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Always been fascinated with the German Side of the conflict since the war seemed to revolve around them. I get this is kind of a question with a lot nuances, so I'm just wondering what are some holes in this scenario.

What if Hitler didn't lauch a summer offensive in 1943 (elastic defense - Manstein's Idea) and built up for a winter offensive with more of those heavier tanks. They could have learned from what went sorta wrong in winter 41', and caused a crushing blow if they allowed a bulge into their lines from the Russians in summer 43' (measured retreat). This could have provided the respite on the East Front to allow the Germans to crush an Allied landing in normandy (would have probably postponed imo). This seems to allow a way for the Germans to decisively defeat the Soviets. Then it would have been a race to the bomb between the US and Fortress Europe (although I believe they lacked the uranium). I understand this is a loaded question with logistics, etc. Just curious for any input.
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