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By how much would the following scenario likely speed up the development of fully automatic rifles? Would we get folks in the year 1880 running around with fully automatic rifles or would it perhaps be later such as perhaps 1910 or 20? Would it be the same as OTL?

The threat to Europe of horsemen from Central Asia never goes away in this timeline. The Europeans drive them out and they keep coming back. Through timeline shenanigans the centre of most scientific and economic development is in Eastern Europe in regions near or directly under the threat of invasion from the horsemen.

The Europeans have horses of their own but whichever civilization dominates central Asia at the time has better or at least comparable cavalry and more of them. The Europeans advance technologically but as they do those in Central Asia keep scaling up in power too (kind of how the Central Asians seemed to keep scaling up in power as China OTL got more advanced).

Central Asian powers rise and fall but every time one falls it gets replaced by another one of comparable size eventually. Fighting in Central Asia, or at least defending Eastern Europe where it is more open is going to make trench warfare less effective.
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