No GNW (or “Peter goes South”)

I don't know, without shock therapy that Commodore Perry induced to Japan I'm not sure that it will open up , otherwise current relationship is acceptable for Japan government and allows it to keep its isolation, in a way similar to China, there is a trade but not on a such level to affect internal development to much and in this TL Qing even had a war with Russia and lost without being affected to much.

China was too big and sloppy for being seriously impacted by anything lesser than a major humiliation and even the Opium wars did not completely accomplish the job. Japan was different and, as you may notice, I put “opening” into quotes. It does not have to be a full one because this would make the whole Perry episode unnecessary: what the point in making the noise if the problem already gone. But, after all, shogunate (at least in theory) is a military regime and paying attention to the visible military developments is not a complete ASB. The Russian warships are visiting Japan and they have what the Russian defined as “bombic guns” so there can be some interest to the whole issue resulting in obtaining some field howitzers. From the Russian perspective this is not a problem, just business, and friendship with Japan is important (developing agriculture on the Pacific coast is a long story, shipping by the Amur is not always easy and Hokkaido is just a short naval trip away).

Perry’s artillery was not too impressive except for few serious guns on his flagship, the land artillery had certain advantage and few wooden paddle and sail ships were not exactly the dreadnoughts.

A successful demonstration of strength will not necessarily prevent the OTL events.

But what may happen down the line is Russia supplementing Prussian/German influence , though that's far ahead.
Yes, this is a long shot and it makes sense if Russia has military reputation (for which I’ll need few wars 😢).
 
Well, it is definitely #1 (otherwise I would not mention it) and it impacts nomenclature of the Russian imports from China and Japan so it is #3 (to some degree). As for #2, I can’t just jump from one (missed) war to another completely disregarding the issues of economics, manufacturing, etc.

In OTL development of the domestics “ceramics” of all types and levels did impact the life styles of pretty much all classes, except for the poorest ones so it is kind of relevant for a broader picture.

To borrow from the classics, in the “Modern Idyll” Saltykov-Schedrin mockingly discussed production of the low quality domestic wine as a factor impacting the Russian foreign policy making it independent from the British imports of port, madeira, etc. You can extend this logic to the good quality table ware. 🤗

I wouldn't mind a little excursion down Russian porcelain industry and how it improved compared to otl. Domestic situation in Russia is ultimately quite important as lack of internal reforms was what ultimately got Russian Empire in the long run.
 
Yes, this is a long shot and it makes sense if Russia has military reputation (for which I’ll need few wars

I was thinking more along the lines of Iwakura Mission , for Japan to take Russia as it's model of developed state. In otl they choose to follow Prussian-German model together with the British, Russia was excluded because it lagged behind it's West European counterparts, in this timeline Russia already has an history of good relationship with Japan and by the time of Meji Restoration it should be a developed state.

Though depending on how French revolutionary wars go France may be a good model to.
 
Well, it is definitely #1 (otherwise I would not mention it) and it impacts nomenclature of the Russian imports from China and Japan so it is #3 (to some degree). As for #2, I can’t just jump from one (missed) war to another completely disregarding the issues of economics, manufacturing, etc
1) 👍, gogogogo
2) very much agreed
3) makes sense

I look forward to it now
 
Fragile things
156. Fragile things


“- Oh, sir, what great dishes in your house that emphasize your refined aristocratic taste! I'm delighted!
- Yes, sir, this is a unique Chinese porcelain of the 17th century. And this one shallow elegant cup that I recently bought at auction, I especially like it!
- And why, sir?
- It's very convenient to lick sour cream out of it
!”
Overheard somewhere in the aristocratic society.

On the Great Silk Road, the border guards stop the caravan.
- What are you carrying?
- Porcelain and silk.
- Oh, these cheap Chinese consumer goods again?

A medieval joke
Porcelain
Production of porcelain in Russia officially started in 1744 [1] , which put it behind Saxony (1710) and France (1740) but ahead of Prussia (1751). The interest can be tracked all the way back to Peter I who in 1712 visited residence of the King of Prussia and was quite impressed by the “Chinese rooms”. Upon return he ordered purchases for his Monplesir summer residence and from here the fashion spread to his entourage and stopped there: the damned things were extremely expensive even if most of them had been coming from Meissen [2].

The popularity of porcelain and the high need for it, combined with the high cost of imported products, naturally led to the idea of organizing Russian own production of porcelain products based on local materials. Since 1717, foreign pottery masters have been invited to train Russian masters and organize local production. In 1723, by decree of Peter I, benefits were granted to entrepreneurs who will be able to "introduce and distribute "curious art", especially using local raw materials”. As with many other things, “invention by the decree” did not produce immediate results even if in 1724, Afanasy Kirillovich Grebenshchikov opened a factory in Moscow to produce majolica with enamel painting. It was producing mostly smoking pipes and the tiles but starting from the late 1730s it began producing the dishes as well.

In 1744 by the imperial decree a “porcelain manufacture” had been open near St-Petersburg on an assumption that the local clay is similar to those used in Meissen. Unfortunately, invited German specialist, Christophe Conrad Hunger, failed to produce porcelain, was fired and died in 1748 in poverty. However, his assistant, Dmitry Vinogradov, was engaged in his own experiments, and after a long search, in 1746 he managed to obtain acceptable quality porcelain based on several varieties of Gzhel white clay, Olonets quartz and alabaster. The first products were of the inferior quality but after few years of improvements, it was possible to obtain porcelain, which was not inferior in quality to Saxon, but in composition close to Chinese, although produced exclusively from local raw materials.

