Northern Ireland, what's the worst that can happen?

WI the British Army had not been put into Northern Ireland in the first place
That would mean either of three things. 1. The situation does not deteriorate (PM O'Niell is successful in his reforms). 2. The situation deteriorates but for some reason the Prime Minister (Chichester-Clark or Faulkner) does not ask for security from the British Army. 3. The PM (Heath or Wilson) refuses to send troops for security purposes therefore sending the province into total chaos as the UDR or B-Specials and the RUC are unable to maintain order, the paramilitaries from both sides take control.
 
One possibility is that Fine Gael moves more to the left under Cosgrave and adopts a socialist platform based on the "Just Society" document.
ahhahahahahhahhahaahahhah, Fine Gael....... left leaning!!!!!!, now that is ASB

In 1973, Fine Gael and Labour win the General Election and form a left-wing coalition that offers support to the Official IRA. Cosgrave retains power in 1977 but shifts further left pulling Ireland out of the EU and suspending Irish membership of NATO and welcoming President Brezhnev as a "fraternal comrade" on a State visit.
Again, the topic was whats the worst that could happen in NI, not whats the worst that could happen if magical pixies from venus decided to interrupt.. the fact that you picked Fine Gael, really shows a lack of understanding of the subect. The party of big farmers is not under any circumstance going to go left. They have always had a strong social concience, but in the same vein as any similar Christian democratic party in europe.


Russian "advisers" are followed by Cuban and Angolan mercenaries who are slowly smuggled in to Ireland and train and equip the new Irish People's Army which is by now outside NATO.
........... as opposed to the irish irmy which never was in nato!!!
Russian advisors, cuban mercenaries!!!, this aint angola you know!!!


Ireland officially claims it is reasserting traditional neutrality but is in fact planning an invasion of Ulster.
As many people have said already this was never a posibility, the Arms crisis and trial was linked to a few rogue people (Blaney ..... total absolute nutcase, rabid brit hater, haughey..... less said about that person the better, his involvment was part of a putsh against lynch... just after power , any whay he could get it!!)

Cosgrave and his Russian advisers provoke an "incident" near Enniskillen in early 1980 which is used as a pretext for an invasion of Fermanagh, Tyrone and Derry. Belfast and Armagh are bombed from the air.

However, he has reckoned without Margaret Thatcher. The RAF strike Irish, Cuban and Angolan bases near Dundalk and Sligo and British armour strikes back across the border.

Within 72 hours, Dundalk and Sligo have fallen and British tanks are closing on Dublin itself while the Royal Navy lands marines at Wexford and Cork.

In Dublin, there is near panic and revolt. Cosgrave is forced to flee to East Germany along with Labour members of the Cabinet. A new Government led by Charles Haughey asks London for terms.

British forces will remain in the Irish border counties for a decade, rooting out the IRA and its supporters. Ireland will be re-admitted to the EU in 1990 and becomes and associate member of NATO when British troops withdraw in 1993.

less said about this particular bit of rule britania, kick those annoying micks back where they belong the better. if i start to pick any more holes in this , i'd have to get a HGV licence to be able the drive the semi trailer truck through the holes in the story!!

bottom line, if you havent a clue, dont comment
 
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sorry that last reply didnt work out as i wanted, its sort of hard to work out hwere "stodge's " comments end and mine begin
 
I think this is a plausible worst case scenario. You have an authoritarian Britain with Enoch Powell as PM, a much more successful IRA kicking off a proper guerilla war which results in the ethnic cleansing or Ulster and cross-border clashes and raids resulting in an Lebanon style security buffer.
It really is a great story and I recommend it.
 
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