No F - 35

One major scenario (which could wind up worse than the F-35 in terms of budgetary costs), you'd likely see a total of three different fifth generation fighter programs in all likelihood, the F-22 Raptor, the Common Affordable Lightweight Fighter (for both the USAF and USMC), and the AF/X (for both the USAF and USN).
Actually a very nice outcome, but expensive.

And, ironically, given that the USAF version of CALF was to lose the STOVL capability, you've basically got the F-35 CTOL and STOVL variants anyway. So all that you've done is replace F-35C with a much bigger, more expensive, single-service project. And there's still a need for a low-end aircraft to complement it.... how about a navalised version of CALF?

Doh!
And the A-10 too that is a great plane although It should already have been retired from service 10 years ago.
The A-10 was a great aircraft for 1963. It would have been very useful in Vietnam in place of AT-37s and A-1s. By 1973 it was already obsolete, never mind by 1990, when the USAF thought they had the political capital to get rid of it, or 2016. What the USAF should have done is bought more A-7s, ideally the A-7F. If some clown really wants a 30mm gun, LTV designed an A-7 variant that could carry it.
 

Nick P

Donor
At the very minimum the F-35 project should have been two separate programs.

First would have been a Harrier replacement, a naval aircraft capable of VTOL operations. Not a huge market, maybe 500 sales globally, but of interest to Harrier operators who might not want to fork out for a massive aircraft carrier.

Second would have been a F-16/F-15/F-18 replacement, a 5th-gen stealthy aircraft designed for carrier operations that could be adapted (de-navalised) for land operations.
 
This is vaporware BS from the Pentagon and Lockheed Martin. Do you think they can acknowledge the extent of the disaster ?

For a fair assessment just look at what congress, senator Mac Cain or representative Mac Sally said about the F-35.

And about stealth, this is a dead-end fantasy. Radars will always catch-up stealth technology faster than stealth technology can be improved. The scandalous amount of money spent into stealth has been so inefficient for the last 30 years (F-117, B2, F-22, F-35) that the USAF does not even dare sens this aircrafts into real war missions.
 
Actually a very nice outcome, but expensive.

And, ironically, given that the USAF version of CALF was to lose the STOVL capability, you've basically got the F-35 CTOL and STOVL variants anyway. So all that you've done is replace F-35C with a much bigger, more expensive, single-service project. And there's still a need for a low-end aircraft to complement it.... how about a navalised version of CALF?

Doh!

The A-10 was a great aircraft for 1963. It would have been very useful in Vietnam in place of AT-37s and A-1s. By 1973 it was already obsolete, never mind by 1990, when the USAF thought they had the political capital to get rid of it, or 2016. What the USAF should have done is bought more A-7s, ideally the A-7F. If some clown really wants a 30mm gun, LTV designed an A-7 variant that could carry it.

Actually, the A/F-X (F-35C replacement) was for both the USAF and USN as I mentioned, since it's first role was as a strike aircraft, and a secondary role as a fighter. The USAF was planning on having the A/F-X replace their strike aircraft (F-15E, F-111, F-117), so it would've been still a two-service project. For the Navy, they'd likely go for a majority of A/F-Xs in replacing the fighters, but I'd feel as if you would still see Super Hornets flying off the decks in order to fill one critical role I don't see the A/F-X being able to operate. Tankers. But, budget issues might force the Navy into retaining something like two squadrons of A/F-Xs, and two squadrons of Super Hornets for the CVWs no doubt.

At the very minimum the F-35 project should have been two separate programs.

First would have been a Harrier replacement, a naval aircraft capable of VTOL operations. Not a huge market, maybe 500 sales globally, but of interest to Harrier operators who might not want to fork out for a massive aircraft carrier.

Second would have been a F-16/F-15/F-18 replacement, a 5th-gen stealthy aircraft designed for carrier operations that could be adapted (de-navalised) for land operations.

Honestly, that doesn't really work, since you are failing to acknowledge what the USN was looking for in the early 90s in an aircraft. First and foremost, their priority was replacing the A-6 Intruder and they needed a strike aircraft at that. That would likely not work with trying to get a design replacement for the F-16, and just lead to lots of issues (i.e. what you see now with the F-35). Not to mention, an F-16 replacement would make more sense being brought in with a Harrier replacement capable of STOVL, and then what happens is you have the exact same scenario as expressed in the late 80s/early 90s. A USAF-USMC project to replace the F-16, F-18 (USMC), and AV-8B Harrier as the Common Affordable Lightweight Fighter, and then a USAF-USN project to replace the A-6, F-15E, F/A-18C/D/E/F, F-111, F-117 as a major strike aircraft, with secondary roles for air-to-air.

