point you raised about the first Dominican Republic. I'll surely have this in mind in the future, as we address the Caribbean situation in geopolitical scenarios. Greater liberalism is sure to be a trend in the new American republics, especially because they have, right in the neighborhood, examples of monarchist regimes to avoid imitating.

Now speaking of the rest of Hispaniola, Haitis not going to be well. Thats going to be a bleeding sore for Spain as they try to enforce control and restart sugar. I think this would see more forced deportations to Cuba than vice versa as Haitis military strength lied in its dense population able to leverage the terrain.

Haiti for now is in a dire situation, but I promise that this won't become a Haitian holocaust-fest. The Haitians are, by then, a proud people which for decades tasted independence, and is (and will) be willing to fight back to regain it, especially against another slave-holding empire. We cannot forget: the Atlantic slave trafficking was abolished, but slavery is still in force in the Spanish colonies such as Cuba.

That New Grandine Republic is my favorite part hands down. Always been fascinated by the idea of state in Northern South America thats big enough to avoid the trap of a single export dominated economy (even if its by virtue of being huge).

Of course! New Granada is obviously inspired in Gran Colombia, and, much like Red_Galiray did in his own TL, I figured that a united, stable and democratic *Gran Colombia can provide an irrepleceable foil to Brazil itself. In time, they might become friends or rivals in a dispute for hegemony, and, so far, there is no guarantee that Brazil must prevail.

In fact, since you liked it so much, I hope you like the next chapter. It concerns the Americas as a whole, and it is particularly significant to New Granada :biggrin:
 
27. The Concert of Cartagena de Índias (1840)
In 1840, diplomatic deputies from most of the American nations met in the "Palácio de Los Mártires" in the city of Cartagena de Índias (in Nueva Granada) to discuss the creation of a league of common interests and purposes against the European colonial empires, as well as the formation of a union of customs and legislation to promote continental integration.


1. Early Attempts of a Pan-American Congress

By 1824, the whole of South America had been liberated from either Spanish or Portuguese rule. Henceforward, the geopolitical map of the continent must depict, as sovereign states: (1) the Confederation of Nueva Granada, (2) the Andean Republic of Perú and Charcas, (3) the Independent Republic of Chile, (4) the United Federation of the States of La Plata, Potosí and Paraguay, and (5) the Federation of Brazil.

The earliest ideas for an international congress in the Americas came in the late 1820s, but originally involved only Nueva Granada, La Plata and Chile, to decide the political destiny of the newly-born Andean Republic, the last state to be fashioned from the crumbling Hispanoamerican empire in the southern continent. The provinces of the extinct Viceroyalty of Perú had been liberated by a coalition of Platinenses, Paraguayans and Chileans, while the Neogranadines fought for their own right to exist against the wrath of the Spanish armies from Europe. The “Andean Republic of Perú and Charcas” was thus born by fiat of the Criollo elites of La Paz (considering that Lima had so far been a royalist stronghold), at first entirely dependent on the alliance with the distant government of La Plata. Indeed, the first Andean heads-of-state (as members of the Triumvirate of 1825) were Manuel Belgrano and José de San Martín, who ruled until the election of José de la Riva Agüero to the Presidency.

It soon became clear that the federal clique in Rosário – now the federal capital of La Plata, after Banda Oriental was annexed by Brazil and the Platinenses considered that Rosário was too vulnerable to foreign attacks – had the intention of establishing sovereign Peru as a client (or at least sister) republic of sorts towards the Platinense regime, as a transitional arrangement for a later integration of the Peruvian provinces into the Federation of La Plata. This trend was met with opposition, initially by Nueva Granada, whose President António Baraya sought to strengthen ties with the Andean Republic as a means to curb the Platinense influence, and later also by Chile, whose political elite – despite owing their independence to the action of Platinense Ejército de Los Andes – quickly developed an animosity towards the Porteño regime, fearing they would be the next target of the Platinenses’ expansionism.


