No Mongol Ravaging of Hungary?

Suppose the timing of the Mongol invasion of Europe is disrupted for whatever reason, meaning that there is no time for a campaign against Hungary before the Great Khan Ögedei dies, and infighting breaks out. Presume that the Mongols are still able to devastate the Romanian principalities, with perhaps smaller raids into Transylvania or Hungary proper.

Is Hungary in a strong enough position to take advantage of the weakness of Wallachia and Moldavia, or otherwise expand in the Balkans? Medieval Hungary seemed to have been relatively wealthy, and without the Mongol invasion, would not have suffered such a considerable population decline. Would the power of the crown erode away as much as it did IOTL? The Golden Bull had already passed, but British monarchs demonstrated that it was possible to bounce back to exert considerable central authority so long as they could rely on their own funds.
 
I read the King fled to an island and didn't leave for ten years from the Mongols in OTL. The invasion drove the Cumans into Hungary and I think the Cumans being there triggered the Mongol sackings.
 
Before the Mongol Invasions, King Bela IV was trying to reassert royal authority/power among the nobles. So I think much of the crown's attention is going to be spent on internal politics.

However, assuming the Cumans were ravaged as IOTL, then Hungary could expand a certain amount into Cumania. However, the threat of the Mongols is still there, and the Hungarians are unlikely to expand if it risks a Mongol reprisal. A move south into Wallachia is more likely than Moldavia since the Mongols likely have less interests there.

If the additional population and wealth emboldens expansion, it's most likely to be expended where the Mongols are not - probably at the expense of Serbia. Hungary could gain complete control of Bosnia and make Serbia dependent.

I don't think this is a game changer unlike the later Ottoman invasions. It does allow the Hungarians to be slightly more powerful during its medieval kingdom, but Hungary is still threatened by institutional weakness if there is a future interregnum or weak kings like OTL.
 
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