No Albania

What if, following the Balkan Wars, Albania had been divided between Montenegro, Serbia, and Greece? Maybe Italy gets a slice too at Vlore.

Would the Albanians eventually push successfully for independence or would they ultimately end up as the Kurds of the Balkans?
 
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What’s the PoD? How does this come to pass? You’d need to get rid of the international pressure that caused the occupation of Albania to end IOTL.

It might work if the Balkan Wars are delayed and instead become part of WWI, meaning that Greece and Serbia basically demand Albania in the peace treaty. I’m not sure what butterflies that would have vis a vis Bulgaria and the Ottomans, though.
 
An Albanian state will probably be created sooner or later...but this state will be confined to a smaller territory than modern day Albania. The Italian slice, most likely. Italy might join the Axis or a similar revanchist coalition; fight on the losing side of a second world war; and see an Albanian state created on its territory as one of its post-war punishments. Or maybe Italy enacts a semi-voluntary "decolonization" of its part of Albania later on, turning it into a dominion and later into an independent state.

If Yugoslavia is formed, and later federalizes as per OTL, the Serbian slice of Albania would be one of its federal units, and that has potential for a later independence. OTOH, this scenario makes it less likely that Yugoslavia will be formed in the first place.
 
An Albanian state will probably be created sooner or later...but this state will be confined to a smaller territory than modern day Albania. The Italian slice, most likely. Italy might join the Axis or a similar revanchist coalition; fight on the losing side of a second world war; and see an Albanian state created on its territory as one of its post-war punishments.
Its more likely that it would be annexed by Yugoslavia like how tito wanted

this scenario makes it less likely that Yugoslavia will be formed in the first place.
How so ?
 
The Serbian government may feel like digesting Albania it enough of a challenge, so no need to complicate matters even more. Also, the Italian government will feel (even) more unhappy about the idea of Yugoslavia, and would try harder to prevent it.
The black hand wouldn't care and Italy will not be able to stop Yugoslavia , they could get more land from Austria-Hungary however
 
The black hand wouldn't care and Italy will not be able to stop Yugoslavia , they could get more land from Austria-Hungary however

The Black Hand was never in charge; its leader was even arrested in 1916 and convicted of high treason. As for Italy, I believe they have a chance to prevent it, especially with the help of other factors.
 
The Black Hand was never in charge; its leader was even arrested in 1916 and convicted of high treason.
They did shot the archduke which lead to the first world war . Serbia was Pan-Slavic during that time period and the land it wanted from Austria was full of Serbs and other south Slavs .
 
What if, following the Balkan Wars, Albania had been divided between Montenegro, Serbia, and Greece? Maybe Italy gets a slice too at Vlore.

Would the Albanians eventually push successfully for independence or would they ultimately end up as the Kurds of the Balkans?

I imagine the Albanians are going to be a pretty massive ulser for Serbia during the Great War; the region is going to need a substantial garrison and you've just given the otherwise quarreling locals something to unite against. This puts Belgrade in a much more vulnerable position relative to Vienna, as well as giving Austria something to compensate Italy with under the terms of the Triple Alliance. The Bulgarians can also be given relatively less attention, increasing the likelihood of them pressing their Macedonian ambitions earlier, so in the end it's a much better southern front for the CP, with Austria in particular getting a benefit.

In the end, does this result in a CP victory, or at least a much bloodier result for ethnic Serbs? In either event, indepence for Albania, at least under Italian or Hapsburg suzerainty, seems likely. Including Kosovo
 
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