POD is 1914. Does the exclusion agreement hold? Effects on UK politics? (This is "best case scenario" as opposed to my previous "worst case" thread from a few months ago)
POD is 1914. Does the exclusion agreement hold? Effects on UK politics? (This is "best case scenario" as opposed to my previous "worst case" thread from a few months ago)
Getting agreement on what areas to exclude is highly likely, the sticking point, as others have said, is the "temporary" issue. The Unionists wanted it to be permanent however such an arrangement was anathema to the Nationalists both for emotional reasons and for economic. Nationalists saw Ulster's industries as a cash cow that would help fund Home Rule, the Unionists realised this and were afraid of losing access to Imperial markets. So if a partition deal can be reached, unless there is some arrangement to allow Ulster to join later, which the Unionists would object to, then "The Ulster Question" is going to flare up again later, NI will certainly be better off without Stormont, but feelings well remain high, especially if Home Rule starts to evolve into something approaching independence.
Why would home rule mean a loss of markets though?