Vinogradov’s fate was rather tragic: as soon as he got a success, he was pretty much held prisoner in the manufacture both to oversee the process and not to disclose its secrets. In 1758, at the age of 38, he fell seriously ill and soon died. To date, nine items with the personal brand of Vinogradov himself have been preserved. The first products of the manufactory were dishes and small decorative things such as snuffboxes and small figures of people and animals. All products were delivered exclusively to the imperial court.

Soon enough the nomenclature of the Imperial Porcelain Manufacture expanded and so did the the volume but the court was a huge consumer and imperial manufacture could not satisfy all its requirements. One of the first sets produced for the personal usage of the imperial family, “Personal Service”, was made in 1756.
1655400217646.png

There were also huge sets like Arabesque service (973 items, including table decorations) or Cabinet set (800 items). For a while, the production capacities of the Imperial Manufacture had been more or less adequate (not always, see below) for covering only the court’s needs so it could concentrate exclusively on high-end products without bothering too much about its cost. The gold had been obtained from melting the coins provided by the Treasury, hand painting had been done by the high class artists using expensive paints and precious metals. The products had to maintain prestige of the imperial court so nobody was going to do penny pinching.
1655401949882.jpeg

But by the end of the XVIII century, the plant had the first crisis: production grew so much that the court office - the only regular buyer - could no longer buy up all the goods produced, and the plant had no other markets outside the capital, as its extremely expensive products could not withstand competition with the products of private porcelain factories. There was a major reorganization, the debts had been written off, new technologies introduced, the plant was subordinated directly to the Imperial Cabinet [3] with a resulting re-orientation (again) mostly toward the court’s orders even if the shops were opened in the major cities to attend to the top segment of a consumer market.

Fortunately, enterprising merchants understood that tableware would be in high demand among all classes and the number of private manufactures grew fast. The most prestigious ones had been getting orders from the court. For example, the table services dedicated to the 4 Russian orders and used for the official annual receptions of the cavaliers of these orders had been provided by Gardner Manufacture after August III of Saxony presented “service of St. Andrew”. [4]

Intermission. These ensembles were intended for solemn receptions of those awarded with the order in the Imperial Palace. Celebrations were held according to a single ceremonial once a year: on the days of veneration of the saint or on the dates of adoption of the Statute (charter) of the Order. Invited to the Court were in order vestments. The Ceremonial dinner began after the solemn liturgy in the palace chapel and drinking for the imperial health were accompanied by the guns salute.
The decision on making the special table sets was made by His Imperial Majesty's Cabinet. Cabinet-Minister Count A. C. Olsufiev rightly reasoned that it was unwise to load the Imperial Porcelain Factory with work on multidisciplinary, but, in fact, similar complexes. As a result, preference was given to the plant of the Russified English merchant F. I. Gardner, the first private porcelain production in Russia, founded in the Moscow province in 1766. Thanks to contacts at the English Club, Gardner established himself as a man of business, and his porcelain presentations to the Russian Court demonstrated the ability of the enterprise near Moscow to create things "against European ones", especially since in comparison with the state manufactory, Gardner's products were much cheaper. For the manufacturer himself, the proposal to implement the ceremonial services for the Imperial Court turned out to be very flattering and promising.


St. George for 80 people
1655398584612.png

Order of St. Vladimir
1655398631632.png


Order of St. Alexander for 60 people.
1655398775256.png

Order of St. Andrew (to replace the old one from Meissen)
1655403950609.png

Franz Yakovlevich Gardner opened his enterprise in 1766 on the basis of the existing enterprise of Nikolai Urusov, on whose lands the factory stood. Gardner's task was to replace import of the foreign porcelain, primarily Meissen porcelain. And he quite succeeded.

Gardner invited Professor Franz Gattenberg of the University of Geneva from Switzerland as a technologist and craftsmen from Meissen, and by 1783 he had already received the right to put on his products the image of the Moscow coat of arms for the manufacturing three “order” sets.
Production in the Russian Empire developed rapidly: by 1762 there were already 12 manufactories - 7 porcelain and 5 faience, by the end of the century their number had increased to 20.

There were also manufactures addressing the lower end of the market producing faience and majolica:
  • Afonasy Grebenshchikov's plant in Moscow (1724-1773)
  • Majolica Gzhel (village of Bronnitsky and Bogorodsky Uyezd)
  • State faience plant in St. Petersburg (1752-1802)
Besides major low-end plants (8 more had been open in the XIX century) there were numerous small-scale producers, especially in Gzhel area. Stopping to produce majolica at the end of the XVIII century, Gzhel masters quickly reoriented their production to making semi-faience, faience and porcelain. The development of these new industries was proceeding in parallel and often all three types of ceramics were produced at one plant. They were much cheaper, the painting was simpler and done with the less expensive materials but as a result they were much more affordable even to the “lower middle class”.

1655404775623.png


As you can see from the painting below, even the not too fancy tea places had plenty of the faience tableware.
1655405172262.png


Glass
In 1634-39, in the village of Dukhanine near Moscow, Swedish master Julius Coyette built the first glass factory, which produced window glass and pharmacy dishes.
In 1669, by decree of Tsar Alexei Mikhailovich, a glass factory was built in Izmailov. Luxurious products for the royal court were produced here.
In the early XVIII few more glass factories had been founded in and near Moscow and in St-Petersburg. These factories produced mainly tall solemn cups made of colorless glass, decorated with matte engraving with images of portraits of reigning persons, with coats of arms and monograms, with all kinds of emblems, with floral ornaments. The decorativeness of the products was enhanced by gilding.
1655406202813.jpeg

The recipe of the colored glass was developed by M.V. Lomonosov at the Ust-Ruditskaya factory, and then this technology spread to all plants in Russia. By the end of the XVIII century, ruby, blue, purple, green, turquoise, marble and milk glass were in fashion. Oxides of various metals were mainly used for painting. Ruby glass, which had shades from delicate pink to scarlet, was especially appreciated. Gold was introduced into its composition for painting. Products made of colored glasses were painted with gold and silver. Varieties of colored glasses in the XVIII century included milk glass, which looks like porcelain and, in fact, imitates it. Sometimes milk glass was dense, "thick", but more often translucent glass with a soft, luminous surface was produced. Of course, these were top end items produced mostly by the plants in St-Petersburg region oriented mostly toward the court consumption. The factories oriented toward a broader customer base produced jugs, wine glasses, flasks, cups, colorless glass icon-lamps. Altogether during the XVIII century more than 80 glass plants had been created, including 6 big ones near Moscow.

