So the Yamato can magically conduct pinpoint bombardment at armored company level formations?
They don't have to. They just have to reduce entire square kilometers to rubble, which they are more than capable of, and which they have the capability to sustain.
Japan also has more than one battleship. There's the Yamato, and there's her sister ship, Musashi. There's Nagato and Mutsu, plus Hyuuga, Ise, Yamashiro, and Fuso. There's also Kongou, Kirishima, Haruna, and Hiei.
And the Soviets will mass more aircraft ( being an actual industrial power means they can).
More aircraft does not guarantee victory, as shown in the Battle of Britain. Without the Pacific War, the IJAAF and the IJN would maintain their pilots' qualitative edge, and would have superior aircraft by this point with the Ki-84, the A8M, and the N1K-J. And this assumes no lend-lease aid, which will almost certainly come in once the Soviets push into Korea. Then the Japanese start getting Mustangs and maybe even jets...assuming the USA simply doesn't join in on the Japanese side.
And this also assumes the Soviets are able to send the same amount - proportionally or literally - of aircraft as was needed IOTL to smash the IJN and the IJAAF in the Pacific War, to the Far Eastern theater, without weakening their grip over Eastern Europe and deterring the USA.
Given institutional IJA command and control deficiencies, they'll definitely lose all of Korea.
That one I will not contest. But I will contend that the Japanese would lose the northern islands to the Soviets. Not against an intact IJN, and a largely-intact IJAAF, both of which would have retained their qualitative edge.
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