This is vaporware BS from the Pentagon and Lockheed Martin. Do you think they can acknowledge the extent of the disaster ?

For a fair assessment just look at what congress, senator Mac Cain or representative Mac Sally said about the F-35.

And about stealth, this is a dead-end fantasy. Radars will always catch-up stealth technology faster than stealth technology can be improved. The scandalous amount of money spent into stealth has been so inefficient for the last 30 years (F-117, B2, F-22, F-35) that the USAF does not even dare sens this aircrafts into real war missions.

What are you even talking about?
 
This is vaporware BS from the Pentagon and Lockheed Martin. Do you think they can acknowledge the extent of the disaster ?

For a fair assessment just look at what congress, senator Mac Cain or representative Mac Sally said about the F-35.

And about stealth, this is a dead-end fantasy. Radars will always catch-up stealth technology faster than stealth technology can be improved. The scandalous amount of money spent into stealth has been so inefficient for the last 30 years (F-117, B2, F-22, F-35) that the USAF does not even dare sens this aircrafts into real war missions.

Yes because a Senator is certainly both a: Fair without any axe to grind what so ever and B: a qualified expert aircraft designer

I haven't time to cut through all of the BS anti F35 stuff Ive heard over the years but a few years back we were hearing that the F35 cannot climb cannot turn and cannot fight - this assessment was based on people getting hold of the dimensions of the aircraft building a model and working out its flight envelope from that. People that have no idea how different aircraft design in 2000+ is from aircraft design from the 1960s

A lot of Anti F35 people like to roll out Pierre Sprey's "the F35 is a Lemon" and other comments - completely ignoring the fact that Pierre is not an Aircraft designer (he was a pentagon pen pusher) and had very little to do with the F16 per se - also lets recall what he said about the F15 at the time!

As for Stealth being a fantasy.....why then is every major military aircraft building country trying to make their new shiney planes stealthy?
 

BlondieBC

Banned
And, most important of all, It should have entrusted these programs to a competent and honnest crew of heads of procurement and industrials. The US unfortunately has a 50 years-long resume of ruining its aircraft programs and having them finally produce barely good planes at an awful cost. The only exception being the F-16 who was the best plane of its generation, quite cheap, because its program was designed and run by a small and competent team that worked like a start-up. And the A-10 too that is a great plane although It should already have been retired from service 10 years ago.


Ha, you doth underestimated the American ability to waste money on airplanes. In WW1, we spent a huge amount of money (either 100M or 1,000M USD) on planes for ZERO planes used in France. And the congressional hearings went on for at least two years. The best I can tell from reading the papers at the time, we basically paid politically connected individuals to build factories that they then used after the war for personal gain.
 

BlondieBC

Banned
Huh ? How about F-117s in Gulf War 1 ? And B-2 over Kosovo and elsewhere ?

All the missions accomplished by the F-117 after the first day of the war could have been accomplished with non-stealth aircraft. The F-117 was a special purpose plane designed to go after critical air defense assets on the first day of the war with the soviets. It was great for this task, and then it still would be useful for the rest of the WW3. The reason it worked so well in the Gulf War is that our enemies had no idea what it looked like, so they did not know how to counter. Yes, sometimes USA intelligence wins versus the KGB.

Once the shape of the plane was know, it was shot down with a radar that was in service before 1982 and a SA-2 over the Balkans. And if great enough threat, the Soviets know what it looks like, and the soviets last longer; the soviets likely develop a SA-2ish weapon with better terminal homing.
 
As for Stealth being a fantasy.....why then is every major military aircraft building country trying to make their new shiney planes stealthy?

You mean telling that they are developing them and then not building them ? The most recently aircraft that entered service is the JF-17, which is basically a super upgraded MiG-21. All other "stealth" prototypes (J-20, J-31 PAK FA) seem to have stealth features, but far less than the US planes and just seem to have them to lower their detectability a bit while keeping other aircraft capabilities that the F-35 clearly doesn't have (speed, maneuverability) and being far cheaper than the F-22.

Other countries are just saying fuck it (like European countries mostly) and just continue to develop their latest plane that they know are sufficient to bomb the shit out of assholes in pickup trucks in the desert, because they know that no one will be starting a fight with a first rate military anytime soon.

Huh ? How about F-117s in Gulf War 1 ? And B-2 over Kosovo and elsewhere ?

What opposition was there ? In the first gulf war the F-117 was unknown and no counter measure to it could be created, and the Iraqi air force was overwhelmed anyway. In Kosovo the US lost 2 aircraft, one of them an F-117. The B-2 was bascally useless in this war a B-52 would have done the same job easily (or any smaller aircraft capable of carrying a JDAM.