*****​

By 1828, the Andeans themselves, seeing the Platinenses as unwelcome interlopers, and realizing their inertia could indeed spell an attempt by the federal regime of Rosário to forcibly integrate them into their nation, formed a convenient alliance with Nueva Granada and Chile against La Plata, and tensions quickly escalated as the Andeans claimed sovereignty over the Platinense-occupied provinces of La Paz, Cochabamba and Santa Cruz – which since the 16th Century had belonged to the Viceroyalty of Perú – trusting that La Plata would be weakened in the aftermath of the Second War of Banda Oriental against Brazil (1825 – 1827) and of the FGederalist civil wars in Paraguay and Entreríos e Corrientes.

Realizing the tense situation in the northern reaches, and fearing another war, the Porteño government accepted the suggestions of its deputies from Potosí, Jujuy and Salta, and convened a meeting between the neighboring nations in La Paz (Congress of La Paz, 1828) to discuss border disputes and claims, as well as possible indemnities.

Representatives from La Plata, Chile, Andeanía and Nueva Granada met in November 1828 to deliberate in these matters, but the congress, despite its historical significance as the first multinational meeting of the Americas, did not yield provisions or results. Tensions between the countries remained high, owing to claims in flashpoint border regions. Of note is the particularly undiplomatic stance of the then seating Chilean President José Miguel Carrera Verdugo, who made himself personally present to the congress (to the surprise of all the other deputies, considering that no one expected a head-of-state to appear) and even after being offered some territories in the Platinense province of Mendonza to enlarge the regions of Santiago and Valparaíso, proclaimed to be unsatisfied, and demanded also parts of the Pacific state of Antofagasta, a concession La Plata was unwilling to do. The Andeans, on the other hand, came close to accept a proposal to establish the its southern border a few miles south of the Lake Titicaca, with the city of La Paz partitioned as a “binational condominium”, but then, due to the strong influence of the Neogranadines, the proposal was rejected by the Andeans, and they claimed the whole of La Paz province, Potosí and Santa Cruz, draining the patience of the Platinenses.

In the end, the assembly was dissolved with unspoken promises of imminent war between the countries, but the unexpected Spanish invasion of Nueva Granada in 1829, coupled with the termination of the Paraguayan civil war in La Plata, made the undecided Andeans to declare war, and their recalcitrance caused the breaking of the alliance with Chile, whose own jingoistic government strongly favored war, with the pretext of restoring the independence of Paraguay (which they had been the first country to officially recognize).

All of these developments later enticed Chile to procure an alliance with Brazil; a political friendship that would last until the 20th Century, and in turn allow for the ascension of more radical elements in the Platinense government.


*****​

After the Hispano-Neogranadine War ended, in 1833, the then President of Andeanía took the initiative of convening another congress between the South American Hispanophone nations, to be initiated in 1835, but his invitations were ignored in Santiago and only received lukewarm responses in Rosário and in Santa Fé de Bogotá.

The Platinenses this time provided a much more incisive reply, proclaiming they would only accept another debate regarding borders if the Andean state was willing to cede Pacific provinces, while the Neogranadines, exhausted by war, gave no promises of political alliances to avoid any sort of compromise.

This time, only the Platinense and Peruvian representatives met in La Paz, and, curiously enough, an agreement was actually obtained – with the Andean port of Arica ceded to La Plata, and the Pacific border established in the Vale de Lluta, while the continental limit remained along the southern shore of the Lake Tititica, in exchange for larger shares of the Santa Cruz province being given to Andeanía.

Truth to be said, the Platinenses, despite their warmongering rhetoric, were very willing to negotiate, a trait of statecraft appreciate by the Andeans, and the relations between the countries henceforward improved. Some years later, with new generations of statesmen and diplomats in office, these nations would even establish an alliance, another political arrangement fated to last through the whole of the 19th Century.


2. The Congress of 1840

Congress (Constitution of Virginia - 1830).jpg

Painting representing the opening sessions of the Congress of Cartagena de Índias (1840). The individual speaking is the representative of the Nueva Granada.


