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So, let's just say that Saddam is a bit smarter and decides not to invade Kuwait out of fear of causing a massive international outcry.
He bullies the Kuwaitis by letting his divisions roll up the border and the Kuwaitis make some kind of agreement with him, giving him 5% of their oil export income per year.
What happens now?
How does this influence the whole Middle East development?
Does Iraq get nukes in the mid-1990s?
Does Iraq go against Iran again (with nukes)?
Does Israel get nuked or does Israel nuke Iraq?
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