The problem with stealth aircraft is that they are useless against people who don't have the tech to build good radars because they usually don't have a good enough army to start with and cheaper aircraft would be more cost efficient(and that is not even speaking about the kind of war that the western powers are fighting right now), and world power who have the capacity to build stealth aircraft also have the capacity to fund research of better radars against stealth aircrafts, rendering them less efficient too (and the probability of two nuclear power going to war is very low anyway). Stealth aircrafts are only usefull for the first few days against a mid level power to destroy their air defense so that conventional aircraft can operate freely. And you don't need a lot of them for that.
 
Something else, what about the XF32, the main competitor of the F35 in the flyoff competition. Without the F35, would it ever have a chance? Would in retrospect the F32 have been the better choice or would it just have had the same problems twice as big? Or was the whole set of specifications a no-starter to begin with?

On the other hand, when the F16 was chisen for the air force, the navy went ahead and asked.if the competitor, the YF17 could.be developed into a shipborne fighter for their own needs. This eventually became the F18. Would it have been simpler if.the F35 was ordered for the air force only with the navy going for a YF32-NextGen? And the marines for .... dunnow... a VH22 Osprey gunship?
NextGe
 
All the missions accomplished by the F-117 after the first day of the war could have been accomplished with non-stealth aircraft. The F-117 was a special purpose plane designed to go after critical air defense assets on the first day of the war with the soviets. It was great for this task, and then it still would be useful for the rest of the WW3. The reason it worked so well in the Gulf War is that our enemies had no idea what it looked like, so they did not know how to counter. Yes, sometimes USA intelligence wins versus the KGB.

Once the shape of the plane was know, it was shot down with a radar that was in service before 1982 and a SA-2 over the Balkans. And if great enough threat, the Soviets know what it looks like, and the soviets last longer; the soviets likely develop a SA-2ish weapon with better terminal homing.

The shape of the plane? That is baloney, full and simple. What matters directly is the radar cross section of the aircraft and what it does which would increase it, and thus give it a higher predictability of being detected and allowed to be engaged. To point out, Colonel Dani (who commanded the 250th Air Defense Missile Brigade which shot down an F-117), had said that they modified their radars so as to have an easier detection when the wheel well or bomb bay doors were open. It is likely that the Soviets would have developed some kind of work around in order to detect the F-117, but it might have just been for something like a single missile brigade or so at first until they actually manage to shoot down an aircraft, and from there, it would take time to implement throughout the rest of the available air defenses (those not already being destroyed by Nighthawks). Finally, stealth was never considered foolproof by the military, unlike in popular culture.

Also, slight correction. It was an SA-3 Goa which took down an F-117, and not an SA-2 Guideline.

You mean telling that they are developing them and then not building them ? The most recently aircraft that entered service is the JF-17, which is basically a super upgraded MiG-21. All other "stealth" prototypes (J-20, J-31 PAK FA) seem to have stealth features, but far less than the US planes and just seem to have them to lower their detectability a bit while keeping other aircraft capabilities that the F-35 clearly doesn't have (speed, maneuverability) and being far cheaper than the F-22.

Other countries are just saying fuck it (like European countries mostly) and just continue to develop their latest plane that they know are sufficient to bomb the shit out of assholes in pickup trucks in the desert, because they know that no one will be starting a fight with a first rate military anytime soon.

What opposition was there ? In the first gulf war the F-117 was unknown and no counter measure to it could be created, and the Iraqi air force was overwhelmed anyway. In Kosovo the US lost 2 aircraft, one of them an F-117. The B-2 was bascally useless in this war a B-52 would have done the same job easily (or any smaller aircraft capable of carrying a JDAM.

The problem with stealth aircraft is that they are useless against people who don't have the tech to build good radars because they usually don't have a good enough army to start with and cheaper aircraft would be more cost efficient(and that is not even speaking about the kind of war that the western powers are fighting right now), and world power who have the capacity to build stealth aircraft also have the capacity to fund research of better radars against stealth aircrafts, rendering them less efficient too (and the probability of two nuclear power going to war is very low anyway). Stealth aircrafts are only usefull for the first few days against a mid level power to destroy their air defense so that conventional aircraft can operate freely. And you don't need a lot of them for that.

Well, what other countries are saying fuck it and developing the latest plane in that context? Because pretty much nearly all major aircraft developments are focused on drastically reducing the radar cross section of the aircraft. Both the Typhoon and Rafale were designed with radar cross section reduction in mind, so that statement is entirely false.

I know that for the A/F-X, it was planned that in engagements for the first couple of days (to week depending upon time to destroy the enemy air defense), they were planned to run with just about full internal loads of munitions to knock out air defenses, before switching to also carrying ordnance externally. But if nations developed aircraft with significantly reduced radar cross section, you'd also need to develop them to counter them and so on.