The most prominent of them was Pokrovsky plant in Mojaisk Uezd. Founded in 1724 it eventually grew up into the “glass empire” of the Maltsev family which was going to dominate Russian glass production for the following two centuries. By the early XIX century the family owned 15 glass plants 4 of which were bigger than the Imperial plant producing both high end engraved glass and simpler items for a mass consumption.
1655409283712.jpeg

In the second half of the XVIII century, Russia experienced intensive development of the glass industry and its main centers are formed. The main focus of private glass factories is Vladimir, Kaluga and Orel provinces. For example, 16 plants were built in Vladimirskaya by the end of the century, 6 in Kaluzhskaya and the same number in Orlovskaya. Plants in other provinces were being built on a smaller scale.

The main organizers of the Russian glass industry, of course, were enterprising merchants, who had to overcome a lot of difficulties in acquiring land plots and labor. However, among the owners of glass factories, there were also representatives of the Russian nobility and even top aristocracy: Golitsyns, Sheremeteves, Yusupovs had their own factories

Production of the mirrors started in 1706. Mirror glass was poured on a copper board and rolled with a copper roller (waft). The length of the copper board was 9 feet (2.75 m), width - five and a half feet (1.68 m), thickness - "half three fingers" (two and a half fingers). Among the raw cast glasses were some almost equal to the length of the board. For example, the length of glass is 3 3/4 arshin, i.e. 2.66 m. Even during the reign of Peter I Russian mirror factories could produce mirror glasses measuring 9X5 1/2 feet (2.75X1.68 m), significantly larger than the French ones.

So, basically, by the late XVIII Russian Empire was pretty much self-sufficient in the general ceramics and glass areas and the only imported items belonged to the narrow high-end niche of the “curiosities” types or to the fashions to adopt, as was the case with “Wedgwood blue”, the Meissen figurines, Sevres “classic” style, etc. Well, and of course, a little bit of “exotics” from China and Japan.


__________
[1] As often, there was a few years gap between the official date (opening of the manufacture) and the real first production. So probably 1744 is the year when Russia started trying to produce porcelain rather than produced it (AFAIK, the birth date is not when one was conceived). 😉
[2] Including stuff for Peter’s “Chinese room” in Monplesir. I wonder if he was getting some discount from the Favorite Pet.
[3] A department responsible for emperor’s personal property. In other words, existence had been financially guaranteed.
[4] This one was for free.
 
Still lost on me: I’m not into the computer strategy games.
Victoria 3 is a Grand Strategy game, that focusses on 4X (eXplore, eXpand, eXploit & eXterminate). It comes really close to the time this story plays as:
Victoria 3 spans world history from 1836 to 1936 and allows the player to control one of over 100 countries that existed during that time period.
What made the Victoria series of games special is the Attention to detail, so unlike many games you have to stimulate the right population growth, the right series of factories, the right tech to satisfy for instance the need of your population for ceramics.

Your update made me think of that.
 
Victoria 3 is a Grand Strategy game, that focusses on 4X (eXplore, eXpand, eXploit & eXterminate). It comes really close to the time this story plays as:

What made the Victoria series of games special is the Attention to detail, so unlike many games you have to stimulate the right population growth, the right series of factories, the right tech to satisfy for instance the need of your population for ceramics.

Your update made me think of that.
Thanks for enlightening me in the things fashionable. :)

Not immediately, but I'm planning some chapters on other economic issues (the main problem is to figure out the meaning of the terminology and other technical issues)
 
'Si vis pacem, para bellum. '
157. 'Si vis pacem, para bellum. '

I don't like war: it spoils soldiers, stains uniforms and undermines discipline.”
Grand Duke Konstantin Pavlovich
The duty of each soldier to protect and protect the subjects of his sovereign, and the one who departs from this according to the laws must be shot”
Prince Bagration
War is mostly a catalog of gross mistakes.”
Winston Churchill

With the exception of a minor episode of the Little Silly War of 1771 - 73 reign of Peter II was peaceful, to the great degree thanks to the ability to use the powerful military mostly as a threatening menacing tool scary enough for preventing the potential opponents from testing it in a war.

