As result of pacts made with Soviets Third Reich exchanged Germans from Lithuanian SSR for Lithuanians living on Reich's territory. Initially only Lithuanians from Memel were planned to be deported but seeing that Soviets are fine with such population transfers Germans decided to include also Lithuanians from Suwałki Triangle they annexed in 1939. Decision was made in January 1941, deportations were finished in April 1941. As result 14 000 (at least organization "Suvalkija" claims that number, I haven't found other estimates) Lithuanians were deported to LSSR.
So what if German-Soviet talks only include deportations of Memel Lithuanians or deportations are delayed and not start before Barbarossa? How would these Lithuanians fare during and after war?
Some of them returned to their homes short after ww2 when borders were not tightly closed but in the meantime many abandoned farms were already settled by Poles expelled from the East. And because they were given Soviet citizenship in 1941 they were deported again because they "illegaly" left USSR. Now situation is different but there will still be attemps to exchange population between Poland and LSSR-but how successful? IOTL those who avoided deportation in 1941 and did not have Soviet citizenship were encouraged to leave to LSSR but with little effect-they didn't want to leave their homes and move to Soviet Union (as result only one woman with child registered for voluntary departure to LSSR in spring 1945, so action was abandoned). And if needed I think they could pretend that they are Poles-they lived in Second Polish Republic for generation so should be able to speak Polish.
So what if German-Soviet talks only include deportations of Memel Lithuanians or deportations are delayed and not start before Barbarossa? How would these Lithuanians fare during and after war?
Some of them returned to their homes short after ww2 when borders were not tightly closed but in the meantime many abandoned farms were already settled by Poles expelled from the East. And because they were given Soviet citizenship in 1941 they were deported again because they "illegaly" left USSR. Now situation is different but there will still be attemps to exchange population between Poland and LSSR-but how successful? IOTL those who avoided deportation in 1941 and did not have Soviet citizenship were encouraged to leave to LSSR but with little effect-they didn't want to leave their homes and move to Soviet Union (as result only one woman with child registered for voluntary departure to LSSR in spring 1945, so action was abandoned). And if needed I think they could pretend that they are Poles-they lived in Second Polish Republic for generation so should be able to speak Polish.