Despite the failure of the previous attempts, the very idea of imitating in the Americas what the Europeans had done in the Concerts of Vienna and Berlin was still seen fondly, so much that another proposal was made in 1838, this time coming from Chile, now under the regime of the moderate José Miguel Infante Rojas. Being a strong partisan of federalism and liberalism in his own country, President José Rojas perhaps realized that debates of purely political nature were doomed to fail, considering the diverging interests of the American nations, and thus emphasized the necessity of constructing more solid economical and legal relations between them, trusting that, in the long run, the consolidation of interdependent economies would foster more friendly political relationships.

Thus, he activated the diplomatic channels with Nueva Granada, La Plata and Andeanía to propose another congress, this time in Quito instead of La Paz (likely to prevent an overwhelming Platinense presence, as it had happened in the previous occasions), in 1839.

To the surprise of the Hispanoamerican nations, this time the Brazilian state was formally invited to participate, owing to the fact that Chile and Brazil had recently established a treaty of alliance and friendship, as were the Kingdom of the Netherlands (as an impartial observer and arbiter, but in truth it was due to the Dutch alliance with American Granada). This in turn led the Neogranadines to propose the inclusion of the United States of America, of the Nicaraguans – because the Central American provinces of the Spains had recently declared independence during the Carlist War and were supported by Nueva Granada –, out of the necessity of creating a common cause in the Americas against the colonial empires of the Spains and of Portugal. While the invitation of the USA received favorable response, the nations that constituted the previous two congresses in La Paz opposed the entrance of Brazil (due to the hostility of La Plata, which had recently been at war against Brazil) and of the Netherlands (as both La Plata and Andeanía feared the participation of an European power would weaken their own influence).

After some months, however, it happened that all of the invited parties, including the Netherlands, accepted the proposal, with the assembly now to be held in Cartagena de Índias (in Nueva Granada) instead of Quito due to its more central location in the Americas (another change that infuriated the Platinenses and also the Chileans, because to them it was literally the most distant part of the continent).

Throughout the span of almost various months, the representatives of all these countries voyaged and were hosted by the Neogranadine government in Cartagena, but the actual debates took only a couple weeks in December 1840. The initial discussions were done solely among the representatives of Brazil, Chile, Nueva Granada, Perú and Nicaragua, with late arrivals by the Dutch, the Unitedstadians and the Platinenses (in this order).

The main topics discussed were:

  • The official incorporation of the “anti-colonial ideology” – later known as Clay Doctrine, that is, a common alliance of the republics against the European empires, most notably the Spains and Portugal (while the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland was unsurprisingly unmentioned);
  • The signing of a multilateral treaty to facilitate maritime and even land commerce between American nations, with pre-defined tariffs in some ports of international interest such as Rio de Janeiro, Buenos Aires, Lima, Santiago, Caracas, Boston and New Orleans;
  • The drafting of a charter of rights for all the citizens of signatory countries, most notably related to international travel, commerce, transport of goods, inheritance matters towards people with patrimony in more than one country, and provisions related to indemnities and damages in case of tort causes;
  • The creation of a court of arbitration to deal with disputes between states and their respective citizens, to be established temporarily in Cartagena de Índias;
  • The unmolested transit of military contingents, fleets and ordinance through the territory of the participant countries;
  • Provisions for the hosting of civilian scientific, exploratory and humanitarian expeditions in the territories of the signatory nations.
In the long-run, regardless of the best intentions of some of the parties interested in some arrangements, few of these provisions and agreements would produce lasting consequences, due to the lack of political or even economic enthusiasm by many of them. Excepting the charter of citizens’ rights (in large part incorporated by the USA and most of the South American countries) and the aspects regarding scientific and exploration missions, all the other provisions were either ignored or failed to obtain adhesion in domestic legislations most notably those related to trade.

Nevertheless, even if nowadays considered a failure, the Concert of Cartagena de Índias generated significant short-term consequences related to the geopolitical relations of the participant countries, such as the solidification of the alliance between the USA and the Confederation of Nueva Granada, and of Brazil and Chile, which in turn produced an approximation between La Plata and the Andean Republic. It is clear, for example, that the government of the United States only became so inclined to declare war on the Kingdom of the Two Spains in 1843 after it had the confirmation that Nueva Granada would join the conflict (thus opening a two-front war for the Spaniards). Without this grand diplomatic assembly in 1841, the USA might indeed have been less determined to wage a war, even if its internal political factions were since the previous decade coveting Florida and the Caribbean dominions of the Spains.

