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I wonder if there is any opportunity to create New Confederation in late 189x.
In that time the USA just started their expansion, gold standart was introduced...

UK opposed USA economically(all over the world and China and Latin America specifically) and politically.
So UK might team up with Spain, forming some alliance and supporting it against USA in Caribbean(Cuba) and China(Philippines)).
That's why there would be British-Spanish --American war or cold war for Cuba or Philippines.

Being able to blockade USA from sea UK cannot invade USA mainland (especially having to defend Canada).

Republicans (industry, banks, supporters of gold standart) might increase fleet and army spendings much more and demand war.
And Democratic (agriculture, silver standart supporters,....) party might get support of all opposing (peaceful) forces and try to block "unnecessary" military expenditures.

Simultaneously tensions between UK+Spain vs USA would increase. British fleet would "visit" american ports from Florida to Galvestone and from LA to Seattle to show their strength and ablility to stop trade.

UK obviously would support Democratic party and South+Pacific states (british banks can withdraw their investitions from eastern states industry and invest in south and pacific).

Let's say nation started to divide. Like "Ol' Good South"+Pacific states vs East+North.
And then ......authorities of "Ol' Good South"+Pacific states (mainly Democrats) start to speak about their neutrality, peaceful intentions. People recall Civil war, but know that Britain will help now to defend.

Then after some incedent (e.g. american intervention in Second Boer War) UK declared war and blockaded USA.
New Confederation was announced (leaded by Democratic party) and declared neutrality.
North and East States which left in USA tried to supress but was fight back (not trained army).

Then in this world SmallerUSA might team up with British arch-enemy Germany, and UK - with Japan.

to be continue....

So, were there any probability, possibility and political will to divide USA in that time, especially with British-American war ?

PS sorry for language and grammar ;-)
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