Number of deaths if the USSR capitulates in 1942 and the Anglo-Americans sign a peace treaty?

CalBear

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This was during the war when Czech production was very valuable to Germany. After the war they planned to eliminate 50% of Czechs.

Though the OP is banned if they already have their mind made up about the Reich’s post war plans why did they bother to make this thread?
To convince folks that the Reich was rational?
 
To convince folks that the Reich was rational?
In a previous discussion (one of the ones I linked in an earlier comment) someone claimed that the Reich wouldn’t be able to pull off the genocidal aspect of Generalplan Ost because it would have been so enormously evil and grotesque without the veil of “wartime necessity” that the German people (and institutions like the Wehrmacht) would have protested and refused to go along before it was finished since they weren’t all fanatical Nazis like Himmler and Hitler.

I disagree but it’s certainly something to consider.
 
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CalBear

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In a previous discussion (one of the ones I linked in an earlier comment) someone claimed that the Reich wouldn’t be able to pull off the genocidal aspect of Generalplan Ost because it would have been so enormously evil and grotesque without the veil of “wartime necessity” that the German people (and institutions like the Wehrmacht) would have protested and refused to go along before it was finished since they weren’t all fanatical Nazis like Himmler and Hitler.

I disagree but it’s certainly something to consider.
That is a common argument, in the "the German people wouldn't stand for it". It fails on several levels, one being that they stood for it for years during the war with slave labor camps right in the middle of the Reich (in fact when the Dambusters did they thing one of the big casualty centers was a female "guest worker" camp). another being that most of the "extermination through labor" would have been in General Government and in the European parts of the conquered USSR.

The idea that the German population would somehow turn on a victorious Nazi government while Inner Germany was experiencing some of the highest quality of life, perhaps even the HIGHEST quality of life on the Planet, despite not doing so while the CBO was pounding Germany into rubble while Harris was happily "dehousing" tens of thousands of Germans every week and the Red Army was causing thousands of "we regret to inform you" letters to go to German families every week simply doesn't track with the evidence.

People can convince themselves of just about anything. Not just WW II era Germans either. The Confederacy fought an WAR to allow other humans to be held as livestock, then the DEFEATED former slave states actively created and supported Jim Crow for a Century. Not only supported it passively, but actively and with huge majorities. People see what they want, will create whatever justification they need to believe that things are acceptable. The Taliban had majority support before 9/11. Millions of older Russian citizens long for the "good old days". South African whites (as a group) justified Apartheid, which was Jim Crow on Steroids into the 1980s.

Would the German public eventually react? Sure. Just like the American public finally did, in fits and starts, beginning a hundred years after Jim Crow (and that process has been happening for 60 years and we still have to actually have the sort of things that can only be discussed in Chat). Problem is, by the time the German public reacted, at best in the late 1950s, more probably the mid 1960s when the Reich had sucked the rest of Europe dry and Inner Germany's economy started to crash, it would be at the "thoughts and prayers" stage. You can "regret" what the country did, but that doesn't do much to reduce the pyramids of skulls.
 
another being that most of the "extermination through labor" would have been in General Government and in the European parts of the conquered USSR.
This is very important. The vast majority of the killing/enslavement of the Slavs would be out of sight and out of mind for the German population. It’s easy to ignore megadeaths when it’s happening a thousand miles away.

Besides non Germans from the rest of Nazi Europe and native collaborators (of which there would be millions) the dirty work would be done by the Heer, Order Police, Waffen SS, SS and Nazi Party/civilian administrators (all groups that IOTL were up to their eyes in atrocities in the East already). All combined it would require a few million people of sufficient ideological commitment (excluding the planned 12 million Aryan settlers who would certainly do their part).

As comparison by 1945 OTL around 40,000 German guards were keeping almost a million concentration camp inmates under control. In the last year of the war almost 10 million slave laborers of all groups were working under German control. 400,000 Jews in the Warsaw Ghetto (which was a little over a square mile in area) were guarded by less than 1,000 German troops and around 2,500 Jewish police. It certainly isn’t a matter of insurmountable logistics. Merely controlling the food supply alone would make keeping (and starving) the tens of millions of Slavs under control.
 
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All combined it would require a few million people of sufficient ideological commitment
You mean KAPD supporters, KPD voters and SPD voters. Because the composition of the Police Battalions mirrored that of Weimar society politically. (Browning, Ordinary Men).

Brainwashed boys weren’t needed.
Ideological commitment didn’t matter.
 
Third Reich was capable to depopulate Eastern Europe. Belarus lost quarter of population just in 3 years between Barbarossa and Bagration. Populating it again with German settlers is another story, but for victims of Generalplan Ost it would not make any difference.
 
Not Australia or New Zealand?
I’m no economics expert but those countries didn’t have an entire continent to plunder/extort on top of having tens of millions of expendable slaves (and forced laborers from Aryan countries like France) to do dirty jobs and menial tasks like a victorious Reich would.