____________________________

Notes and comments: The whole chapter is based on the premise of a more successful “Congress of Panama” [“Congreso Anfictiónico del Panamá”], IOTL an assembly of American nations as well as the UK and the Netherlands, sponsored by Simon Bolívar as means of promoting a union between the former Spanish colonies.

The situation of Perú, described in the first topic, is an important divergence from OTL, where the liberation of Peru and Bolivia owed more to the efforts of Simon Bolivar and the Colombian patriot armies than from La Plata (even if the Argentinian general José de San Martín played a substantial role in the independence of Peru with the Army of the Andes). In fact, this is one of the causes of the fragmentation of the former Viceroyalty of Peru into the modern country of Peru and of Bolivia (the last being a state created by Bolívar’s protégé José António Sucre). ITTL, due to the fact that Nueva Granada faced the blunt of the Spanish reaction to the independence wars during the 1810s and 1820s, it did not manage to participate so much in the liberation of Peru, and in this power vaccum, the *Argentinians (Platinenses) played a huge role in the Peru’s independence, and the new republic is thus created with closer relations to Rosário than Bogotá.

The "Clay Doctrine", as many of you might have guessed, is a modified (and more radical) version of the Monroe Doctrine, its main tenet being the creation of a Pan-American coalition against the colonial empires.

ITTL, Manuel Belgrano, an economist and lawyer, later became a military officer during the independence wars, actively participated in the Andean campaigns of the (Argentinian) Army of the North, but died in 1820 after years of sickness due to malaria and stomach diseases. ITTL, the Chilean leader José Miguel Carrera, who IOTL died in 1821, also survived to become the President of Chile during the late 1820s.
 

Deleted member 67076

Thanks, Soverihn!
Thanks for giving an interesting story!

Mexico, I believe, in the long run can benefit with this new status as an "equal" partner of the Kingdom of Spain, much like what Brazil IOTL imagined would happen in the brief period of the "Dual Monarchy" with Portugal. With time, their relations might become what the UK has with Canada, Australia and New Zealand, and I believe this evolutions can give us a trend with more politically stable Mexico and Central America, considering that the monarchic structure does have its benefits (with the "figure-head" of the king/queen acting as a political factor of legitimacy through the local government in a more conservative society), provided that the metropolis adopts more progressive measures, giving more autonomy and rights to the Mexican subjects. You might have noticed (I did not make it explicit), but a peerage system of sorts was adopted inside Mexico, an extremely important advance towards the favoring of the Hispano-Mexican Criolles, in comparison to the pre-1800 colonial dynamic, in which the Peninsulares held greater privileges. By now, Spain has already realized that it is entirely dependent on the goodwill of the native Criollo elites to preserve its domain, and it is perfectly willing to "ennoble" them.
So it looks like the real benefit is coup proofing the system for at least the middle of the century. Which is really going to strengthen the Mexican state. Although making a peerage system is probably going to be a bit of a drag once the population starts getting more literate and politically active. I mean sure, you can co opt the Criollos and landowners and bourgeoisie now, but once a literate proletariat is established and starts agitating for reform they're not going to like a peerage. But then again, the UK is a living example of its possible to forge a compromise at the last possible minute without exploding into violence.

Also, as you pointed out, economics will also tend towards a continuum of better developments, even if Spain itself is a rather backwards nation from technologic and scientific standpoint, in comparison to the UK or Prussia/Germany. We might, through the decades, come to the point where Mexico will be actually the motor propelling Spain forward than the opposite.
Actually I think by the 1870s Mexico will be the tail wagging the dog. Its larger, has a population that will surpass the motherland due to the demographic transition soon, is getting immigrants, and has a larger industrial base to be extracted. Probably would have a larger army by then too.

