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What if there was no Franco-Russian alliance from 1894-1914.

That would greatly derail the events leading up to the first world war *as we know it in OTL*

Without the alliance (you can pick your PoD, and make it as early as 1875, but no earlier, to lead to this result for the 1894-1914 period), would it be more probable that:

A) Germany invades one or more of its neighbors before August 1914

B) Germany attacks none of its neighbors for those 20 years

I emphasize it will affect WWI *as we know it*.


I'm curious to catch your thoughts on if Great Power politics simply goes into a shiny, happy, benign direction without the alliance, (as if that's the default human condition :cool: ) or if it simply leads to an alternative disaster (the more common outcome of wars every few decades:().

You can argue that the Franco-Russian alliance started a two-decade long march to war. But then again, two-decades is a long time. You could argue, depending on what you think the Germans would have done in a less constrained environment, that it kept the peace for 20 years (before failing in '14).
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