No Or Limited Arab Slave Trade

The Arab slave trade is not widely known in the western world, but it had a major effect on world history.

Here's a bit of information
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arab_slave_trade (I know I used Wikipedia)

In total, 20 million were enslaved (8 million more than Atlantic slave trade) And 80 million died on way to the markets. The slave trade continued to exist but had died out in around 1920.

So what if the Slave-trade never happened, or is reduced immensely. What happens?
 
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  • At sea, Barbary pirates joined in this traffic when they could capture people by boarding ships or by incursions into coastal areas, mainly in Southern Europe as well as other European coasts.
  • Nubia and Ethiopia were also "exporting" regions: in the 15th century, Ethiopians sold slaves from western borderland areas (usually just outside the realm of the Emperor of Ethiopia) or Ennarea,[97] which often ended up in India, where they worked on ships or as soldiers. They eventually rebelled and took power (dynasty of the Habshi Kings).
  • The Sudan region and Saharan Africa formed another "export" area, but it is impossible to estimate the scale, since there is a lack of sources with figures.
  • Finally, the slave traffic affected eastern Africa, but the distance and local hostility slowed down this section of the Oriental trade.
Since different regions were affected differently and to different degrees, how would different regions be affected by a scenario of no arab slave trade?
 
  • At sea, Barbary pirates joined in this traffic when they could capture people by boarding ships or by incursions into coastal areas, mainly in Southern Europe as well as other European coasts.
  • Nubia and Ethiopia were also "exporting" regions: in the 15th century, Ethiopians sold slaves from western borderland areas (usually just outside the realm of the Emperor of Ethiopia) or Ennarea,[97] which often ended up in India, where they worked on ships or as soldiers. They eventually rebelled and took power (dynasty of the Habshi Kings).
  • The Sudan region and Saharan Africa formed another "export" area, but it is impossible to estimate the scale, since there is a lack of sources with figures.
  • Finally, the slave traffic affected eastern Africa, but the distance and local hostility slowed down this section of the Oriental trade.
Since different regions were affected differently and to different degrees, how would different regions be affected by a scenario of no arab slave trade?

I was thinking there would be many demographic changes. Due to it not being very known, information on the subject is hard to find. I would say, however, that it might have an effect on local regions histories.

The Zanj Rebellion, in consequence to the Arab slave trade of importing millions of Africans to Iraq, killed over 1,500,000 million people. It's likely the demographic changes of more than 90 million people staying in Africa is enormous.
 
I was thinking there would be many demographic changes. Due to it not being very known, information on the subject is hard to find. I would say, however, that it might have an effect on local regions histories.

The Zanj Rebellion, in consequence to the Arab slave trade of importing millions of Africans to Iraq, killed over 1,500,000 million people. It's likely the demographic changes of more than 90 million people staying in Africa is enormous.
What else do you believe could happen?
 
If there is no Arab slave trade, then you remove one of the primary moral justification for 19th century European imperialist intervention in Africa.
French incursions into the Sahel zone, British subjugation of the Swahili coast, even the creation of the infamous Congo Free State were all justified as measures to suppress the slave trade.
 
Why would there not be a market for slavery in the Arab world, when that region was always a market for slaves? The only way to possibly avoid it would be for Islam to have a complete prohibition on slavery (rather than just regulations on enslaving Muslims) and have Islam spread just as wide. In which case it would likely still exist in many parts, but they'd call it something different. That sort of abolitionism strikes me as borderline ASB given the rarity (if not almost complete absence) of abolitionist thought in Antiquity and the religious influences of Arabia (Judaism, Christianity, etc.).
 
The Papacy allowed Christians to enslave people in part to compete with Muslims who had their own slave trade. Without the Arab slave trade, the Transatlantic slave trade may not happen. The economies and states of West Africa may be less developed without anything worth trading across the Sahara.
 
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