Something else, what about the XF32, the main competitor of the F35 in the flyoff competition. Without the F35, would it ever have a chance? Would in retrospect the F32 have been the better choice or would it just have had the same problems twice as big? Or was the whole set of specifications a no-starter to begin with?

On the other hand, when the F16 was chisen for the air force, the navy went ahead and asked.if the competitor, the YF17 could.be developed into a shipborne fighter for their own needs. This eventually became the F18. Would it have been simpler if.the F35 was ordered for the air force only with the navy going for a YF32-NextGen? And the marines for .... dunnow... a VH22 Osprey gunship?
NextGe

The XF-32 would not have been developed without the Joint Strike Fighter Program in play, which created the F-35, which is what I presumed this thread was about. As I mentioned twice before in thread, if the DoD/Congress had decided not to force the programs together, the USAF and USMC would have gone with continuing the development of the Common Affordable Lightweight Fighter, while the USAF and USN would have gone with the development of the A/F-X. The CALF was intended to replace the F-16, F-18 (for the USMC), and the AV-8B Harrier; the A/F-X was intended to be a long-range strike aircraft (while being a fighter second), replacing the A-6, F-15E, F/A-18C/D/E/F, and F-111.
 

Archibald

Banned
General consensus is that the Serbian shot down of the F-117 was a lot of luck (and some serious siliness on the USAF side)
 

Archibald

Banned
Well, VG was heavy and a mode and a solution looking for a problem. I think a case could be made that fly by wire helped killing it. With FBW even delta-wing aircrafts can land slow and short...
 
You mean telling that they are developing them and then not building them ? The most recently aircraft that entered service is the JF-17, which is basically a super upgraded MiG-21. All other "stealth" prototypes (J-20, J-31 PAK FA) seem to have stealth features, but far less than the US planes and just seem to have them to lower their detectability a bit while keeping other aircraft capabilities that the F-35 clearly doesn't have (speed, maneuverability) and being far cheaper than the F-22.

Other countries are just saying fuck it (like European countries mostly) and just continue to develop their latest plane that they know are sufficient to bomb the shit out of assholes in pickup trucks in the desert, because they know that no one will be starting a fight with a first rate military anytime soon.

JF-17? An affordable (read cheap) Multi role aircraft using proven OTS Tech that can be built in Pakistan with the more complex components built ? That's on them.

And what aircraft are the Europeans developing exactly?

Britian is working with the US on the F35 (along with several more junior European Partners) and Sweden is working on a Gripen replacement (SAAB 2020) - and Turkey - not strictly European I know are working on the TAI TFX

.....I'm struggling to think of any other European in development aircraft that could qualify as 5th Gen.

The French and Germans are not building anything that I'm aware of - and that might just possibly come back to kick their Aircraft industries up the backside in the coming decades!

But I put this down to a lack of money and political will.

From what I can see the competitors for the F35 over the next few decades will be Asian built fighters

As for those other aircraft being less stealthy - I think that represent's a lack of technology, development and money rather than any conscious decision to make them 'less stealthy'
 

Archibald

Banned
France is developing the Rafale (and the 2000-5 and 2000-9 for Greece and the UAE).
The Typhoon wouldn't be affected either (POD well after 1984-85)
Grippen is evolving into Gripen-E as per OTL.
 
You mentioned Congresswoman McSally, remember that she is a retired USAF O-6 and former A-10 pilot. No bias there....

Asides from being a fierce defender of the A10? ;)

I understand her position (I even admire it) - but her argument is that the A10 is a 'better' CAS platform than the F35 in some circumstances - and then gave an extreme 'niche' example of troops requiring support using mirrors or flashlights etc that requires an immediate cannon run (given the F35 only carries 180 rounds of 25mm) rather than setting up for a more standoff type weapon attack - I immediately thought of a counter argument - that is the F35 is 3-4 times faster than the A10 and has greater range etc while carrying the same weapons (or better) which could be the difference between the soldiers getting the support they need or it turning up too late.

Also what happens when F15s, F16s Typhoons etc are called upon to conduct such missions in that region? - have they been shot down? Have they been unable to provide timely CAS?

She also alluded to the Burning to death of Flight Lt Al-Kasasbeh a Jordanian pilot alluding to the 'fragile nature' of the F16 to ground fire, alluding that the F35 being used for CAS missions will end up with US Aircrew being murdered in similar fashion that would not happen if they were A10 pilots. The Jordanian F16 was lost due to a mechanical defect - not ground fire. But I do get her point.

The issue is that A10 is old - I believe that the youngest of the A10s will airframe life expire by the mid 20s and as with most old military gear it becomes increasingly expensive to maintain.

I liked Gen Bogdan's analogy of a 100 m sprinter challenging a decathlete to a 100 m race.
 
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