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What if Stalin’s gut tells him to take Finland seriously as a military factor, at least in wintertime?

At least given deficiencies in execution of the occupation of eastern Poland, Stalin just sort of leads with the idea of: “invading a Scandinavian country in winter...that’s dumb”

Consequently he plans to press the Finns for concessions only in spring-summer 1940, and military back-up plans for a multi axis land and naval campaign for June 1. Delaying the demands and pressure campaign prevents the Soviets from getting into a position where they need to fight the Finns hastily to save face.

Well in OTL, there were a lot of other players making moves between Movember 1939 and 1 June 1940.

Will the lack of a Soviet-Finnish “Winter War” influence the substance or timing of German or British actions regarding Norway?
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