Navies.The ongoing war between Britain and France-American colonies-Spain and now the Netherlands as well and a resulting creation of the Neutrality League was placing more stress upon the navy, which had to be strong enough to answer the potential challenges:
  • Of course, as of now, Britain was willing to accept the neutrality premise both because it was more or less “friendly neutrality” and because there were already numerous opponents creating enough problems on the seas. But where was the guarantee that under less stressing circumstances Britain will not try to enforce its ideas about the naval might making the right? The Baltic League should have its collective naval strength big enough to discourage such ideas. Which means that the League must have an adequate number of the ships-of-the-line capable to operate both in the Baltic Sea and in the Atlantic Ocean.
  • The ongoing war produced the numerous privateers making it clear that in the future protection of the trade routes may become a high priority and sending the big numbers of the ships-of-the-line to protect convoys and to hunt down the enemy’s privateers may be too expensive and inefficient. The heavy frigates carrying the guns of at least 24 pounds would be more suitable for the job, especially in the far away places.
  • Strictly within Baltic Sea with its shallow waters the reasonably small sails and oars ships with few heavy guns could be useful for protection of the ports and narrow passages as well as for preventing the hostile landings. For this purpose the Swedish Navy developed a special type of a ship - the gunsloop, rowing boats manned by 60 men and carrying heavy artillery. The ships were built at the wharfs at Stockholm, Karlskrona, Sveaborg and Stralsund and the coastal fleet was divided into two squadrons, one based at Stockholm and the second at Sveaborg in southern Finland. A more powerful type were the so called coastal frigates. Several types were designed and built, often carrying names after areas in Finland (Udema, Pojama, Turuma and Hemmema). The ships carried three masts and could also be rowed. The greater capacity for artillery meant that the coastal frigates could carry up to 22 guns on the larger boats. In 1780 the Swedish navy had only nine ships of the line at its disposal but over the five coming years 11 new Ships of the line were built, each carrying 62 guns. The Danish fleet had twenty ships-of-the-line and about eighteen frigates.
1655583482975.gif


In 1781 the Russian Baltic fleet included 32 ships-of-the-line (80 - 100 guns with 36 pounders on the lowest deck and 40 pounder naval howitzers on the upper deck ), 9 frigates (32 - 52 guns with 24 pounder guns and 32 pounder howitzers ), 60 cannon boats and numerous small ships based in Kronstadt. There were also 12 ships-of-the-line and 12 frigates in the naval bases of Archangelsk and Kolsky Ostrog. In 1782 out of them 6 ships-of-the-line and 3 frigates had been transferred to Kronstadt.
The Black Sea Fleet included 25 ships-of-the-line, 19 frigates and up to 80 pennants of the rowing fleet (1 frigate, 14 brigantines, 10 boats, 33 lansons, 6 scampaways, 2 gunboats and 12 military boats). Taking into an account that the Black Sea was a peaceful Russian-Ottoman lake (fortunately for everybody, including themselves, the tribes of the Western Caucasus did not develop any piracy tradition), it was routinely operating in the Mediterranean securing the Russian merchant shipping against the pirates and occasionally helping the Ottomans to deal with their rebellious subjects. On the Western Med it had well-established supply bases in Livorno and Palermo (which were also used for recruitment into Russian navy and army).
Siberian flotilla included 6 frigates and a number of smaller ships, galiots, gukors, packetbots, packetboats, brigantines, cannon boats, sloops, used mostly for the transportation purposes and capable of sailing both in the sea and on the rivers. Some of them had been regularly patrolling “the perimeter” (Kuril Islands) to prevent VOC from getting the wring ideas regarding the “Russian sea otters” (not that there were any such ideas but just in case). Ships of the RAC had been carrying some guns and, if needed, could be commandeered for the military purposes.

Few armed sloops and small frigates had been routinely on the circumnavigation voyages to train the crews and to carry some merchandise. The annual training exercises involved bigger numbers of ships sailing either within the Baltic Sea or something more ambitious like expedition of 1782 [1] of 2 ships of the line and 3 frigates: coming to the view of Iceland and passing from there along the west side of Great Britain, expedition returned through the English Canal to the Baltic. There also were routine travels between Archangelsk, St. Petersburg and the Black Sea. The gunnery training had priority equal to the seamanship and was done with a full seriousness (taking care of the old ships in a process 😂). Off season, following practice established during the Ottoman War (1707-09), the gun crews had been training with the guns set on the swings. As with the army, the guiding principle was “don’t economize on gunpowder in a time of peace and you may need less of it in a time of war”.


The gunpowder was not a problem: in Russia by the late XVIII century there were five powder plants, which together could produce up to 200,000 poods [2] of gunpowder per year and, to provide the competent cadres, a special school had been open at the biggest Okhta Plant accompanied by the research laboratory tasked with improvement of gunpowder quality [3]. A special commission of the Academy of Sciences headed by the famous mathematician and mechanic Leonard Euler was invited for consultation, which, after inspecting the powder cellars, gave detailed recommendations for the installation of lightning rods to minimized danger of the explosions.
1655606213265.jpeg

Private plants had to hand over the gunpowder they made to the state, the sale of gunpowder into private hands was strictly prosecuted by the government. The emergence of private factories without the permission of the government was impossible. Sale to the private persons was strictly controlled and could involve affidavits from the local authorities or some other types of a paperwork (for example, a written confirmation from a high-ranking person that a buyer is his representative). Military gunpowder with minor deviations had the following composition: 75% nitrate, 15% coal and 10% sulfur. Depending on the size of the powder grains, gunpowder was divided into 4 types: cannon powder, in which gunpowder had a diameter of 6 to 8 points (point - a unit of length equal to about 0.35 mm); large musket - the diameter of gunpowder grains was from 4 to 6 points; small musket gunpowder - from 2 to 4 points; and rifle - less than 2 points. All gunpowder intended for military needs had to be polished on gunpowder waters, as experiments have shown that when transporting gunpowder, polished gunpowder is less susceptible to turning into pulpowder. The stored reserve of the gunpowder was in a range of 300 - 360,000 poods out of which expected artillery consumption was 60,306 poods and infantry 54,000 poods. There were 130 nitrate plants with a total annual production of more than 2 thousand tons.


