New Union: Afghan civil war?

Hello again. I have another idea I would like to throw around. This has to do with my New Union timeline, in which the August Coup does not happen, and the Soviet Union is able to transform into a Union of Soviet Sovereign Republics.

Anyway, I recall someone mentioning that the Afghan civil war after the Soviet withdrawal may end out much differently with the USSR continuing. In which the Taliban would not be so bold as in OTL. This is due to the fact that Central Asia (i.e., the USSR) is in peace. Because of this, 9/11 does not happen, Al-Qaeda would not be much of a threat as in OTL, since they would have no safe haven for their activities, and the Iraq war would not happen. Not too sure, what do you guys think?
 
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