Currently working on a TL with a far less adventurous France post-Franco Prussian War. Some quick look ups indicate that it was part of a deal if Britain takes Cyprus, then the French get Tunisia because they were not paying back their debts. The Germans stay quiet, the Italians kick and scream while the French tell them "Go get Libya".
So let's say Jules Ferry doesn't get into power or gets killed so France doesn't cross the border to track down raiders and get their debt back. Do the Italians take it? The British? Does it stay within Ottoman Autonomy?
So let's say Jules Ferry doesn't get into power or gets killed so France doesn't cross the border to track down raiders and get their debt back. Do the Italians take it? The British? Does it stay within Ottoman Autonomy?