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POD Britain and France don't issue the Guarantee, OTL there was a lot of debate about it.

So Septembre 1939 Germany invades Poland, Britain/France Complain and begin Mobilization- but no DoW.
By Novembre 1939 Germany has taken all Poland, and is looking across the border at Russia, behind the Stalin Line.
I know this is the weak part, that Russia just sat but bear with.

winter 1940-- Russia attacks Finland -Winter war, without the troops garrisoning Poland, Russia does better,
This prompts that Swedish General to move faster.
Before Stockholm can stop Him he take his 6 divisions into Finland and attacks the Russians.
This pulls England/France into it, OTL they were planning but never moved on them. ITTL they do. Supplies flow thru Norway into Sweden and Finland.

By June 1940 the Wehrmacht is rested, and resupplied/Equipped and ready.
Operation Barbarossa is launched, Panzer 3's & 4's vs Thousands of T-26's. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:T26_parola_1.jpg
After several days of bloody fighting the Germans break thru the Stalin Line.
Despite having the Better tank, the Germans have to slog their way forward. As the Russians are ready for them.
Like OTL's Sherman v Panzer match up, the Russians just have so many more T-26's they can afford a 4 ~ 5/1 exchange.
I doubt the Germans will get as far as OTL. thro Leningrad will probably fall ITTL.

Russia will withdraw from Finland, and make Peace with England/France.
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