What if the 1916 rising had not taken place. Larkin had stayed in Ireland after the defat of the 1913 Transport workers strike and had persuaded Connoly not to let his citizens army initially formed to defend strikers against the Royal Irish Constabulary be used to support Nationalists some of whom as employers had stood shoulder to shoulder with Unionists during the dispute. Realising that the trafde union movement was weak outside Dublin, Belfast and maybe a few cities like Cork, Connolly is persuaded that any independent Ireland will mean little difference for the workers and will alienate a lot of the workforce in the North East ( i.e around Belfast). He would have been vindicated by the support shown to Franco by both the government and main opposition party in the late thirties and the failure of the Irish Labour party to be a major force despite providing the only parliamentary opposition in the civil war
With little support in the offings, the leaders decide to call it off for the time being and there is no violent supression.
However would the calm remain or maybe be delayed until 1918 when conscription came in in Ireland? Could home rule or Dominion status for an Ireland without some of the industrial north east have come about peacefully?
Supposing and uprising had occured in 1918 but it was lead largely by servicmen returning home from the trenches feeling betrayed on home rule with possibly Erskine Childers playing a prominent role (unlike Sir Riger Casement who recruited people from prisoners of war camps with German support, Childers had served Britain). Any UK government would have problems if it tried to suppress an uprising lead by ex-servicemen.
Is this plausible or was the 1916 uprising that gave berth to a terrible beauty according to W.B Yeats which was initially doomed to failure inevitable?
With little support in the offings, the leaders decide to call it off for the time being and there is no violent supression.
However would the calm remain or maybe be delayed until 1918 when conscription came in in Ireland? Could home rule or Dominion status for an Ireland without some of the industrial north east have come about peacefully?
Supposing and uprising had occured in 1918 but it was lead largely by servicmen returning home from the trenches feeling betrayed on home rule with possibly Erskine Childers playing a prominent role (unlike Sir Riger Casement who recruited people from prisoners of war camps with German support, Childers had served Britain). Any UK government would have problems if it tried to suppress an uprising lead by ex-servicemen.
Is this plausible or was the 1916 uprising that gave berth to a terrible beauty according to W.B Yeats which was initially doomed to failure inevitable?