So no oil does not mean a more advanced investment in so-called 'renewable' energies, it means no investment in these energies. Coal would remain supreme, and would end up polluting the earth much more. Eventually, energy resources would run dry and human civilization would enter an inescapable dark age.
Given that Fuel cells are a 1830's, and solar cells are from the 1880's, and solar powered Steam Turbines from the early 1900's ....
I think whe would find substitutes for Coal.
Given that Oil has been known and used since Biblical times, I think a no Oil TL is impossible.
Now a
No Fractional Distillation ,No first Oil Well in 1854 Pennsylvania, etc. is very possible.
All the talk of Oil for Power ignores what oil was used for in the 1800's ...
Kerosene
Rockefeller and Standard Oil made their Millions selling Kerosene for Lamps,
Standard Oil Lights the World- was more than just a Slogan, It was the honest truth.
So no Kerosene, No Gas lights. Whale Oil remains in the upper class homes, Lower class continues with Candles, or Carbide.
More/ Earlier investment in Electric production, more use of Arc Lighting, more investment in other electric lighting,
No post 1850's Investment in Indonesia, more investment in Korea's and the Amur Province Coal Fields.
Japan more interested in Siberia [Coal, Hydro-power] than in China or Indonesia