Indeed, Santo Domingo (or Quisqueya, I suppose they'd rather use the "native name" as means of linguistically and culturally asserting their independence over the cursed Spanish legacy). Your observations are appropriate, as always, and, indeed, I've not given that much thought about that point you raised about the first Dominican Republic. I'll surely have this in mind in the future, as we address the Caribbean situation in geopolitical scenarios. Greater liberalism is sure to be a trend in the new American republics, especially because they have, right in the neighborhood, examples of monarchist regimes to avoid imitating.
Actively asserting cultural independence from Spain is an amusing twist from OTL, but a reasonable and likely one. Greater Liberalism is a good thing, will certainly prevent a ton of civil wars in the long run.

Haiti for now is in a dire situation, but I promise that this won't become a Haitian holocaust-fest. The Haitians are, by then, a proud people which for decades tasted independence, and is (and will) be willing to fight back to regain it, especially against another slave-holding empire. We cannot forget: the Atlantic slave trafficking was abolished, but slavery is still in force in the Spanish colonies such as Cuba.
This is good to hear. Also worth noting that the slave trade was super laxly monitored and tons of slaves (mostly Yoruba) were brought to Cuba at this time. So there's a ton of changes that'd happen.

Of course! New Granada is obviously inspired in Gran Colombia, and, much like Red_Galiray did in his own TL, I figured that a united, stable and democratic *Gran Colombia can provide an irrepleceable foil to Brazil itself. In time, they might become friends or rivals in a dispute for hegemony, and, so far, there is no guarantee that Brazil must prevail.
I'll root for both.

In fact, since you liked it so much, I hope you like the next chapter. It concerns the Americas as a whole, and it is particularly significant to New Granada :biggrin:
:)
 

Deleted member 67076

The Andeans, nor La Plata are not in a good spot. One's surrounded by potentially hostile neighbors and the other has a Sword of Damocles (Brazil) hanging over it. I'd be surprised if war doesn't break out in a decade or two. I'd also suspect the military industrial complex in these two countries will start very soon, for better and for worse.

The big winner in all of this is New Granada. Got plenty of buffer zone, is united, has its strategic position confirmed, and doesn't have to worry about a multiple sided war.
 
The Andeans, nor La Plata are not in a good spot. One's surrounded by potentially hostile neighbors and the other has a Sword of Damocles (Brazil) hanging over it. I'd be surprised if war doesn't break out in a decade or two. I'd also suspect the military industrial complex in these two countries will start very soon, for better and for worse.

The big winner in all of this is New Granada. Got plenty of buffer zone, is united, has its strategic position confirmed, and doesn't have to worry about a multiple sided war.

This alt-Peru* is indeed the one that received the short end of the stick in the aftermath of the independence movements. Even if it has a bigger territory (in geographic terms) than, say, Chile, it has no venues for expansion, lest it might provoke conflict with any of its stronger neighbors in the south, in the north and in the east; perhaps only Chile itself is in peril, but Brazil will surely not abandon its sole ally in the continent. In the least, as we prevented the creation of Bolivia, it has a promise of greater internal stability, avoiding all the debacles and problems that led to the fiasco of the Peru-Bolivian Confederation.

I really loved the Sword of Damocles' metaphor about Brazil, I'll be sure to adopt it in the future. You are right about the situation in the Southern Cone. Brazil and La Plata will often come to blows regarding the preeminence over the geopolitically relevant River Plate region - IOTL, they actually went to war a few times, but never on a full-scale level, mostly using the Uruguayan Civil War as a proxy. After the sudden rise of Paraguay that led to the War of the Triple Alliance, the animosity between Brazil and OTL Argentina mostly faded, as each country became dedicated to their own domestic affairs.

ITTL, however, Brazilian-occupied Banda Oriental will be a flashpoint for revanchist conflicts with La Plata - much like OTL Kashmir region caused many conflicts between Pakistan and India, or the Caucasus between Russia and the Ottomans, even so as each of them have forged alliances to keep one another at bay. Now... just wait for the Great Power of Europe to put their own stakes in this "great game" of the southern hemisphere...
One thing is certain, as you noticed: both of these countries will tend to invest more heavily in their warfare capabilities than OTL.

