No Russo-Trukish war

Oh, my bad. The 1877-78.
Ah, an interesting choice.

The 1877-78 war secured Russia's presence in the Balkans, and set the stage for over a century of regional geopolitics. Russia sought to impose itself as a defender of local Christians, a very dubious obligation it had held down since the 1820s. Putting aside the root of Russia's caution here - it would have to wager the loss of a degree of propaganda face I'm not convinced any Romanov would be willing to stomach - the butterflies are, obviously, going to be enormous. I could see a feel-good Austrian intervention to fill the void, though the campaign would likely be be more limited (nobody in the West, so to speak, had any interested in a crippled 'sick man of Europe' - an occupation of Bosnia-Herzegovina, perhaps?). Crucially, it could also merit Anglo-French sponsorship, something the Russians really had little intention of doing. The Ottomans may or may not fail to crush the revolts against them, and I wouldn't bank on anything given their dreadful performance IOTL.

The major result of this would be Austrian, rather than Russian predominance in south-eastern Europe, with Vienna presiding over a host of ethnic quasi-protectorates. A three-way cold war between a resentful Russia, bent on conquest (and with the potential sympathy of Orthodox Bulgarians and Serbs), Western darling Austria and a crumbling Turkish empire would make for a fascinating read.
 
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One good PoD would be to have the decisions made in the Constantinople Conference actually accepted by both the Great Powers and Abdulhamid I, but even this would be tricky since we're talking about turning a portion of Rumelia into two new Vilayets and the Sultan would not take too kindly to having an autonomous Christian territory function within the Ottoman Empire.
 
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