Iron production, getting up to date. Obviously, besides gunpowder the army and navy needed a lot of high quality iron and, while formally, Russia was producing and even exporting a lot of it, the technology was somewhat lagging behind. Well, of course you can keep inventing your own wheels but sometimes it is easier and cheaper to adopt the existing ones and Britain and France were good sources of the useful information. As early as in the 1760s the Russian embassies in London and Paris got rather untypical additions to their personnel. While formally these people had been under-secretaries, they were not too knowledgeable in the diplomatic protocol and neither did they belong to the aristocratic circles. To compensate, they were knowledgeable in the things technical at least to a degree allowing to recognize something of a practical value. Taking into an account that people of that type are not always good in bargaining and other ways of obtaining the desired objects, there were additional “under-secretaries” responsible for this part of a …er… “process”. Both groups had been subordinated to a secretary responsible for coordinating their efforts and supplied with the ample funds.
1655597994255.jpeg


The blast furnaces had been operating in Russia since 1637 but in 1709, at Coalbrookdale in Shropshire, England, Abraham Darbybegan to fuel a blast furnace with coke instead of charcoal, which was much cheaper and in 1742 at Coalbrookdale where a steam enginereplaced a horse-powered pump. Such engines were used to pump water to a reservoir above the furnace. The first engine used to blow cylinders directly was supplied by Boulton and Watt to John Wilkinson's New Willey Furnace. This powered a cast iron blowing cylinder, which had been invented by his father Isaac Wilkinson. He patented such cylinders in 1736, to replace the leather bellows, which wore out quickly. Isaac was granted a second patent, also for blowing cylinders, in 1757.
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The whole set of things looked very promising and, while some ideas could be just borrowed free of pay, cooperation with at least some of the personages involved seemingly made sense and out of those John Wilkinson looked the most promising. Patents were just fine, nobody was planning to compete with him in Britain, but the money offered for cooperation had been too good to refuse: his machine tool for boring cast iron cannons alone was warranting a serious generosity making the guns more accurate since the bore was uniform in diameter, and less likely to explode. The same applied to Wilkison’s oven for converting coal into coke and some other inventions.

Of course, Wilkinson was not the only person approached and spied out or purchased knowledge plus the favorable opportunities for the experts and entrepreneurs ready to come to Russia had been very helpful in bringing up Russian industries to the up to date level in its iron production. Britain remained a major consumer of the pig iron but a greater profit could be made on selling the things made of iron in the markets of Asia, from the Ottoman Empire to Japan, and a greater efficiency of metallurgy provided a greater satisfaction, both in volume and cost, of the domestic market, both state and private. Among other things, a more affordable iron plough meant a lot to the peasants who could now be switching to it from the wooden plows.
1655599026113.jpeg


In the first half of the XVIII century. Russia was able to create a copper smelter industry, freed itself from economic dependence in red metal, fully met its needs, reached the forefront of copper production in Europe. The main production center was Ural. Thanks to this, in the XVIII and first half of the XIX century, Russia was one of the main suppliers of high-quality pure copper to European markets. Most of Russian copper exports went to France, Holland and England.

Situation with the lead was much less cheerful. The main extraction was in Ural and West Siberia and, just as was the case with tin, a considerable part of the need had to be covered by the import.

What about other strategic materials? Well, the consumption of vodka had been fully covered by domestic consumption and, with Danzig being Swedish thus guaranteeing supply of the Goldwasser, even the very top end of the market was securely covered.

Which leaves few other necessities that will be discussed later. 😜

__________
[1] In OTL 1824.
[2] 1 pood = 16 kilograms
[3] In OTL both belong to the 1880s. In 1888 this laboratory came with the Russian smokeless gunpowder.
 
The shift in focus from resource to end product will be massive. Can you imagine a Russian Krupp like reputation (1816!)? Or a Russian Ford mindset of mass production?

The impact of this on industrialisation and industrialised warfare will be beyond measure.
 
The shift in focus from resource to end product will be massive. Can you imagine a Russian Krupp like reputation (1816!)? Or a Russian Ford mindset of mass production?

The impact of this on industrialisation and industrialised warfare will be beyond measure.
Britain fear for Russia would be justified
 
Britain fear for Russia would be justified
Well, the fear was there, anyway, justified or not, so it is a matter of being better positioned than in OTL. BTW, even in OTL it was not an uniform hostility through all XIX century and a big part of the British OTL paranoia ITTL would be too paranoid even for the Brits: Russian expansion in the CA is pretty much done and over before the Brits are done with India so on one hand there can be no illusions regarding the British expansion into the Khanates and OTOH almost complete absence of the further Russian expansion in the area (except for the minor border clarifications) hardly gives a serious ground for the “Russians are coming” paranoia seemingly popular among EIC and British colonial administration.

The OTL paradox was that most of the brouhaha was about the territories with a zero or close to zero economic value located in the areas ill-suited for any serious colonization or even for travel.
 
Never ending trouble
158. Never ending trouble

“The Caucasus is a huge fortress protected by a numerous half-million garrison. We need to storm it or take possession of trenches. Assault will be expensive, so let's lead a siege”
“Kindness in the eyes of Asians is a sign of weakness, and I am strictly inexorably out of humanity. One execution will save hundreds of Russians from death and thousands of Muslims from treason.”

Yermolov​

For quite a while it looked like situation on the Caucasus border is stable. Kuban-Terek seemingly provided a natural defensive line strengthened by the numerous fortified posts and fortresses.

