No Mongols... Effects on the Middle East?

Without the sack of Baghdad the Abbasid Caliphate will continue to limp along and might become the Islamic equivalent of the HRE until something finally puts it out of its misery. The Iranian Plateau will have a much lager population without the Genghis and his self proclaimed successors ransacking it over the centuries.

By this point it is probably inevitable the Constantinople is going to become the capital of a Turkish empire. How long would that empire last? Would that empire be the one to kill the Abbasids? Who knows?
 
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