No Iranian Hostage Crisis

MrHola

Banned
On October 22, 1979, President Carter allowed the Shah to make a brief stopover in the US for medical treatment for his cancer. The compromise was extremely unpopular with the revolutionary movement, which had been angered by the United States' years of support for the Shah's rule. The Iranian revolutionary government demanded the return of the Shah to Iran to stand trial.

Eventually, the US embassy in Tehran which became known as the Iran Hostage Crisis. He left the United States on December 15, 1979 and lived for a short time in Panama. Finally he returned to Egypt, where he died on July 27, 1980, at the age of 60. Egyptian President Anwar Sadat gave the Shah a state funeral.

So what if the Shah died a year sooner, say, July 27, 1979, before Carter allowed the Shah admission in the US. Then what?
 
If there is no Iranian hostage crisis Carter may have a stronger chance of getting re-elected. I assume that everything else is the same in TTL? Like the oil shortages?

We will not see here in the States all those American hostages trapped in Iran and associated that with Jimmy the Peanut. Not to mention that terrible failed rescue attempt.

Maybe another leader other then Khomeni arises, but probably not.. The shah was pissing people like the Ayatollah off for years. Maybe there is far less "energetic" revolution in Iran. Yes, an Islamic republic, but without all the hostage taking, less anger against the West.

Also without the hostage crisis, people like current president Ahmadinejad may have never come to power. No revolutionary guard etc..

Lots and lots of butterflies.. Perhaps with a less revolutionary Iran, Saddam never tries to invade in 1980..
 
Khomeni steered that mess and the subsequent Iraqi war into a means to marginalize the socialists and republicans that the theocrats were in coalition with.

Without the Hostage mess? Islamic Republic of Iran is far more a republic (the Guardian Council largely powerless), diplomatic relationship with the U.S. restored by 1985, things remain far more stable (although sheer power politics would oblige the place to extend it's influence).

HTG
 
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