Here’s an excerpt from the Nazi victory TL the person you quoted wrote to understand what they mean:
German citizens who did not fall befoul of the Gestapo, which to most Germans had become more of a Boogeyman than actual threat as dissent (and dissenters) disappeared from daily life, enjoyed full employment, seven weeks of paid vacation (ten weeks in the case of Party members) subsidized by the Reich Government, and free medical and dental care. The Reichmark was the most powerful currency on the Continent, allowing German travelers incredible purchasing power on their regular trips to France, Italy and the rest of Occupied Europe, and the Mark’s strength continued into the neutral states of Portugal, Spain, Sweden, and Switzerland where luxury items, including some products from the West unavailable within Occupied Europe, could be secured for the trip home.

Through these shopping adventures the average Reich citizen was able to keep themselves well supplied with otherwise embargoed consumer goods ranging from exotic spices from the East and other foodstuffs including oranges from Florida and avocados from California to inexpensive appliances, with the Mark’s buying power allowing the average housefrau in Berlin to enjoy luxuries virtually unknown outside to any other in Europe except the ruling elite. Even the average American family did not enjoy the leisure time, easy work life, and buying power that were common across Inner Germany.
 
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CalBear

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Not Australia or New Zealand?
In the scenario I just laid out? In the mid 1950s?

The Reich had, pew-war, created an incredibly cozy life, for the time, that provided Germans with paid vacations including government supported recreation facilities and camps. With ALL of the European Peninsula to draw from, and with peace with the Anglo-Americans German marks would have been, by light years, the most potent currency on the Continent. Keep the example of OTL's USSR or today's Venezuela in mind when strength of the currency is considered, now factor in the reality that all the countries in Europe are occuppied by either Heer or Waffen SS troops and Gestapo "supporting" local puppet governments. You used to be able to literally buy a car (a crappy one, to be sure, but covered pretty much every consumer good made in Eastern Europe back in during the recent unpleasantness) on the other side of the Wall for a pair of USED Levi's. Unlike the Soviets, who were preoccupied with creating the "perfect socialist state" (which, from all appearances, meant everyone was dirt poor and lived in pretty much constant shortages) the Nazis realized the best thing you can do it keep your population deluded and thinking that the economy is booming and all the wealth and perks are due to the innate greatness of National Socialism and the German Volk's natural superiority.

People in Paris or Oslo would have been working 14 -16 hour days, on 1,500 calories/day so German housewives could spend a month in pampered luxury at resorts only open to Germans (and possibly Italians) in the South of France or Skiing in the Alps.
 
Australian unfree or semi-unfree labour in the twentieth century was well under one million. Around half of aboriginal Australia was “underground” in rural areas and considered “white” due to suburb of residence and public culture in rural labouring trades. These were historically underpaid at “white” wages due to the incompetence of the dominant right wing rural workers union (AWU) in federal wage disputes (both before the courts and in strikes).

Much of the rest of the aboriginal population were in unfree labour paid black wages with no rights to generalised services. Additionally the structure of Australian genocide was based of a diverse but incompetent set of localised plans. This meant you got smoothing the sheets while the state waited for the aboriginal people to die out naturally; child abduction into slavery; and periodic police actions (after the 1930s these seem to have not been intended as general murder expeditions).

While German policy was diverse and localised the destructive punishment of life unworthy of life was almost universal across fissures. The Soviet population is many tens of millions. And German execution practice was often creative and demonstrative. I’m sure that some Soviet citizens, or Slavic people in Europe, will manage to get on “the right side of the track.” I’m sure that into the 1970s property disputes would result in the revelation of hidden racial heritages amongst agricultural “Germanic” settlers in order to grab your neighbours land.

So no, different slaves, different genocides, different economic benefits to the setters.

Further reading on Australian slavery and genocide: https://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2021-02-06/an-australian-familys-reckoning/13124732?nw=0&pfmredir=sm
 
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So here's a question. Would you like to have been a German in that scenario?
Do you mean in a Nazi victory scenario?

If so then my answer is no. I wouldn’t want to live in a nightmarish dystopia like that as it would be completely antithetical to all of my values and beliefs on top of having to worry for my personal safety if I step out of life (though from an overall AH perspective it would be interesting).
 
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Do you mean in a Nazi victory scenario?

If so then no. I wouldn’t want to live in a nightmarish society like that as it would be completely antithetical to all of my values and beliefs.
I'd have a hard time saying no. Not because I agree with the Nazis in any way, but because I'd like to say I'd sacrifice all I had for what I believed in was right but I don't think I would make that choice when push came to shove. I'm not sure I would be capable of resisting the temptation to benefit from ill-gotten gains.
 
Albert Speer said this in a 1971 Playboy interview:
If the Nazis had won, of course, things on the surface would eventually have settled down to an appearance of normality. The milkman would deliver his milk in the morning, the policeman would enforce the law, the doctor would cure the sick, people would still worry about their jobs, fight with their wives, save for a new car. But they would be living in a nightmare, buried in a graveyard of human hope and dignity, trapped in a hell they would never recognize, much less question. The long dark night would have begun, and finally man would not even remember the light.
 
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