On the map below the red lines are the borders of territories claimed by the Ottomans [1]. Out of a big enclave on the North the Ottomans are controlling few coastal cities and the rest is populated by the "Circassians" (various independent ethnic groups with hardly any notion of a statehood) who do not consider themselves anybody's subjects. Strictly speaking, even the territories further along the Russian border (Kabarda) had been within the Ottoman claim even if for all practical reasons they had been fully independent. However, the sultans in their capacity of Caliphs remained an ultimate religious authority and could, for example, support or even incite an idea of a holy war.

The green line going from West to East is the Russian border with the enclave the South on the Caspian coast being lands of Shamkhal of Tarki who recognized the Russian sovereignty [2]. The Kumyks (Кумыки) in between are the same people who live in Shamkhalate but they are not subordinated to its ruler and, in general, rather against than for the Russians.

The green-bordered area in the center is Georgia ruler of which at some point declared unsolicited vassal dependency from Russia creating a considerable embarrassment because (a) for a very long time it was vassal of Persia and (b) with the exception of a single very precarious mountain path through the Daryal Defile [3] there was no realistic way to get there without conquering most of the Caucasus as a pre-requisite. To remove possible misunderstandings, the area reflects the claims of the rulers of Georgia (Kartli ?) rather than a real life because most of the "nations" shown within it tend to consider themselves independent.

The yellow is border of Persia but this is a rather "minimalistic" scenario because both Georgia and the small states between the yellow line and the Shamkhalate are formally the Persian vassals and at each specific moment degree of their independence is a matter of the current Shah's strength.

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The rest are "free for all" zone. Along the Russian border you have (from West to East): Big Kabarda (west of the Terek), Small Kabarda, Chechnya and the independent Kumyks with Dagestan (Avars, Lezgins, etc.) to the South of Chechnya (see above regarding Persian claims).

Here goes the problem. While from the Russian (at least as being seen from Moscow) perspective a border by the Kuban and Terek was quite logical, for the Kabardines it meant that they are being cut from their traditional pastures area on the plains and the salt lakes. So, while not being really anti-Russian, their princes had been understandably upset with the construction of Mozdok Line and sent a delegation to Moscow with a request to destroy Mozdok fortress [4]. They had been received kindly and even offered some money (which most of them refused to accept) but the answer was firm "No". After few insignificant skirmishes the local rulers acknowledged Russian authority but in the reasons for unhappiness remained. To the North of the border the Russian government continued policy of colonization: in 1777-78 10 more fortifications had been built along the border garrisoned by the Cossacks and behind their protection more than 60 settlements with up to 40,000 colonists had been created. However, so far the Russians did not move beyond the Terek border just because there was no interest in getting into the mountains for no obvious reason.

Intermission. In OTL one of the driving reasons behind Russia push into the Caucasus were the stories about its mineral reaches (mostly being spread by the rulers who wanted Russian protection). They proved to be mostly fantasies. The same goes for the later attempts to convert Caucasus into the region for growing the products Russia lacked, tea, cotton, tobacco, silk, etc. Some noticeable, even if limited, results had been achieved with tea (in Krasnodar area) and tobacco but that was pretty much it. As a Russian settlement area most of the region did not work either (with the exception of Trans-Kuban area preceded with a genocide of the local population). In general, the Russian peasants had been preferring the new areas of Siberia to the Caucasus due to its terrible climate. Abkhazia was nicknamed "hot Siberia"; an average life span of the garrisons in Gagra was less than a year due to the extremely hot and humid climate [5]. But the initial foolish decision to "accept" Georgia kept dictating the following steps and by some estimates conquest of Caucasus cost Russia up to 1,000,000 soldiers and much greater numbers of the local population. Not to mention that the whole exercise cost huge amounts of money: in 1840s the war was consuming up to 15% of the budget and in 1890, when the Baku oil started kicking in as a factor, deficit related to the Caucasus region amounted to 24,000,000 rubles and only later the state got even.
A "strategic" aspect of the conquest was mostly driven by the conquest itself. As soon as some tribes had been subdued or voluntarily asked for the Russian protection there was a need to get involved in their conflicts with the neighbors some of whom also could be already under the Russian control and taking the sides meant that yesterday's loyal prince or a settlement became today's rebel and needed to be punished, and so on.
A political aspect of the OTL policies was to a great degree related to the Russian long term hostility with the Ottomans and a desire to have a second war theater. This was only marginally successful because neither side was willing to commit a major force there. Of course, during the CW success on the Caucasus allowed to minimize Russian concessions in Europe but that was pretty much it. ITTL this consideration is pretty much absent.