New Granada is indeed in a much better position, at least if Spain gets its "bad boy"-Mexico inside the pants. The alliance with the US promises to be long-lasting, and now, as the centrifugal emancipatory movements that caused the breakup of OTL Gran Colombia into Colombia, Venezuela and Equador are gradually dying out, it can finally muster its resources to develop the economy, and establishing a soft hegemony over Central America and the Caribbean. New Granada, owing to Francisco de Miranda's dream of having a united Hispanoamerica, expects and will strive to become a proeminent actor in the western hemisphere, and the main champion of the anti-monarchist campaign against Spanish Mexico and Portuguese Guyanas.
 
28. 1831's Presidential Election
Le_maréchal_Polidoro.jpg


Portrait of Gen. Agostinho Villas Bôas Curvelo do Amaral, 3rd President of the Brazilian Federation (1834)



Not even the savviest of the political analysts could have guessed what would the lineup of the election in 1831 be, and, also, it would be hard to guess that, among them, Agostinho Villas Bôas Curvelo do Amaral would triumphant candidate. To comprehend his victory, then, one must examine the big picture, especially in the context of Inácio Joaquim Monteiro’s political weakness and the mismanagements of the Atlantic War.

Ever since the Constitutional Convention (in 1819), a sizeable portion of the political actors and decision-makers in both the Legislative and the Executive branches were military officers – marshals, generals and colonels of the Brazilian Army – because, after all, military victory, especially in such a young nation whose History had witnessed few heroes, was an easy path to obtain prestige and popular adoration. In peacetime, many of these veterans preferred the celebrity and the comforts of a membership in the Parliament, or, even better, a governorship in one of the states, then the boring chores of the quarters, from whence they would be able to enlarge the networking and clientele to broker favorable businesses in the future. Some of them, of course, went to politics out of sheer patriotism and the belief they might be able to fight for the best interests of the nation. A minority of them, at least.

Such was the case of Agostinho Curvelo do Amaral. An accomplished general, one of the few men still living in Brazil that had fought in the Iberian War against Napoleonic France, he had been created provisory governor of Rio de Janeiro in 1817 by Mena Barreto (then in his capacity as “Defender of the Free State of Brazil”) after the city was retaken from the Portuguese, during the War of Independence. After the war, he participated on the Constitutional Convention of 1819 and was elected a Member of the Parliament for the State of Rio de Janeiro in the next year, where he remained until 1830, and then became a candidate to the Presidency.

It is unlikely that he considered becoming a candidate for Presidency. This came by accident, indeed.

*****​

In late 1830, when Inácio Joaquim Monteiro’s reputation was already suffering the fallout of the various crises suffered in his tenure, two coalitions began forming in the Parliament against him:

  • One bloc consisted of the representatives from the States of the Northeast – Bahia, Alagoas, Pernambuco, Parahyba, Rio Grande do Norte, Ceará and Piauhy – amalgamated in a single front against Inácio Joaquim Monteiro after his secret plans to fuse three states of the Federation into a single one for personal profit and political gain were discovered, sparking the Pernambuco revolt of 1831;
  • Another bloc, smaller, but more cohesive, was formed by the class of military officers, bureaucrats and landowners from Minas Gerais, Rio de Janeiro, Santa Catarina, Rio Grande do Sul and some from São Paulo, and banded together to secure the interests of the agrarian and urban elites of the South.
These two blocs did not work together, but, even on divergent paths and interests, their combined opposition against Inácio Joaquim Monteiro overwhelmed the pro-Presidential faction inside the Parliament, leaving the President without support in the Legislative branch.

Then, as the Atlantic War was escalating, with the Guianas occupied by the Portuguese and a large separatist insurrection gaining strength in Pernambuco and Alagoas, all that President Inácio Joaquim Monteiro could think about was his own reelection, and already in his second term he could to try to devise a plan to salvage the collapsing nation. The militaristic party of the Cães de Guerra, however, was not impressed by his decisions – or their lack thereof – claiming that a vast and resourceful empire such as Brazil could not, must not suffer a humiliation by the hands of a tiny Iberian principality, one that had been reduced to ashes barely decades earlier, much like an elephant could not be taken down by a rat.

If the President was a General, like Mena Barreto, then these defeats would not come to pass”, they argued, in private meetings in the houses of their most prominent members, in Rio de Janeiro. “This nation needs a strong hand to prevent its own destruction”, one could hear Agostinho Curvelo do Amaral himself proclaim in any of these rendezvous.

