Say, that, the Maine doesn't explode and there is no Spanish-American War. From what I know, both Cuba and the Philippines were mostly already under rebel control and Spain would eventually have to give up on them. However, there was no rebellion in Puerto Rico, that was fully under Spanish control. Apparently, Puerto Rico was far more happy under Spain than Cuba and the Philippines were. Due to its size, it was also much easier to control. If the war hadn't happened, would it still be part of Spain today?
Without Spanish-American war, the Philippines would get balkanized into revolutionary states like the tagalog republic(luzon) and the federal republic of visayas because no foreign ruler wants to support aguinaldo who wants to conquer visayas and mindanao and dies in exile while cuba becomes a country of its own.
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