Things could return, more or less, to the status quo but in 1780s a self-proclaimed Imam, Mansur Ushurma, appeared in Chechnya. He ordered the remaining non-Muslim Chechens to stop practicing many of their old pagan traditions with the cult of the dead, to stop smoking tobacco and drinking alcohol, influenced Islamic concepts into social conventions (adat) , and preached them to attempt Islamic unity. And the most obvious way to achieve such an unity was to declare a holy war, which he did.
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He was initially successful at Sunja where his fighters ambushed Russian detachment of 2,000 causing losses of 740 killed and 162 captured causing certain degree of a panic among the Russian border commanders: the small forts had been abandoned and the forces concentrated in the main fortresses. After that, Sheikh Mansur rallied resistance fighters from Dagestan through Kabardia. Most of the forces were young Chechen and Dagestani men numbering more than 12,000 by December 1785. However, Mansur suffered a defeat when he tried to infiltrate Russian territory and failed to seize the fort of Kizlyar. Through all of 1785 Mansur was trying to establish communication with the Ottomans sending to the Sultan letters in which he swore loyalty. However, the Sultan did not see the reason to break relations with Russia over the Caucasus tribes, which were not, even formally, his subjects.
On the Western flank, the Avar Khan Ummakhan refused to cooperate and the same goes for Shamkhal of Tarki and some other local rulers because part of his program was anti-feudal and because those with enough of a brain power considered the whole enterprise hopeless. As Ummakhan wrote to Mansur: "An army willing to fight the Russians must have an equal strength and to possess skills needed for conducting a long war. The people of Dagestan do no have such troops. To maintain their warriors they must to make a week long raid into Georgia, get some loot and return fast... These methods will not bring success against the Russians bur they may result in a destruction of the Dagestan people. This is why I can't help you."
After failure at Kizlyar Mansur lost many of his followers and fled to the independent Kumyks sending messengers to all parts of the Caucasus with a call top join his cause. He eventually assembled up to 20,000 followers. Russian command sent 4,000 troops with a task to destroy his army which was done in the Tatartub battle that lasted between October 30 and November 2, 1785. The first day ended without a clear victory and the next encounter happened only on November 2nd. Mansur's followers attacked Russian detachment from all sides but had been repelled by an intensive artillery and infantry fire after which the Russians attacked Chechens who were in the center and forced their retreat. The Kumyks attacked Russians from the rear acting under the cover of the movable "shields" protecting them against the Russian artillery. The Russians launched a bayonet charge and the Kumyks fled. Mansur followed and all his army dispersed. The Avars and Chechens started massacring each other and the Kabardins declared submission to Russia. Mansur fled to the Circassian area beyond the Kuban. In September 1787 Mansur's camp was captured and his attempts to recapture it failed. He was chased, captured, imprisoned in Shlisselburg fortress and died there.

Kabarda, ravaged by the plague epidemics which killed a big percentage of its population, accepted the Russian rule, which was not very strict. The local feudals retained some of their privileges and quite a few of them entered Russian military service.
The are of the independent Kumyks was annexed to the Russian empire. Shamkhalate formally existed until 1867 when its last ruler abdicated.
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____________
[1] Which means that, at best, the Ottomans garrisoned few coastal fortresses like Anapa, Sukhum-Kale and Batum.
[2] There was a long history of rather "fluid" relations going back all the way to Ivan IV with Shamkhalate siding with the Ottomans, Persians, Russians and losing most of its territory in a process. Its main population were Kumyks but even the Kumyk-populated areas between the Terek and Sulak rivers were controlled not by Shamkhalate but by the local feudals.
[3] On a map there is a vertical line going from Mozdok to the South. Earlier we already discussed the issue of the Military Georgian Road with enough photos to get an idea about its convenience but at the time in question even this road did not exist so this was a hell of a travel even excluding the hostile natives along the way.
[4] Formally, the Mozdok area had been transferred to Russia by its owner who converted into Christianity and offered the land to the Russian Empire.
[5] In the late XIX - early XX the Duke of Oldenburg turned Gagra into a popular resort by planting a lot of the eucalyptus trees: they sucked water out of the local swamps.
 
Miscellaneous
159. Miscellaneous

“To our loyal Kabardian residents. The constant diligence, devotion and constant readiness to raise weapons against hostile highlanders provided by Kabardian residents have attracted our special favor.”
Nicholas I
If I had predicted what the peoples would do in the next century, I would have written "rebellious" near the word "Poland".”
Alexander II
- How often do you have the revolutions? - One per year with a guarantee and sometimes two.”
Saltykov-Schedrin ‘The unique one’
There is no important person in Russia, except for the one I'm talking to, and only while I'm talking to him.”
Paul I
Kabarda and Caucasus. Getting Kabarda under the Russian control cut Western Northern Caucasus from Eastern. Why was this important? Because the Western and Eastern parts were the most troublesome areas while the center (Kabarda) was considered a much lesser problem. The Russian Empire did not take seriously the "mischiefs" of Kabardians made by them on the cordon line, attacks on the Cossack villages, cattle theft, etc. [1] Kabarda was usually subject to a policy of "pacification and punishment" of stubborn princes, no more. As one of the Russian commanders of the “line” wrote “Kabardians with uncessant pranks, are challenging to fight and I must endure, because I am busy with the most dangerous villains - Chechens and have some work on the part of Dagestan ... When you drink snake blood, then the sting of mosquitoes is not so sensitive. That's what I think about Kabardians. That's why I look with great indifference to their robberies.” Even before the formal annexation the local princes had been routinely in communications with the Russian authorities and after uprising of Sheikh Mansur and annexation Many Kabardians served in the tsarist army and reached high ranks. “For some time now, the emperor has been giving them ranks and awards of the Russian army; and interested in the education of their children, whom they were sending to study at military schools in St. Petersburg and Moscow.” Life Guards Squadron of the Kabardinians was a part imperial personal convoy and they were serving in many other units. Within next 20 years more 750 of them had been awarded special “Muslim version” of the military order of St. George [2]. Depopulation of Kabarda (especially Little Kabarda) by the plague allowed relatively painless colonization of the empty lands by the Cossacks.

In practical terms this annexation meant that organization of the analogs to Mansur’s uprising, which was spreading from the Caspian to Black Sea became practically impossible. More than that, if need arises, the troops raised in Kabarda (both regular and militia) could be used against their neighbors. They really did not like each other by the reasons which had been clearly visible. Look at the pictures below and you’ll easily tell the Kabardinians from Chechens and Circassians [3].
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On the Eastern flank annexation of the Kumyk territories opened a potential road South along the Caspian coast toward Derbent, Baku and eventually Persia proper. Of course, trade by the sea was cheaper, faster and more secure but it would not hurt to get the “strategic options”: as was demonstrated by the by the earlier history, each reasonably competent Shah was trying to restore and expand the Persian overlordship of the Caucasian territories with the scope being defined mostly physical possibility and not some predefined limits. So the war with Persia remained a distinct possibility at some point in the future.