Then, barely a couple months before the election in 1831, the representatives of the Traditionalist Party were surprised by a proposal made by Roberto Afrânio de Valença – son of Carlos Afrânio de Valença, former Vice-President of the Federation – then a Member of the Parliament from Rio de Janeiro. He announced that he desired to form an alliance against Inácio Joaquim Monteiro, his adversary, and intended to support a strong contender against him in the upcoming elections. Together, they might form a bloc even more powerful than the one crafted by the parliamentarians of the Northeast, and ensure favorable outcomes for the next Presidential and Gubernatorial elections. What he wanted, indeed, was a stable agreement for succession, with every election having a predictable winner, and an alternation in between every four years, without any reelections. Having either a military officer or then a civilian, and then another veteran, could function well to ensure the integrity of the nation and the preservation of their political and economic interests of the agrarian oligarchy.

He was, then, essentially proposing a political machine to gain every Presidential election, with alternating candidates from the same political coalition. This would become known in Brazilian History as the Pacto de Santana (lit. Santana Compact), in reference to the fact that the main representatives of this political alliance used to join in the Santana Square (Campo de Santana) in the suburbs of the city of Rio de Janeiro, to watch bullfights (a very popular sport at the time) and to discuss domestic politics. The participants of this arrangement would much later be named “Santaneiros” and, derogatorily “Bois-mansos” (lt. tamed bulls).

*****​

Gen. Rafael Clemente de Carvalho, who had been Mena Barreto’s tentative successor in the previous elections, was one of the first names considered for the 1831’s electoral ticket of the Santaneiros (discussed in one of their many secret meetings), but was discarded, considered unfit for presidential leadership. Then, João de Deus Mena Barreto was suggested due to his weight in public opinion, was also discarded, being such an aloof and uncharismatic personage. Among the civilians, the names of the natural scientist Martim Francisco Ribeiro de Andrada and the judge Cândido José de Araújo Viana were forwarded, but also turned down. Roberto Afrânio de Valença apparently did not wanted a candidacy for himself – he was actually interested in campaigning for the State Governorship in Rio de Janeiro instead of Presidency itself – but pledged its support for Agostinho Villas Bôas Curvelo do Amaral, a choice that actually warranted nods of agreement by their colleagues.

Indeed, Agostinho Curvelo do Amaral was popular and respected, with a sizeable military record and pristine reputation. When his name was brought on the table, he at first turned down the offer (if the refusal was genuine or farcical, we will never know), but upon the insistence of his peers, he decided to accept, and then quickly pulled the strings to secure a viable electoral campaign.

Inácio Joaquim Monteiro and his adversaries, Fausto Silva Ferreira from Bahia and Álvaro Barbalho from São Paulo, were surprised by the appearance of Agostinho Curvelo do Amaral as a candidate in the middle of 1831, who then obtained a lot of support in all the states south of Bahia, including São Paulo. Thus, out of a shady political compromise between disgruntled splinter groups that had joined together in a coalition, their candidate of 1831 was elected. Fausto Silva Ferreira went, once again, to second place, supported by the heavyweight electoral base of the Northeastern States, and Álvaro Barbalho remained in third place.
 
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It's ALIVE! No, really, I was getting worried that this wasn't going to get more updates

It lives.

Not dead, I just got too slow this month of August. Last week was particularly bad, I caught some nasty cold in the middle of the month, and had to make a daily effort to just get out of the bed, even more to go to work (considering my commute is fairly tiring). Anyways, I can't express how happy I am to see your support :), and I assure that I have some interesting ideas in stock for this TL.

Mind if we see a world map?

I'll be owing you this one. I'm amazingly terrible with drawing apps (I'm ashamed to confess that I only know how to use MSPaint. Even Inkscape, which people usually say its one of the simplest ones available, beffuzzles me most of the times). I'll try to sketch something soon to give you an idea, but have in mind that, excepting the different solution for the Polish-Saxon crisis, there haven't been great territorial changes outside of the Americas.
 
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