No European intervention in the Greek war of independence

Anyway you could prevent the European powers from intervening in Greece

What would this mean for the Greek Revolution
 
Have the Russian Tsar Alexander I survive for a few years more. I hear he was much more reluctant than his successor Nicholas in regards to supporting the Greeks, so he could have declined to send a Russian squadron to assist the British and French at Navarino or declare war on Turkey the year after.
 
Have the Russian Tsar Alexander I survive for a few years more. I hear he was much more reluctant than his successor Nicholas in regards to supporting the Greeks, so he could have declined to send a Russian squadron to assist the British and French at Navarino or declare war on Turkey the year after.

It was the Russian threat of war that resulted in an Anglo-French intervention along the Russians. No Russians means no intervention from the others.
 
Anyway you could prevent the European powers from intervening in Greece

What would this mean for the Greek Revolution

Alexander I lives just a few years longer. Or maybe Constantine takes the throne rather than Nicholas. The Greek revolution is crushed, Ibrahim Pasha is the governor of Morea and Crete. Large scale purges of rebels. Some kind of resettlement with Egyptians to create a loyalist power base. Not too much to overcome the local Greeks.

Depending on if Mahmud II and Mehmed Ali Pasha fight again will decide when a second rebellion can occur. If Ibrahim Pasha can keep the Greeks happy with average taxes then a rebellion is delayed or prevented in the future. Another thing to consider is Serbia. It was autonomous until 1830 when it pretty much became semi independent as Russia demanded. No Russo-Turkish War in 1828-1829 means Mahmud II can try to reintegrate Serbia. But that has to happen before Nicholas takes over as Nicholas will use it as a pretext for war. And I don't know how long an ill Alexander I can live longer than his life being extended. to 1829 or so.

Pro:
- no Southern threat for the Ottomans with an independent Greece
- Ibrahim Pasha away from Egypt, can't help his father in the Middle East

Con:
- Mehmed Ali Pasha pretty much dominates the Ottoman Part of the Mediterranean. A future rebellion is more dangerous than OTL
- In a conflict between Mahmud II and Mehmed Ali Pasha, Ibrahim Pasha can stir up the Greeks like Ali Tepelene did as the risk of losing Morea is likely. A double front war has huge consequences
 
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Con:
- Mehmed Ali Pasha pretty much dominates the Ottoman Part of the Mediterranean. A future rebellion is more dangerous than OTL
- In a conflict between Mahmud II and Mehmed Ali Pasha, Ibrahim Pasha can stir up the Greeks like Ali Tepelene did as the risk of losing Morea is likely. A double front war has huge consequences

Probably almost suicidal than OTL, since the Ottoman part of the Med is basically 3/4ths of the Empire right there (also taking to account Mehmed Ali also controls the Hejaz as well.)

Long story short, you may as well just hand the Empire over to the guy.
 
Probably almost suicidal than OTL, since the Ottoman part of the Med is basically 3/4ths of the Empire right there (also taking to account Mehmed Ali also controls the Hejaz as well.)

Long story short, you may as well just hand the Empire over to the guy.

When Mehmed Ali tried to fight Mahmud II again, he faced Europeon intervention. This won't be any different than OTL but yes... Mehmed Ali is in an even better position should the European Great Powers be busy.
 
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