As we know, World War 2's European theatre directly influenced the East Asian theatre: Germany's invasion of the Netherlands and France helped Japan in its plans to occupy Indochina and Indonesia. Such occupations caught the eye of the US, who, eventually, entered the war, and started sending aid to the Kuomintang government in China.
But what if World War 2 never happened? Say, if the Munich Agreement is not signed in 1938, a war between Germany and France/Czechoslovakia happens, the germans are defeated quickly and Hitler is ousted. That, or the Battle of France is a german failure.
What would happen to the ongoing Second Sino-Japanese War? Japan already occupied Manchuria and most of the chinese coast, but the lack of a Burmese Campaign would mean that Britain will be able to send over a lot of supplies across Burma to the chinese.
Do the US still get involved in the war? Will they still put an oil embargo against Japan?
Who is more likely to win here? If the odds are equal, then can the war end in a stalemate, with Japan occupying Manchukuo, some coastal cities, but not much else?
But what if World War 2 never happened? Say, if the Munich Agreement is not signed in 1938, a war between Germany and France/Czechoslovakia happens, the germans are defeated quickly and Hitler is ousted. That, or the Battle of France is a german failure.
What would happen to the ongoing Second Sino-Japanese War? Japan already occupied Manchuria and most of the chinese coast, but the lack of a Burmese Campaign would mean that Britain will be able to send over a lot of supplies across Burma to the chinese.
Do the US still get involved in the war? Will they still put an oil embargo against Japan?
Who is more likely to win here? If the odds are equal, then can the war end in a stalemate, with Japan occupying Manchukuo, some coastal cities, but not much else?
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