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What if Novgorod had come out on top in its struggle with Sweden, and eventually annexed OTL southern Finland in the 13th century? (Moreover, is that even possible?)

How would an Orthodox, mixed Russian-Finnic state evolve? Could it survive and avoid being absorbed by Muscovy? Would it be an ethnically stratified society, with Russian upper classes and Finnic lower classes, or could there eventually be Finnish/Karelian nobles?
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