To a certain degree, the now friendly Ottomans had been a greater danger because of the Sultan’s spiritual authority: as a Caliph he could incite or support the holy war not just in the Circassian areas on the West but in Chechnya and Dagestan on the East. Severed communications would make practical help to such movements rather difficult. Well, of course, with the Russian naval supremacy on the Black Sea, an active help to the Chircassians also was difficult: the Ottoman fortresses on the coast could be blocked leaving only a land access from Anatolia along the coast through Abkhazia. Not a very convenient or secure route. BTW, the Abkhazians are also easily distinguisheable.
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This was leaving just the problems with the local activities and, as long as Russia was not trying to penetrate these areas, these activities were more or less limited to the “standard” raiding on both sides. Unpleasant but not worthy of a major effort needed to “pacify” the region.

Poland. The 1st Partition made it clear even to the PLC nobility that something must be done. This opinion had been shared in Moscow and Stockholm. Needless to say that opinions on what exactly must be done were not exactly uniform, especially inside the PLC. Russia and Sweden wanted certain stability of the regime which would eliminate the annoying need for the regular interventions to deal with the confederations and other “issues”: even the limited military operations cost money and soldiers’ lives. In the PLC itself the opinions varied in a wide range from the ideas inspired by the American Revolution and all the way to the minor adjustments to the status quo. Sejm started working in 1788 and closed in 1792. The main achievement of the Sejm was the adoption of the Constitution in 1791 on May 3, which was not fully to the Russian and Swedish liking. The full rights to the dissidents were good news, specifics of the elections and new government organization were Polish domestic business but there were two irritating items:
  • The PLC becoming a hereditary monarchy probably was not bad, in principle, but the Wettins went out of favor in Stockholm and Moscow so the permanent Saxon-PLC union did not look as the best case scenario.
  • A proclaimed intention to build 100,000 army was not welcomed news. If course, army of 100,000 would be too small to be a danger but as a part of some coalition they could be a factor. Also, one would not have to disregard a possibility that with their usual political wisdom the Poles will start some mess on their own and dealing with a modern army of 100,000 is going to require some serious effort.
A join course of actions had to be decided upon and after that implemented ASAP before the ongoing disturbance in Europe expanded into the Baltic area.

France. The French had their revolution. The even was mostly ignored in Russia. France was far away, neither an ally nor an open enemy and the commerce with it was reasonably limited with a balance not in the Russian favor. So who and why should care? Of course, it was an interesting piece of news that Dumouriez of the Bar Confederacy made a great career to became Foreign Minister of France and then, returning to the military career, defeated the Austrians at Jemappes (well, having numeric advantage of 3:1 and two times more guns). It was even more amusing to learn than in March of 1793 he decided to change sides, arrested the four deputy-commissioners of the National Convention who had been sent to inquire into his conduct (Camus, Bancal-des-Issarts, Quinette, and Lamarque) as well as the Minister of War, Pierre Riel de Beurnonville, handed them over to the enemy, and then attempted to persuade his troops to march on Paris and overthrow the revolutionary government. The attempt failed, and Dumouriez, along with the duc de Chartres (afterwards King Louis Philippe) and his younger brother, the duc de Montpensier, fled into the Austrian camp.

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Of course, the news about decapitation of Louis XVI were something of a shock but not up to a degree warranting any Russian action, at least as far as Emperor Peter II was concerned: list of those who wanted to fight France and of those to whom France declared a war was long enough without Russia.

Russia 1793. While most of Europe had been busy one way or another, in December 1793 Peter II died and was succeeded by his son, Paul. The new emperor was 36 years old and, while being well-tutored by his father, somewhat slightly on the “romantic” side and easier to persuade by appealing to his sense of justice and high principles.
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However, at least immediately, he did not express any intention to join the anti-French coalition. Of course, executing a monarch was a very bad thing but, to think about it, the English executed their own monarch and overthrew another and they are doing just fine so perhaps sooner rather than later the French got back to their senses as well. There were things at home and across the border to attend to.

As he put it himself “For me, there are no parties or interests, except for the interests of the state, and with my character, it is hard for me to see that things are going crooked and that negligence and personal interests are causing this. I wish to be better hated for a just cause than loved for a wrong deed.”

The empire he inherited was in a good position financially, militarily and internationally and he was intended to keep it this way. As he saw it, the Russian Empire was already too big and did not need the further expansions so the main task of its ruler must be to maintain it in a good order [4]. Let’s start with something simple like the uniform versta [5] posts on the road side neatly painted white and black. 😂

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_________
[1] These types of activities had been routinely conducted by both sides without raising to the level of a serious mutual hate: at least on the Kabarda side, the locals had been doing the same things to each other so this was something of a way of life.
[2] Islam forbids human images so instead of St.George this order had two-headed imperial eagle.
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[3] Personally, I could not and in Google search you’ll get pretty much the same images on all three searches. The old pictures are not of a great help either. 😂
[4] This was Paul’s OTL expressed opinion.
[5] Russian unit of length defined as 500 sazhen. This makes a verst equal to 1.0668 kilometres.
 
Let’s start with something simple like the uniform versta [5] posts on the road side neatly painted white and black. 😂

Europe: Entire continent engulfed in bloody war.
Russia: Let's paint those sings neatly so no one gets lost :)

Well France is finally at it again and Poland is showing dangerous moves.

But otherwise i don't see personal union of Poland with Saxony as a bad thing as stronger Saxony will put a check on Austria, or Prussia and beside existing resentment towards loss of true Polish territories it will also draw Polish attention even more towards Germany.
 
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